✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ Tgt ⇅ TD% ⇅
Ja'Marr Chase CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 1 7.6 3–12 11.1 56%
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 1 7.1 3–11 9.8 34%
Tee Higgins CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 2 5.3 2–8 8.4 26%
Rashee Rice KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 1 5.2 2–9 7.2 29%
Drake London ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 1 5.0 2–8 8.0 16%
Sam LaPorta DET vs NE TE DET vs NE 1 4.7 1–9 6.5 34%
A.J. Brown NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 1 4.6 2–8 7.0 23%
Travis Kelce KC @ ATL TE KC vs ATL 1 4.1 1–7 5.7 13%
DK Metcalf PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 1 4.1 1–7 7.1 25%
Chase Brown CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 1 4.0 1–7 4.9 21%
Germie Bernard PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 2 4.0 1–7 5.8 30%
Jahmyr Gibbs DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 1 4.0 1–7 4.9 52%
Jameson Williams DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 2 3.8 1–7 6.1 26%
Kyle Pitts ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 1 3.5 1–6 5.1 24%
Hunter Henry NE @ DET TE NE vs DET 1 3.4 1–6 4.7 26%
Bijan Robinson ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 1 3.1 1–6 4.1 27%
DeMario Douglas NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 2 3.1 1–6 4.5 10%
Pat Freiermuth PIT @ CIN TE PIT vs CIN 2 3.0 1–6 4.0 29%
Xavier Worthy KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 2 3.0 1–5 4.9 15%
Jaylen Warren PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 1 3.0 1–6 3.8 28%
Rhamondre Stevenson NE @ DET RB NE vs DET 1 2.9 1–6 3.6 18%
Darnell Washington CHART PIT @ CIN TE PIT vs CIN 1 2.8 1–5 3.8 27%
Eli Raridon NE @ DET TE NE vs DET 2 2.6 0–5 3.8 32%
Efton Chism III NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 3 2.5 1–5 3.8 27%
Mike Gesicki CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 1 2.5 1–5 3.5 19%
Kenneth Walker III KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 1 2.4 0–5 3.0 51%
Dohnte Meyers CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 3 2.3 0–5 3.5 9%
Emmett Johnson KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 2 2.3 0–5 2.9 9%
Rico Dowdle PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 2 2.2 0–4 2.8 14%
Noah Gray KC @ ATL TE KC vs ATL 2 2.1 0–4 2.9 16%
Jahan Dotson ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 2 2.0 0–4 3.5 18%
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 3 1.3 0–3 2.2 16%
Cyrus Allen KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 3 1.3 0–3 2.1
Austin Hooper ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 3 1.2 0–3 1.6 15%
Samaje Perine CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 2 1.1 0–3 1.4 9%
Isaac TeSlaa DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 3 1.1 0–3 1.9 13%
Kyle Williams NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 4 1.1 0–3 1.8 7%
Drew Sample CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 2 1.1 0–3 1.4 9%
Charlie Woerner ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 2 1.1 0–3 1.5 10%
TreVeyon Henderson NE @ DET RB NE vs DET 2 1.0 0–3 1.3 12%
Jalen Royals KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 4 1.0 0–3 1.6 8%
Brock Wright DET vs NE TE DET vs NE 2 1.0 0–3 1.3 6%
Zachariah Branch ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 4 1.0 0–2 1.5
Brian Robinson ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 2 1.0 0–2 1.2 31%
Andrew Armstrong KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 5 0.9 0–2 1.5 12%
Khalil Herbert ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 0.9 0–2 1.2 20%
Mitchell Tinsley CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 5 0.9 0–3 1.7 15%
Jaydn Ott KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 3 0.8 0–2 1.0 10%
Lan Larison NE @ DET RB NE vs DET 4 0.7 0–2 0.9
Brandon Smith PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 4 0.7 0–2 1.1
Tyler Conklin DET vs NE TE DET vs NE 3 0.7 0–2 0.9
Justin Jackson DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 0.6 0–2 0.8 7%
Sione Vaki DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 2 0.6 0–2 0.8 6%
Nick Muse ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 4 0.6 0–2 0.8 11%
Jalen Hurd NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 0.6 0–2 1.0 6%
Kaden Wetjen PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 5 0.6 0–2 1.0 6%
Ben Skowronek PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 3 0.6 0–2 0.9
Corey Kiner NE @ DET RB NE vs DET 3 0.6 0–2 0.7 18%
Tanner Arkin NE @ DET TE NE vs DET 4 0.5 0–1 0.7
DeAndre Carter DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 5 0.5 0–1 0.8 3%
Jack Endries CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 4 0.5 0–1 0.7 9%
Beaux Collins ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 6 0.5 0–1 0.8
Brandon Johnson PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 0.4 0–1 0.7
Chris Blair ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 5 0.4 0–1 0.7
Colbie Young CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 4 0.4 0–1 0.7
Jackson Meeks DET vs NE TE DET vs NE 4 0.4 0–1 0.6
Lew Nichols III PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 4 0.4 0–1 0.5 7%
Ryan Miller NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 0.4 0–1 0.6
Eli Heidenreich PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 5 0.4 0–1 0.5 7%
Riley Nowakowski PIT @ CIN FB PIT vs CIN 1 0.4 0–1 0.5
Jake Briningstool KC @ ATL TE KC vs ATL 3 0.4 0–1 0.6
Justin Watson KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 0.4 0–1 0.6
Ben VanSumeren KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 0.4 0–1 0.5 9%
Travis Homer PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 3 0.4 0–1 0.5
Tahj Brooks CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 3 0.3 0–1 0.4 6%
Tay Martin DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 4 0.3 0–1 0.4 3%
Jacob Saylors DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 3 0.3 0–1 0.3 5%
Jared Wiley KC @ ATL TE KC vs ATL 4 0.2 0–1 0.3
Cam Grandy CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 3 0.2 0–1 0.3
Nikko Remigio KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 6 0.2 0–1 0.3
Robert Tonyan PIT @ CIN TE PIT vs CIN 3 0.2 0–1 0.3
Cameron Latu NE @ DET TE NE vs DET 3 0.2 0–1 0.2
Josh Johnson CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 0.0 0–0 0.0 7%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Tue Nov 3, 6:05 AM ET · Next Wed Nov 4, 10:00 AM ET
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