| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | — ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 1 | 0.83 | 56% | ||
| Kenneth Walker III KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 1 | 0.72 | 51% | ||
| Justin Jefferson MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 1 | 0.58 | 44% | ||
| Aaron Jones MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 2 | 0.44 | 36% | ||
| Brian Robinson ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 2 | 0.38 | 31% | ||
| Tucker Kraft GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 1 | 0.37 | 31% | ||
| Rashee Rice KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 1 | 0.35 | 29% | ||
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 1 | 0.31 | 27% | ||
| T.J. Hockenson MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 1 | 0.31 | 27% | ||
| Kyle Pitts ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 1 | 0.27 | 24% | ||
| Christian Watson CHART GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 1 | 0.27 | 24% | ||
| MarShawn Lloyd GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 2 | 0.27 | 23% | ||
| Matthew Golden GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 2 | 0.24 | 22% | ||
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 0.23 | 20% | |||
| Kyler Murray MIN @ GB | QB | MIN vs GB | 1 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Jahan Dotson ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 2 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Jordan Addison MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 2 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 3 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Noah Gray KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 2 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Drake London ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 1 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Xavier Worthy KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Jordan Mason MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 1 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Austin Hooper ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 3 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Jack Strand ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 4 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Garrett Nussmeier KC @ ATL | QB | KC vs ATL | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Travis Kelce KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Patrick Mahomes KC @ ATL | QB | KC vs ATL | 1 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Justin Fields KC @ ATL | QB | KC vs ATL | 2 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Andrew Armstrong KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 5 | 0.12 | 12% | ||
| Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 1 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Nick Muse ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 4 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Jauan Jennings MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Jaydn Ott KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 3 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Carson Wentz MIN @ GB | QB | MIN vs GB | 2 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 2 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Emmett Johnson KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Ben VanSumeren KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 0.09 | 9% | |||
| Savion Williams GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 3 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Jordan Love GB vs MIN | QB | GB vs MIN | 1 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Jalen Royals KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 4 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Max Brosmer MIN @ GB | QB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Tyrod Taylor GB vs MIN | QB | GB vs MIN | 2 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Demond Claiborne MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Myles Price MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 5 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Dillon Bell MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 0.06 | 6% | |||
| Tua Tagovailoa ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Max Bredeson MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 0.06 | 6% | |||
| Kaleb Johnson GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 4 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Jonnu Smith GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 4 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Coleman Owen GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 6 | 0.05 | 4% | ||
| Pierre Strong GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 3 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Mark Redman GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 2 | 0.03 | 3% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →