| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amon-Ra St. Brown DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 1 | 7.1 | 3–11 | 9.8 | 34% |
| Justin Jefferson MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 1 | 5.5 | 2–9 | 8.5 | 44% |
| Zay Flowers BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 5.0 | 2–8 | 7.2 | 21% |
| Sam LaPorta DET vs NE | TE | DET vs NE | 1 | 4.7 | 1–9 | 6.5 | 34% |
| A.J. Brown NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 1 | 4.6 | 2–8 | 7.0 | 23% |
| Tucker Kraft GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 1 | 4.4 | 2–7 | 6.1 | 31% |
| Matthew Golden GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 2 | 4.2 | 1–8 | 7.1 | 22% |
| T.J. Hockenson MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 1 | 4.2 | 2–7 | 5.6 | 27% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 1 | 4.0 | 1–7 | 4.9 | 52% |
| Christian Watson CHART GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 1 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 6.5 | 24% |
| Jameson Williams DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 2 | 3.8 | 1–7 | 6.1 | 26% |
| Hunter Henry NE @ DET | TE | NE vs DET | 1 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 4.7 | 26% |
| Jordan Addison MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 2 | 3.1 | 1–6 | 5.3 | 17% |
| DeMario Douglas NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 2 | 3.1 | 1–6 | 4.5 | 10% |
| Josh Jacobs GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 1 | 3.0 | 1–5 | 3.8 | 56% |
| Rhamondre Stevenson NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 1 | 2.9 | 1–6 | 3.6 | 18% |
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 2.9 | 1–6 | 4.0 | 31% |
| Mark Andrews BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 2.8 | 0–6 | 3.8 | 24% |
| Ladd McConkey CHART LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 2.8 | 1–5 | 4.2 | 20% |
| Quentin Johnston LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 2.7 | 1–5 | 4.7 | 14% |
| Eli Raridon NE @ DET | TE | NE vs DET | 2 | 2.6 | 0–5 | 3.8 | 32% |
| Efton Chism III NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 3 | 2.5 | 1–5 | 3.8 | 27% |
| Tre Harris LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 3.9 | 9% |
| Justice Hill BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 2.4 | 0–6 | 3.2 | 11% |
| Jauan Jennings MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 3 | 2.2 | 0–4 | 3.4 | 11% |
| Aaron Jones MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 2 | 2.1 | 0–5 | 2.8 | 36% |
| Savion Williams GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 3 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 8% |
| Omarion Hampton LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 2.0 | 0–5 | 2.4 | 17% |
| Charlie Kolar CHART LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 2.0 | 0–5 | 2.8 | 10% |
| Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 3.2 | 23% |
| Rashod Bateman BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 1.9 | 0–4 | 3.1 | 21% |
| KeAndre Lambert-Smith LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 4 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 3.0 | 15% |
| Kimani Vidal LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.3 | 26% |
| Keaton Mitchell LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.0 | 8% |
| Theo Wease Jr. LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 7 | 1.6 | 0–3 | 2.5 | 13% |
| Derrick Henry BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 1.8 | 33% |
| Josh Cuevas BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 13% |
| MarShawn Lloyd GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 23% |
| Isaac TeSlaa DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 3 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 13% |
| Kyle Williams NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 4 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.8 | 7% |
| Pierre Strong GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 3 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 4% |
| TreVeyon Henderson NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 2 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.3 | 12% |
| Elijah Sarratt BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 6 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.6 | |
| Brock Wright DET vs NE | TE | DET vs NE | 2 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.3 | 6% |
| Jordan Mason MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 1 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 15% |
| Gavin Bartholomew MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 2 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.2 | |
| Jonnu Smith GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 5% |
| Matthew Hibner BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 7% |
| Brenen Thompson LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 5 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Adam Randall BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 13% |
| Ben Yurosek MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Lan Larison NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Bo Melton GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.2 | |
| Tyler Conklin DET vs NE | TE | DET vs NE | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Dillon Bell MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 6% | |
| Mark Redman GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 2 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 3% |
| Devontez Walker BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.1 | |
| Justin Jackson DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 7% | |
| Sione Vaki DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 2 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Jalen Hurd NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 6% | |
| Corey Kiner NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 18% |
| Jeshaun Jones MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | ||
| J. Michael Sturdivant GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 5 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Coleman Owen GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 6 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 4% |
| Demond Claiborne MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 6% |
| DeeJay Dallas MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | ||
| Tai Felton MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 4 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Max Bredeson MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 6% | |
| Tanner Arkin NE @ DET | TE | NE vs DET | 4 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.7 | |
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 11% |
| DeAndre Carter DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 5 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | 3% |
| Odell Beckham Jr. MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | ||
| Myles Price MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 5 | 0.4 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 6% |
| Jackson Meeks DET vs NE | TE | DET vs NE | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Ryan Miller NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | ||
| Patrick Herbert LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | ||
| LaJohntay Wester BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Derius Davis LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 6 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Kaleb Johnson GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 5% |
| Scott Matlock LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 9% | |
| Nick Vannett BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Josh Whyle GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Hayden Rucci LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Tay Martin DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 3% |
| Jacob Saylors DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.3 | 5% |
| Cameron Latu NE @ DET | TE | NE vs DET | 3 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.2 | |
| Justin Herbert LAC @ BAL | QB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 32% |
| Max Brosmer MIN @ GB | QB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →