| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Car ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 91.4 | 44–150 | 17.6 | 33% |
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 87.0 | 38–143 | 17.9 | 28% |
| Kenneth Walker III KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 82.6 | 36–137 | 18.0 | 51% |
| Javonte Williams DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 69.0 | 32–110 | 15.8 | 38% |
| Quinshon Judkins CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 66.0 | 32–107 | 16.3 | 49% |
| Christian McCaffrey SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 1 | 66.0 | 30–109 | 12.9 | 37% |
| Braelon Allen NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 64.1 | 29–104 | 16.6 | 54% |
| Breece Hall CHART NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 56.3 | 21–99 | 14.2 | 19% |
| Woody Marks HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 50.9 | 17–91 | 13.3 | 35% |
| Chase Brown CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 43.7 | 17–74 | 11.6 | 21% |
| Kaelon Black SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 2 | 43.6 | 16–76 | 9.2 | 11% |
| Omarion Hampton LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 43.5 | 15–79 | 11.4 | 20% |
| Ashton Jeanty LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 1 | 41.3 | 11–80 | 12.8 | 48% |
| David Montgomery CHART HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 40.3 | 14–72 | 9.1 | 29% |
| Kendre Miller NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 2 | 38.6 | 12–69 | 10.2 | 17% |
| Mike Washington Jr. LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 2 | 37.6 | 11–70 | 9.5 | 15% |
| Seth McGowan IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 32.7 | 6–66 | 6.7 | 10% |
| Jawhar Jordan HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 30.7 | 7–62 | 6.5 | 9% | |
| Audric Estimé CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 4 | 30.4 | 10–55 | 6.8 | 15% |
| Dylan Sampson CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 2 | 29.3 | 8–55 | 7.2 | 11% |
| Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 29.2 | 6–58 | 7.5 | 13% |
| Kimani Vidal LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 29.0 | 4–62 | 7.5 | 25% |
| Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 28.1 | 3–61 | 6.5 | 36% |
| Justin Herbert LAC vs HOU | QB | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 26.3 | 5–54 | 4.5 | 34% |
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 1 | 25.6 | 6–49 | 6.6 | 24% |
| Deshaun Watson CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 24.9 | 4–50 | 4.1 | 17% |
| Brock Purdy CHART SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 1 | 20.6 | 2–44 | 3.4 | 17% |
| Jaleel McLaughlin CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 19.6 | 0–46 | 3.7 | 19% |
| Patrick Mahomes KC vs NYJ | QB | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 19.5 | 0–42 | 2.5 | 11% |
| Keaton Mitchell LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 19.5 | 0–48 | 4.0 | 9% |
| Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 17.8 | 0–41 | 2.6 | 20% |
| Justin Fields KC vs NYJ | QB | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 17.2 | 0–38 | 2.9 | 10% |
| Emari Demercado DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 3 | 16.9 | 0–40 | 2.9 | 7% |
| Tyler Shough NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 1 | 16.5 | 0–40 | 3.0 | 21% |
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 16.5 | 1–36 | 3.8 | 8% |
| Kurtis Rourke SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 3 | 16.3 | 0–36 | 2.6 | 12% |
| Taylen Green CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 4 | 15.9 | 0–36 | 2.6 | 13% |
| Garrett Nussmeier KC vs NYJ | QB | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 15.7 | 0–35 | 2.7 | 12% |
| Jordan James SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 3 | 15.6 | 1–35 | 3.2 | 6% |
| Emmett Johnson KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 15.6 | 0–36 | 3.7 | 8% |
| Tyler Goodson DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 15.1 | 0–38 | 3.2 | 10% |
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 14.6 | 1–32 | 3.3 | 20% | |
| Isaiah Davis NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 14.0 | 0–33 | 3.1 | 8% |
| C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ LAC | QB | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 14.0 | 0–32 | 2.5 | 10% |
| Daniel Jones IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 14.0 | 0–33 | 2.6 | 13% |
| Jack Strand ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 13.4 | 0–31 | 2.3 | 13% |
| DJ Uiagalelei LAC vs HOU | QB | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 12.8 | 0–30 | 2.5 | 15% |
| Cade Klubnik NYJ @ KC | QB | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 12.3 | 0–29 | 2.4 | 13% |
| Dak Prescott DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 12.2 | 0–28 | 2.1 | 16% |
| Jaydn Ott KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 11.9 | 0–27 | 2.7 | 10% |
| KC Concepcion CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 2 | 11.2 | 0–32 | 1.9 | 11% |
| Joe Burrow CHART CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 10.4 | 0–25 | 2.1 | 14% |
| DJ Giddens IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 10.2 | 0–24 | 2.2 | 8% |
| Fernando Mendoza LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 2 | 10.0 | 0–25 | 1.9 | 12% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 2 | 10.0 | 0–27 | 1.9 | 26% |
| Sam Howell DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 9.6 | 0–25 | 1.6 | 13% |
| Roman Hemby LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 9.4 | 0–22 | 2.5 | 11% | |
| Kene Nwangwu NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 4 | 9.3 | 0–21 | 2.4 | |
| Dillon Gabriel CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 9.0 | 0–24 | 1.4 | 7% |
| Davis Mills HOU @ LAC | QB | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 8.8 | 0–23 | 1.5 | 8% |
| Shedeur Sanders CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 2 | 8.5 | 0–23 | 1.2 | 6% |
| Spencer Rattler NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 2 | 8.4 | 0–23 | 1.3 | 7% |
| Will Levis NYJ @ KC | QB | NYJ vs KC | 8.4 | 0–21 | 1.8 | 9% | |
| Geno Smith NYJ @ KC | QB | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 8.0 | 0–24 | 1.6 | |
| Dylan Laube LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 3 | 7.8 | 0–20 | 2.4 | 7% |
| Riley Leonard IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 7.6 | 0–21 | 1.2 | 10% |
| Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 7.4 | 0–21 | 1.4 | 10% |
| Zach Wilson NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 7.1 | 0–20 | 1.2 | 10% |
| Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 6.7 | 0–17 | 2.0 | 7% |
| Ben VanSumeren KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 6.7 | 0–18 | 1.5 | 9% | |
| Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 6.4 | 0–18 | 1.3 | 7% | |
| Mac Jones SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 2 | 6.2 | 0–18 | 1.2 | |
| Tank Dell HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 5 | 5.6 | 0–19 | 1.0 | |
| Hunter Luepke DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 5.2 | 0–14 | 1.2 | 8% | |
| Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 3 | 5.0 | 0–14 | 1.2 | 9% |
| Andy Dalton ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 4.6 | 0–14 | 0.8 | |
| Kirk Cousins LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 1 | 4.0 | 0–12 | 1.1 | 6% |
| Tua Tagovailoa ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 4.0 | 0–12 | 0.8 | |
| Dare Ogunbowale HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 4.0 | 0–11 | 1.0 | |
| Joe Flacco CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 3.7 | 0–11 | 0.8 | 5% |
| Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 3.3 | 0–13 | 0.6 | 8% |
| Scott Matlock LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 3.1 | 0–9 | 0.8 | ||
| Deion Burks IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 5 | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.5 | |
| Cade Stover HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 2.4 | 0–6 | 0.7 | 13% |
| Jaylin Noel HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 4 | 2.3 | 0–9 | 0.4 | 18% |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 4 | 2.2 | 0–7 | 0.4 | 8% |
| Isaiah Williams NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 5 | 2.2 | 0–8 | 0.4 | |
| Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 1.9 | 0–7 | 0.3 | 7% |
| Barion Brown NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 4 | 1.9 | 0–7 | 0.4 | 6% |
| Quentin Johnston LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 1.9 | 0–8 | 0.4 | 15% |
| Tyler Warren IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 1 | 1.9 | 0–5 | 0.5 | 29% |
| Nico Collins HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 1.8 | 0–7 | 0.3 | 27% |
| Jacob Cowing SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 6 | 1.8 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 1 | 1.7 | 0–7 | 0.3 | 18% |
| Derius Davis LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 7 | 1.6 | 0–6 | 0.3 | |
| Malachi Corley CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 6 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 0.2 | |
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 1.1 | 0–2 | 0.3 | 11% |
| Michael Burton CLE @ NO | FB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 0.3 | |
| Tre Tucker LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 1 | 1.0 | 0–4 | 0.2 | 21% |
| Connor Heyward LV @ SF | FB | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.8 | 0–3 | 0.4 | |
| CeeDee Lamb DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 1 | 0.8 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 36% |
| Rashee Rice KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 0.7 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 30% |
| Andrew Beck NYJ @ KC | FB | NYJ vs KC | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.3 | 7% | |
| Xavier Worthy KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 0.6 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 14% |
| Deven Thompkins LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 0.6 | 0–0 | 0.1 | ||
| Drake London ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 0.6 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 18% |
| Sterling Shepard NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 0.5 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 11% | |
| Ashton Dulin IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 4 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 6% |
| Nikko Remigio KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 5 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Malik Benson LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 5 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 11% |
| Isaiah Bond CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 4 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Kenyon Sadiq NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 9% |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 3 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 18% |
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE @ NO | TE | CLE vs NO | 1 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 16% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 27% |
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 57% |
| Tre Harris LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Brock Bowers LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 31% |
| Jalen Nailor LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 17% |
| Adonai Mitchell NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| Chris Olave NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 28% |
| Kyle Juszczyk SF vs LV | FB | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 18% |
| George Kittle SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 34% |
| Drew Sample CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Jerry Jeudy CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Travis Kelce KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 13% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 21% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →