| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Car ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 1 | 80.3 | 30–143 | 17.1 | 32% |
| Tony Pollard TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 64.5 | 28–107 | 17.9 | 25% |
| Ollie Gordon II MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 1 | 64.0 | 17–123 | 15.6 | 26% |
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 57.4 | 26–94 | 13.3 | 46% |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 34.2 | 8–66 | 7.2 | 16% |
| Seth McGowan IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 2 | 30.0 | 5–62 | 6.9 | 10% |
| Malik Willis MIA @ IND | QB | MIA vs IND | 1 | 24.7 | 1–56 | 3.7 | 19% |
| DJ Giddens IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 3 | 19.6 | 3–38 | 4.6 | 14% |
| Kyle McCord MIA @ IND | QB | MIA vs IND | 2 | 18.8 | 1–41 | 3.1 | 16% |
| Jaylen Wright MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 2 | 18.6 | 2–40 | 4.6 | |
| Kaytron Allen MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 3 | 17.1 | 2–36 | 3.9 | 13% |
| Anthony Richardson IND vs MIA | QB | IND vs MIA | 2 | 16.1 | 0–36 | 2.7 | 20% |
| Trevor Lawrence JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 15.1 | 0–34 | 2.7 | 18% |
| Daniel Jones IND vs MIA | QB | IND vs MIA | 1 | 13.2 | 0–31 | 2.7 | 14% |
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 11.9 | 0–27 | 2.6 | 10% |
| Cam Ward TEN vs JAX | QB | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 11.9 | 0–27 | 2.7 | 17% |
| Tyjae Spears TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 11.8 | 0–28 | 3.3 | 9% |
| Nicholas Singleton TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 11.1 | 0–24 | 3.2 | 13% |
| Michael Carter TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 5 | 8.4 | 0–20 | 2.4 | 15% |
| Carlos Washington MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 8.4 | 0–21 | 1.8 | 8% | |
| DJ Herman MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 8.1 | 0–20 | 1.8 | 8% | |
| Malik Washington CHART MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 1 | 6.6 | 0–19 | 1.1 | 18% |
| Riley Leonard IND vs MIA | QB | IND vs MIA | 3 | 6.2 | 0–18 | 1.1 | 10% |
| Kalel Mullings TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 5.9 | 0–15 | 1.7 | ||
| Quinn Ewers JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 5.5 | 0–16 | 1.0 | 6% |
| Mitchell Trubisky TEN vs JAX | QB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 4.7 | 0–14 | 1.1 | |
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 4.6 | 0–14 | 1.1 | 7% |
| Nick Mullens JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 4.1 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 5% | |
| Julius Chestnut TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 3.9 | 0–11 | 1.1 | |
| Chris Bell MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 3 | 2.5 | 0–10 | 0.4 | 9% |
| Ashton Dulin IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 4 | 2.2 | 0–9 | 0.3 | |
| Parker Washington JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 2.0 | 0–8 | 0.4 | 21% |
| Tyler Warren IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 1 | 1.2 | 0–4 | 0.5 | 33% |
| Deion Burks IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 5 | 1.1 | 0–2 | 0.2 | |
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 0.5 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 22% |
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 1 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 18% |
| Wan'Dale Robinson TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 30% |
| Chimere Dike TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 20% |
| Greg Dulcich MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 26% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →