171 / 446 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 6.9 | 3–11 | 9.9 | 57% |
| CeeDee Lamb DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 1 | 6.1 | 2–11 | 8.9 | 36% |
| Zay Flowers BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 6.0 | 2–10 | 8.8 | 25% |
| Drake London ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 5.7 | 2–9 | 9.0 | 18% |
| Chris Olave NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 1 | 5.6 | 2–10 | 8.5 | 28% |
| Garrett Wilson NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 5.6 | 2–10 | 9.0 | 15% |
| Rashee Rice KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 5.3 | 2–8 | 7.3 | 30% |
| Tee Higgins CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 5.1 | 2–9 | 8.1 | 22% |
| Tyler Warren IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 1 | 5.1 | 2–8 | 7.0 | 29% |
| George Pickens DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 2 | 4.7 | 2–8 | 7.6 | 26% |
| Travis Kelce KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 4.4 | 2–7 | 6.1 | 13% |
| Brenton Strange JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 4.4 | 1–8 | 5.9 | 19% |
| Luther Burden III CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 2 | 4.2 | 2–7 | 5.9 | 20% |
| Keenan Allen IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 2 | 4.1 | 2–7 | 6.4 | 19% |
| Parker Washington JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 4.1 | 1–8 | 6.8 | 23% |
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 1 | 4.1 | 2–7 | 6.3 | 18% |
| Emeka Egbuka TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 1 | 4.1 | 1–8 | 7.5 | 27% |
| KC Concepcion CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 2 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 6.1 | 11% |
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE @ NO | TE | CLE vs NO | 1 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 5.7 | 16% |
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 3.8 | 1–7 | 5.8 | 18% |
| Devaughn Vele NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 2 | 3.8 | 1–7 | 5.7 | 28% |
| Colston Loveland CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 1 | 3.8 | 1–8 | 5.4 | 35% |
| Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 3.7 | 1–7 | 5.4 | 24% |
| Rome Odunze CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 1 | 3.7 | 1–7 | 6.6 | 21% |
| Chris Godwin Jr. TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 2 | 3.7 | 1–7 | 5.4 | 11% |
| Chase Brown CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 3.6 | 1–7 | 4.4 | 21% |
| Cade Otton TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 1 | 3.6 | 1–7 | 5.1 | 13% |
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 3.5 | 1–6 | 4.6 | 28% |
| Kyle Pitts ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 3.5 | 1–7 | 5.0 | 24% |
| Xavier Worthy KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 5.7 | 14% |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 3 | 3.3 | 1–6 | 5.0 | 18% |
| Denzel Boston CHART CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 1 | 3.2 | 1–6 | 5.7 | 32% |
| Mark Andrews BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 3.0 | 0–6 | 4.1 | 21% |
| Juwan Johnson NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 1 | 3.0 | 0–6 | 4.1 | 32% |
| Kenneth Walker III KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 2.8 | 1–5 | 3.5 | 51% |
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 1 | 2.8 | 1–5 | 3.4 | 24% |
| Mason Taylor NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 2.6 | 0–6 | 3.7 | 17% |
| Jerry Jeudy CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 3 | 2.6 | 0–5 | 4.2 | 8% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 1 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 3.4 | 21% |
| Bucky Irving TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 3.0 | 44% |
| Braelon Allen NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 3.3 | 54% |
| Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 4.0 | 26% |
| Adonai Mitchell NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 4.9 | 9% |
| Laquon Treadwell IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 3 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 4.0 | 20% |
| D'Andre Swift CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 3.1 | 22% |
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 2.3 | 0–4 | 3.1 | 33% |
| Breece Hall CHART NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 2.3 | 0–5 | 2.9 | 19% |
| Justice Hill BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 2.2 | 0–5 | 2.9 | 9% |
| Noah Gray KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 2.2 | 0–4 | 3.1 | 14% |
| Kalif Raymond CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 3 | 2.2 | 0–5 | 2.9 | 9% |
| Dylan Sampson CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 2 | 2.2 | 0–4 | 2.7 | 11% |
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 2.1 | 0–5 | 2.7 | 50% |
| Kenyon Sadiq NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 2.1 | 0–5 | 3.0 | 9% |
| Quinshon Judkins CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 2.5 | 49% |
| Jahan Dotson ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 3.5 | 16% |
| Rashod Bateman BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 3.3 | 23% |
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 1.9 | 0–4 | 3.2 | 13% |
| Javonte Williams DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 1.9 | 0–5 | 2.4 | 38% |
| Erick All CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.3 | 6% |
| Tez Johnson TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 4 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.8 | 16% |
| Josh Cuevas BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.3 | 17% |
| Mike Gesicki CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.4 | 18% |
| Ted Hurst III TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 3 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 13% |
| Cole Kmet CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 3 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.2 | 6% |
| Emmett Johnson KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.1 | 8% |
| Noah Fant NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 2 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.1 | 13% |
| Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.5 | 6% |
| Will Mallory IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 2 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 11% |
| Kenny Gainwell TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 1.5 | 0–4 | 1.9 | 29% |
| Derrick Henry BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 29% |
| Jalen Royals KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 11% |
| Andrew Armstrong KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 6 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 16% |
| Kendre Miller NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 2 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 1.8 | 17% |
| Josh Cameron JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 2.2 | 20% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 2 | 1.4 | 0–4 | 1.9 | 6% |
| Bryce Lance NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 3 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 18% |
| Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.7 | 13% |
| Roschon Johnson CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 25% |
| Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 7% |
| Tim Patrick NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 4 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.9 | |
| Drew Sample CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 10% |
| Isaiah Davis NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 8% |
| Nate Boerkircher JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 8% |
| Elijah Sarratt BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 6 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.9 | |
| Isaiah Williams NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 5 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.8 | |
| Austin Hooper ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 15% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 1.1 | 0–2 | 1.7 | 9% |
| Ashton Dulin IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 4 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.8 | |
| Cyrus Allen KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 4 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.6 | |
| Jaydn Ott KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.3 | 10% |
| Barion Brown NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 4 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 6% |
| Kyle Monangai CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.3 | 26% |
| Sterling Shepard NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.5 | 11% | |
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.3 | 20% | |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 8% |
| Mitchell Tinsley CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 4 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.7 | 16% |
| Seth McGowan IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 10% |
| Mo Alie-Cox IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 15% |
| Jeremy Ruckert NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.2 | 10% |
| Devontez Walker BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.5 | 8% |
| Jaleel McLaughlin CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.1 | 19% |
| Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 36% |
| Matthew Hibner BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 7% |
| Deion Burks IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 5 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 8% |
| Audric Estimé CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 15% |
| Isaiah Bond CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 11% |
| Jelani Woods NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Oscar Delp NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Hunter Luepke DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 8% | |
| Bauer Sharp TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 9% |
| Zavion Thomas CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Tyler Goodson DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 10% |
| Kenneth Harris IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | ||
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 12% |
| Andrew Ogletree IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 4 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 11% |
| Jonathan Mingo DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 5 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Camden Brown DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 6 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | 5% |
| Sam Roush CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | |
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.6 | 6% |
| Nick Muse ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 9% |
| Jake Briningstool KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | |
| David Sills TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 5 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | 4% |
| Emari Demercado DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 7% |
| Sean Tucker TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 19% |
| Justin Watson KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | ||
| Ben VanSumeren KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 9% | |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 13% |
| Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 7% |
| Cedric Tillman NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | 5% | |
| Colbie Young CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Jack Endries CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Kene Nwangwu NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Malachi Corley CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 6 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Luke Schoonmaker DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Nick Vannett BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Chris Blair ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| LaJohntay Wester BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Tanner Koziol JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | ||
| Josh Williams TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 8% | |
| Blake Whiteheart CLE @ NO | TE | CLE vs NO | 2 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 5% |
| Jalen Cropper NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.6 | ||
| C.J. Williams JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 6 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| DJ Giddens IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 8% |
| Nikko Remigio KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Andrew Beck NYJ @ KC | FB | NYJ vs KC | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 7% | |
| Pharaoh Brown IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Tylan Wallace CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Kameron Johnson TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 6 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Jared Wiley KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Malik McClain NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 6 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.3 | 8% |
| Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.3 | 20% |
| Payne Durham TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Jahdae Walker CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 6% |
| Kaden Davis CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Michael Burton CLE @ NO | FB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Anthony Gould IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 6 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Treyton Welch NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 4 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Quintin Morris JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Ko Kieft TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 3 | 0.1 | 0–1 | 0.2 | |
| Sam Howell DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 13% |
| Easton Stick TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% | |
| Zach Wilson NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Will Levis NYJ @ KC | QB | NYJ vs KC | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% | |
| Riley Leonard IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Dillon Gabriel CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET