✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 1 0.85 57%
Jahmyr Gibbs DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 1 0.70 50%
Quinshon Judkins CLE @ NO RB CLE vs NO 1 0.67 49%
Bucky Irving TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 1 0.59 44%
Caleb Douglas MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 2 0.53 41%
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 1 0.45 37%
Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 2 0.44 36%
Colston Loveland CHI vs TB TE CHI vs TB 1 0.43 35%
Denzel Boston CHART CLE @ NO WR CLE vs NO 1 0.39 32%
Juwan Johnson NO vs CLE TE NO vs CLE 1 0.39 32%
Sam LaPorta DET @ MIA TE DET vs MIA 1 0.37 31%
Kenny Gainwell TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 2 0.34 29%
Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 1 0.33 28%
Chris Olave NO vs CLE WR NO vs CLE 1 0.33 28%
Devaughn Vele NO vs CLE WR NO vs CLE 2 0.32 28%
Greg Dulcich MIA vs DET TE MIA vs DET 1 0.32 27%
Emeka Egbuka TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 1 0.32 27%
Kyle Monangai CHI vs TB RB CHI vs TB 2 0.30 26%
Roschon Johnson CHI vs TB RB CHI vs TB 3 0.29 25%
Jameson Williams DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 2 0.28 24%
Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CLE RB NO vs CLE 1 0.28 24%
Ollie Gordon II MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 1 0.27 24%
Kyle Pitts ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 1 0.27 24%
Tee Higgins CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 2 0.25 22%
D'Andre Swift CHI vs TB RB CHI vs TB 1 0.25 22%
Malik Willis MIA vs DET QB MIA vs DET 1 0.24 22%
Rome Odunze CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 1 0.24 21%
Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 4 0.24 21%
Tyler Shough NO vs CLE QB NO vs CLE 1 0.23 21%
Chase Brown CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 1 0.23 21%
Luther Burden III CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 2 0.22 20%
Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 0.22 20%
Sean Tucker TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 3 0.21 19%
Jaleel McLaughlin CLE @ NO RB CLE vs NO 3 0.21 19%
Bryce Lance NO vs CLE WR NO vs CLE 3 0.20 18%
Drake London ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 1 0.20 18%
Mike Gesicki CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 1 0.20 18%
Deshaun Watson CLE @ NO QB CLE vs NO 1 0.18 17%
Kendre Miller NO vs CLE RB NO vs CLE 2 0.18 17%
Jahan Dotson ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 2 0.18 16%
Tez Johnson TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 4 0.18 16%
Isaac TeSlaa DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 3 0.18 16%
Mitchell Tinsley CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 4 0.17 16%
Harold Fannin Jr. CLE @ NO TE CLE vs NO 1 0.17 16%
Audric Estimé CLE @ NO RB CLE vs NO 4 0.17 15%
Austin Hooper ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 3 0.16 15%
Malik Washington MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 1 0.16 14%
Kyle McCord MIA vs DET QB MIA vs DET 2 0.15 14%
Joe Burrow CHART CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 1 0.15 14%
Jack Strand ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 4 0.14 13%
Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 2 0.14 13%
Ted Hurst III TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 3 0.14 13%
Caleb Williams CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 1 0.14 13%
Noah Fant NO vs CLE TE NO vs CLE 2 0.14 13%
Miller Moss CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 0.14 13%
Taylen Green CLE @ NO QB CLE vs NO 4 0.13 13%
Cade Otton TB @ CHI TE TB vs CHI 1 0.13 13%
Jalen Tolbert MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 5 0.13 12%
Kaytron Allen MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 3 0.12 12%
KC Concepcion CLE @ NO WR CLE vs NO 2 0.12 11%
Chris Godwin Jr. TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 2 0.12 11%
Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 2 0.12 11%
Case Keenum CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 3 0.11 11%
Dylan Sampson CLE @ NO RB CLE vs NO 2 0.11 11%
Drew Sample CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 2 0.11 10%
Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 1 0.11 10%
Zach Wilson NO vs CLE QB NO vs CLE 3 0.11 10%
Nick Muse ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 4 0.10 9%
Easton Stick TB @ CHI QB TB vs CHI 0.10 9%
Kalif Raymond CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 3 0.09 9%
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 3 0.09 9%
Baker Mayfield CHART TB @ CHI QB TB vs CHI 1 0.09 8%
Josh Williams TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 0.09 8%
Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI QB TB vs CHI 2 0.09 8%
CJ Donaldson NO vs CLE RB NO vs CLE 3 0.09 8%
Tyson Bagent CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 2 0.09 8%
Justin Jackson DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 0.08 8%
Chris Bell MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 3 0.08 8%
Jerry Jeudy CLE @ NO WR CLE vs NO 3 0.08 8%
Jared Goff DET @ MIA QB DET vs MIA 1 0.08 7%
Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 0.07 7%
Dillon Gabriel CLE @ NO QB CLE vs NO 3 0.07 7%
Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 7%
Joshua Dobbs DET @ MIA QB DET vs MIA 2 0.07 7%
Spencer Rattler NO vs CLE QB NO vs CLE 2 0.07 7%
Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 4 0.07 7%
Carlos Washington MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 0.07 7%
Brock Wright DET @ MIA TE DET vs MIA 2 0.07 7%
Erick All CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 6%
Cole Kmet CHI vs TB TE CHI vs TB 3 0.07 6%
Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 6%
Shedeur Sanders CLE @ NO QB CLE vs NO 2 0.07 6%
Justin Joly MIA vs DET TE MIA vs DET 4 0.06 6%
Jahdae Walker CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 5 0.06 6%
Barion Brown NO vs CLE WR NO vs CLE 4 0.06 6%
DJ Herman MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 0.06 6%
Blake Whiteheart CLE @ NO TE CLE vs NO 2 0.06 5%
Joe Flacco CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 2 0.05 5%
Jacob Saylors DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 3 0.05 5%
Cedric Tillman NO vs CLE WR NO vs CLE 0.05 5%
Sione Vaki DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 2 0.04 4%
David Sills TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 5 0.04 4%
DeAndre Carter DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 5 0.04 3%
Tay Martin DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 4 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET
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