| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Att ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Goff DET @ MIA | QB | DET vs MIA | 1 | 298.4 | 36.2 | 7% | |
| Matthew Stafford LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 275.8 | 37.5 | 3% | |
| Mac Jones SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 2 | 268.9 | 35.6 | ||
| Joe Burrow CHART CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 268.3 | 35.1 | 14% | |
| Kirk Cousins LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 1 | 249.5 | 34.2 | 6% | |
| Brock Purdy CHART SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 1 | 246.1 | 31.0 | 17% | |
| Joe Flacco CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 245.1 | 40.3 | 5% | |
| Jameis Winston NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 242.0 | 33.4 | 10% | |
| Tanner McKee PHI vs NYG | QB | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 229.8 | 40.3 | ||
| Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 225.5 | 31.0 | 10% | |
| Tyler Shough NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 1 | 218.0 | 33.6 | 21% | |
| Deshaun Watson CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 210.4 | 31.2 | 17% | |
| Spencer Rattler NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 2 | 198.2 | 31.3 | 7% | |
| J.J. McCarthy CHART NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 196.9 | 23.4 | 14% | |
| Tua Tagovailoa ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 190.0 | 27.8 | ||
| Jayden Daniels CHART WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 188.1 | 27.2 | 19% | |
| Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 3 | 186.0 | 32.1 | 13% | |
| Andy Dalton ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 175.0 | 28.9 | ||
| Shedeur Sanders CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 2 | 175.0 | 26.7 | 6% | |
| Malik Willis MIA vs DET | QB | MIA vs DET | 1 | 174.7 | 20.5 | 22% | |
| Marcus Mariota WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 169.8 | 23.8 | 9% | |
| Dillon Gabriel CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 153.0 | 29.9 | 7% | |
| Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 124.0 | 16.9 | 7% | ||
| Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 3 | 102.0 | 21.7 | 9% | |
| Joe Milton III PHI vs NYG | QB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 73.0 | 12.5 | 8% | |
| Jack Strand ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 59.0 | 15.6 | 13% | |
| Joshua Dobbs DET @ MIA | QB | DET vs MIA | 2 | 16.2 | 2.3 | 7% | |
| Zach Wilson NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 10.7 | 2.5 | 10% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →