| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puka Nacua LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 1 | 98.1 | 28–182 | 9.9 | 27% |
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 91.5 | 33–160 | 9.9 | 57% |
| Drake London ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 78.8 | 25–141 | 9.0 | 18% |
| Tee Higgins CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 77.6 | 19–148 | 8.1 | 22% |
| CeeDee Lamb DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 1 | 77.6 | 18–149 | 8.9 | 36% |
| George Pickens DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 2 | 70.9 | 21–128 | 7.6 | 26% |
| Chris Olave NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 1 | 67.5 | 18–126 | 8.5 | 28% |
| Garrett Wilson NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 62.7 | 17–117 | 9.0 | 15% |
| Rashee Rice KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 58.8 | 20–106 | 7.3 | 30% |
| Luther Burden III CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 2 | 57.7 | 13–113 | 5.9 | 20% |
| Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 54.2 | 6–116 | 5.4 | 24% |
| Emeka Egbuka TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 1 | 53.4 | 5–115 | 7.5 | 27% |
| Rome Odunze CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 1 | 52.0 | 11–100 | 6.6 | 21% |
| Denzel Boston CHART CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 1 | 50.3 | 8–102 | 5.7 | 32% |
| Tyler Warren IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 1 | 49.6 | 16–89 | 7.0 | 29% |
| KC Concepcion CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 2 | 47.4 | 8–95 | 6.1 | 11% |
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 1 | 46.2 | 11–89 | 6.3 | 18% |
| Stefon Diggs WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 1 | 46.1 | 13–85 | 6.4 | 21% |
| Keenan Allen IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 2 | 44.5 | 12–82 | 6.4 | 19% |
| Chris Godwin Jr. TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 2 | 43.7 | 6–89 | 5.4 | 11% |
| Devaughn Vele NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 2 | 42.9 | 9–84 | 5.7 | 28% |
| Travis Kelce KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 42.1 | 11–79 | 6.1 | 13% |
| Colston Loveland CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 1 | 41.9 | 1–93 | 5.4 | 35% |
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE @ NO | TE | CLE vs NO | 1 | 40.5 | 8–78 | 5.7 | 16% |
| Kyle Pitts ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 40.4 | 4–85 | 5.0 | 24% |
| Terry McLaurin WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 6 | 39.3 | 0–89 | 5.0 | 17% |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 3 | 38.9 | 6–80 | 5.0 | 18% |
| Xavier Worthy KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 36.6 | 7–73 | 5.7 | 14% |
| Cade Otton TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 1 | 35.4 | 2–78 | 5.1 | 13% |
| Jerry Jeudy CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 3 | 34.8 | 0–75 | 4.2 | 8% |
| Antonio Williams WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 2 | 33.3 | 5–69 | 4.6 | 9% |
| Tyler Higbee LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 1 | 33.2 | 3–70 | 4.2 | 10% |
| Adonai Mitchell NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 32.6 | 0–73 | 4.9 | 9% |
| Chig Okonkwo WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 1 | 31.1 | 4–65 | 4.8 | 7% |
| Laquon Treadwell IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 3 | 31.1 | 0–68 | 4.0 | 20% |
| Juwan Johnson NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 1 | 30.8 | 0–69 | 4.1 | 32% |
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 30.5 | 3–67 | 4.6 | 28% |
| Kalif Raymond CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 3 | 26.5 | 0–68 | 2.9 | 9% |
| Jahan Dotson ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 26.4 | 0–59 | 3.5 | 16% |
| Chase Brown CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 25.9 | 2–54 | 4.4 | 21% |
| Colby Parkinson LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 2 | 25.0 | 0–61 | 3.4 | 29% |
| Kyren Williams LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 24.9 | 0–55 | 4.5 | 44% |
| Tez Johnson TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 4 | 23.5 | 0–59 | 2.8 | 16% |
| Mason Taylor NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 23.5 | 0–55 | 3.7 | 17% |
| Ted Hurst III TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 3 | 22.9 | 0–54 | 2.9 | 13% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 1 | 22.2 | 0–51 | 3.4 | 21% |
| Kenyon Sadiq NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 21.5 | 0–54 | 3.0 | 9% |
| Treylon Burks WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 3 | 21.2 | 0–57 | 3.1 | 17% |
| Noah Gray KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 21.0 | 0–48 | 3.1 | 14% |
| Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 20.5 | 0–54 | 2.5 | 6% |
| Bucky Irving TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 19.9 | 0–48 | 3.0 | 44% |
| Kenneth Walker III KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 19.7 | 0–46 | 3.5 | 51% |
| Breece Hall CHART NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 18.8 | 0–47 | 2.9 | 19% |
| Mike Gesicki CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 18.7 | 0–49 | 2.4 | 18% |
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 18.5 | 0–44 | 3.1 | 33% |
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 1 | 18.4 | 0–42 | 3.4 | 24% |
| Braelon Allen NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 17.9 | 0–43 | 3.3 | 54% |
| D'Andre Swift CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 17.8 | 0–44 | 3.1 | 22% |
| Dylan Sampson CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 2 | 17.4 | 0–40 | 2.7 | 11% |
| Erick All CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 17.2 | 0–45 | 2.3 | 6% |
| Konata Mumpfield LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 2 | 16.8 | 0–44 | 2.3 | 6% |
| Cole Kmet CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 3 | 16.7 | 0–41 | 2.2 | 6% |
| Andrew Armstrong KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 6 | 16.5 | 0–41 | 2.4 | 16% |
| Rachaad White CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 16.3 | 0–36 | 2.8 | 31% |
| Jalen Royals KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 16.2 | 0–42 | 2.4 | 11% |
| Will Mallory IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 2 | 16.1 | 0–39 | 2.4 | 11% |
| Noah Fant NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 2 | 16.1 | 0–44 | 2.1 | 13% |
| Bryce Lance NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 3 | 15.9 | 0–40 | 2.4 | 18% |
| Davis Allen LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 3 | 15.6 | 0–39 | 2.2 | 20% |
| Tutu Atwell LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 4 | 15.5 | 0–44 | 1.7 | 4% |
| Tim Patrick NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 4 | 15.5 | 0–42 | 1.9 | |
| Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 15.0 | 0–42 | 1.9 | 7% |
| Ashton Dulin IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 4 | 14.7 | 0–46 | 1.8 | |
| Quinshon Judkins CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 14.2 | 0–36 | 2.5 | 49% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 2 | 13.5 | 0–38 | 1.9 | 6% |
| Mitchell Tinsley CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 4 | 12.6 | 0–41 | 1.7 | 16% |
| Dyami Brown WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 4 | 12.5 | 0–38 | 1.9 | 4% |
| Isaiah Williams NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 5 | 12.4 | 0–38 | 1.8 | |
| Emmett Johnson KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 12.2 | 0–33 | 2.1 | 8% |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 4 | 12.1 | 0–36 | 1.4 | 8% |
| Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 12.0 | 0–33 | 1.7 | 13% |
| Cyrus Allen KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 4 | 12.0 | 0–36 | 1.6 | |
| Austin Hooper ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 12.0 | 0–31 | 1.5 | 15% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 11.9 | 0–32 | 1.7 | 9% |
| Barion Brown NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 4 | 11.8 | 0–35 | 1.4 | 6% |
| Drew Sample CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 10.9 | 0–29 | 1.6 | 10% |
| Javonte Williams DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 10.6 | 0–31 | 2.4 | 38% |
| Kenny Gainwell TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 10.4 | 0–30 | 1.9 | 29% |
| Isaiah Bond CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 4 | 10.4 | 0–36 | 1.3 | |
| Deion Burks IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 5 | 10.3 | 0–32 | 1.3 | |
| Kendre Miller NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 2 | 10.2 | 0–28 | 1.8 | 17% |
| Isaiah Davis NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 9.7 | 0–28 | 1.6 | 8% |
| Sterling Shepard NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 9.7 | 0–28 | 1.5 | 11% | |
| Blake Corum LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 2 | 9.6 | 0–28 | 1.6 | 31% |
| Mo Alie-Cox IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 3 | 9.3 | 0–29 | 1.4 | 15% |
| Roschon Johnson CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 8.7 | 0–25 | 1.6 | 25% |
| Austin Ekeler WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 8.5 | 0–25 | 1.5 | 20% |
| Jeremy Ruckert NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 7.5 | 0–24 | 1.2 | 10% |
| Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 7.5 | 0–23 | 1.1 | 36% |
| Kyle Monangai CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 7.2 | 0–23 | 1.3 | 26% |
| Kenneth Harris IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 7.1 | 0–23 | 0.9 | ||
| Jelani Woods NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 4 | 7.0 | 0–22 | 1.0 | |
| Luke McCaffrey WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 5 | 6.9 | 0–23 | 0.9 | |
| Jaydn Ott KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 6.9 | 0–20 | 1.3 | 10% |
| Zavion Thomas CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 4 | 6.8 | 0–23 | 0.9 | |
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 6.6 | 0–21 | 1.0 | 11% |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 4 | 6.5 | 0–21 | 1.3 | 42% |
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 6.5 | 0–20 | 1.3 | 20% | |
| Camden Brown DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 6 | 6.5 | 0–22 | 0.8 | 5% |
| Bauer Sharp TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 4 | 6.3 | 0–21 | 0.8 | |
| Oscar Delp NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 3 | 6.3 | 0–20 | 0.9 | |
| Seth McGowan IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 6.1 | 0–19 | 1.1 | 10% |
| Jordan Whittington LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 3 | 6.1 | 0–22 | 0.7 | |
| Jaylin Lane WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 7 | 6.0 | 0–20 | 0.9 | |
| John Bates WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 3 | 6.0 | 0–18 | 1.0 | 4% |
| Justin Watson KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 5.9 | 0–20 | 0.8 | ||
| David Sills TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 5 | 5.8 | 0–20 | 0.8 | 4% |
| Dean Connors LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 3 | 5.8 | 0–17 | 1.0 | 10% |
| Jonathan Mingo DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 5 | 5.6 | 0–20 | 1.0 | |
| Andrew Ogletree IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 4 | 5.6 | 0–21 | 0.8 | 11% |
| Audric Estimé CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 4 | 5.6 | 0–18 | 0.9 | 15% |
| Nick Muse ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 5.2 | 0–20 | 0.7 | 9% |
| Colbie Young CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 5 | 5.1 | 0–18 | 0.6 | |
| Sam Roush CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 2 | 5.1 | 0–18 | 0.7 | |
| Jaleel McLaughlin CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 5.0 | 0–17 | 1.1 | 19% |
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 4.9 | 0–16 | 1.0 | 8% |
| Chris Blair ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 5 | 4.9 | 0–18 | 0.6 | |
| Cedric Tillman NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 4.8 | 0–17 | 0.7 | 5% | |
| Van Jefferson WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 4.7 | 0–15 | 0.7 | ||
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 4.6 | 0–17 | 0.6 | ||
| Jake Briningstool KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 4.6 | 0–16 | 0.7 | |
| Hunter Luepke DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 4.4 | 0–16 | 0.7 | 8% | |
| Malachi Corley CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 6 | 4.4 | 0–17 | 0.6 | |
| Jalen Cropper NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 4.4 | 0–16 | 0.6 | ||
| Tylan Wallace CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 5 | 4.3 | 0–16 | 0.5 | |
| Jack Endries CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 5 | 4.3 | 0–15 | 0.5 | |
| CJ Daniels LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 5 | 3.9 | 0–15 | 0.5 | |
| Nikko Remigio KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 5 | 3.9 | 0–15 | 0.5 | |
| Tyler Goodson DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 3.8 | 0–14 | 0.8 | 10% |
| Max Klare LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 4 | 3.7 | 0–14 | 0.5 | 3% |
| Sean Tucker TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 3 | 3.6 | 0–12 | 0.6 | 19% |
| Luke Schoonmaker DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 3 | 3.6 | 0–13 | 0.6 | |
| Kameron Johnson TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 6 | 3.5 | 0–13 | 0.4 | |
| Malik McClain NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 6 | 3.5 | 0–13 | 0.4 | |
| Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 3.5 | 0–12 | 0.5 | 7% |
| Blake Whiteheart CLE @ NO | TE | CLE vs NO | 2 | 3.4 | 0–12 | 0.5 | 5% |
| Pharaoh Brown IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 5 | 3.4 | 0–13 | 0.4 | |
| Jahdae Walker CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 5 | 3.2 | 0–12 | 0.4 | 6% |
| Emari Demercado DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 3 | 3.2 | 0–11 | 0.6 | 7% |
| Kaden Davis CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 3.0 | 0–11 | 0.4 | ||
| Ben VanSumeren KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 3.0 | 0–10 | 0.6 | 9% | |
| Anthony Gould IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 6 | 2.9 | 0–11 | 0.4 | |
| Kene Nwangwu NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 4 | 2.8 | 0–10 | 0.5 | |
| Ben Sinnott WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 2 | 2.8 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Josh Williams TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 2.7 | 0–10 | 0.5 | 8% | |
| Payne Durham TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 2 | 2.7 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Jared Wiley KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 4 | 2.5 | 0–9 | 0.4 | |
| DJ Giddens IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 2.4 | 0–9 | 0.4 | 8% |
| Colson Yankoff WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 4 | 2.4 | 0–8 | 0.4 | |
| Alex Bachman LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 6 | 2.3 | 0–10 | 0.3 | |
| Andrew Beck NYJ @ KC | FB | NYJ vs KC | 2.3 | 0–9 | 0.5 | 7% | |
| Treyton Welch NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 4 | 2.2 | 0–9 | 0.3 | |
| Craig Reynolds WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 2.0 | 0–8 | 0.4 | ||
| Michael Burton CLE @ NO | FB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 1.8 | 0–6 | 0.3 | |
| Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 1.8 | 0–6 | 0.3 | 8% |
| Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 1.7 | 0–7 | 0.3 | 20% |
| Ko Kieft TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 3 | 1.4 | 0–4 | 0.2 | |
| Sam Howell DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 13% |
| Easton Stick TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% | |
| Zach Wilson NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Will Levis NYJ @ KC | QB | NYJ vs KC | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% | |
| Dillon Gabriel CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| Riley Leonard IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →