| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 6.9 | 3–11 | 9.9 | 57% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 1 | 6.5 | 3–10 | 9.0 | 37% |
| Drake London ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 5.7 | 2–9 | 9.0 | 18% |
| Chris Olave NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 1 | 5.6 | 2–10 | 8.5 | 28% |
| Tee Higgins CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 5.1 | 2–9 | 8.1 | 22% |
| Sam LaPorta DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 1 | 4.4 | 1–8 | 6.0 | 31% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 1 | 4.3 | 2–7 | 5.5 | 50% |
| Luther Burden III CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 2 | 4.2 | 2–7 | 5.9 | 20% |
| Emeka Egbuka TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 1 | 4.1 | 1–8 | 7.5 | 27% |
| KC Concepcion CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 2 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 6.1 | 11% |
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE @ NO | TE | CLE vs NO | 1 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 5.7 | 16% |
| Malik Washington MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 1 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 5.8 | 14% |
| Devaughn Vele NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 2 | 3.8 | 1–7 | 5.7 | 28% |
| Colston Loveland CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 1 | 3.8 | 1–8 | 5.4 | 35% |
| Rome Odunze CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 1 | 3.7 | 1–7 | 6.6 | 21% |
| Chris Godwin Jr. TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 2 | 3.7 | 1–7 | 5.4 | 11% |
| Jameson Williams DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 2 | 3.7 | 1–6 | 5.9 | 24% |
| Chase Brown CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 3.6 | 1–7 | 4.4 | 21% |
| Cade Otton TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 1 | 3.6 | 1–7 | 5.1 | 13% |
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 3.5 | 1–6 | 4.6 | 28% |
| Greg Dulcich MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 1 | 3.5 | 1–6 | 4.7 | 27% |
| Kyle Pitts ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 3.5 | 1–7 | 5.0 | 24% |
| Caleb Douglas MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 2 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 5.3 | 41% |
| Denzel Boston CHART CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 1 | 3.2 | 1–6 | 5.7 | 32% |
| Juwan Johnson NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 1 | 3.0 | 0–6 | 4.1 | 32% |
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 1 | 2.8 | 1–5 | 3.4 | 24% |
| Jerry Jeudy CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 3 | 2.6 | 0–5 | 4.2 | 8% |
| Bucky Irving TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 3.0 | 44% |
| D'Andre Swift CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 3.1 | 22% |
| Kalif Raymond CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 3 | 2.2 | 0–5 | 2.9 | 9% |
| Dylan Sampson CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 2 | 2.2 | 0–4 | 2.7 | 11% |
| Quinshon Judkins CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 2.5 | 49% |
| Jahan Dotson ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 3.5 | 16% |
| Erick All CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.3 | 6% |
| Tez Johnson TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 4 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.8 | 16% |
| Mike Gesicki CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.4 | 18% |
| Ted Hurst III TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 3 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 13% |
| Chris Bell MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 3 | 1.7 | 0–3 | 3.0 | 8% |
| Cole Kmet CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 3 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.2 | 6% |
| Noah Fant NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 2 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.1 | 13% |
| Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.5 | 6% |
| Kenny Gainwell TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 1.5 | 0–4 | 1.9 | 29% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 4 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 2.6 | 21% |
| Kendre Miller NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 2 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 1.8 | 17% |
| Isaac TeSlaa DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 3 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 16% |
| Bryce Lance NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 3 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 18% |
| Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.7 | 13% |
| Roschon Johnson CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 25% |
| Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 7% |
| Drew Sample CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 10% |
| Ollie Gordon II MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 1 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 24% |
| Austin Hooper ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 15% |
| Brock Wright DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 7% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 1.1 | 0–2 | 1.7 | 9% |
| Barion Brown NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 4 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 6% |
| Kyle Monangai CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.3 | 26% |
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.3 | 20% | |
| Mitchell Tinsley CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 4 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.7 | 16% |
| Jaleel McLaughlin CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.1 | 19% |
| Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 36% |
| Will Kacmarek MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 8% |
| DJ Herman MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 6% | |
| Jared Wayne MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 6 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Audric Estimé CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 15% |
| Isaiah Bond CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 11% |
| Justin Joly MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 6% |
| Jalen Tolbert MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 12% |
| Oscar Delp NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Justin Jackson DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 8% | |
| Sione Vaki DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 2 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 4% |
| Bauer Sharp TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| Zavion Thomas CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Sam Roush CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | |
| Nick Muse ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 9% |
| Kaytron Allen MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 12% |
| Tyler Conklin DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 3 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | |
| David Sills TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 5 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | 4% |
| DeAndre Carter DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 5 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | 3% |
| Sean Tucker TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 19% |
| Carlos Washington MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 7% | |
| Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 7% |
| Jaylen Wright MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 2 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Jackson Meeks DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Cedric Tillman NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | 5% | |
| Seydou Traore MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Colbie Young CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Jack Endries CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Malachi Corley CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 6 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Chris Blair ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Josh Williams TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 8% | |
| Blake Whiteheart CLE @ NO | TE | CLE vs NO | 2 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 5% |
| Jalen Cropper NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.6 | ||
| Tylan Wallace CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Kameron Johnson TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 6 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.3 | 8% |
| Jacob Saylors DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.3 | 5% |
| Payne Durham TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Jahdae Walker CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 6% |
| Kaden Davis CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Michael Burton CLE @ NO | FB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Tay Martin DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 4 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 3% |
| Treyton Welch NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 4 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Ko Kieft TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 3 | 0.1 | 0–1 | 0.2 | |
| Easton Stick TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% | |
| Zach Wilson NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Dillon Gabriel CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →