| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | — ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 0.85 | 57% | ||
| Josh Jacobs GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 1 | 0.77 | 54% | ||
| Quinshon Judkins CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 0.67 | 49% | ||
| Ashton Jeanty LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.66 | 48% | ||
| Bucky Irving TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 0.59 | 44% | ||
| Christian McCaffrey SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.46 | 37% | ||
| Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 0.44 | 36% | ||
| Woody Marks HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 0.43 | 35% | ||
| Colston Loveland CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 1 | 0.43 | 35% | ||
| George Kittle SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.42 | 34% | ||
| Justin Herbert LAC vs HOU | QB | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 0.42 | 34% | ||
| Hunter Henry NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 1 | 0.40 | 33% | ||
| Denzel Boston CHART CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 1 | 0.39 | 32% | ||
| Juwan Johnson NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 1 | 0.39 | 32% | ||
| Eli Raridon NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 2 | 0.38 | 31% | ||
| Brock Bowers LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.37 | 31% | ||
| David Montgomery CHART HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 0.34 | 29% | ||
| Kenny Gainwell TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.34 | 29% | ||
| Tucker Kraft GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 1 | 0.34 | 29% | ||
| Christian Watson CHART GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 1 | 0.33 | 28% | ||
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 0.33 | 28% | ||
| Chris Olave NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 1 | 0.33 | 28% | ||
| Devaughn Vele NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 2 | 0.32 | 28% | ||
| Emeka Egbuka TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 1 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Nico Collins HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 0.31 | 27% | ||
| Kyle Monangai CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Kimani Vidal LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 0.29 | 25% | ||
| Roschon Johnson CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 0.29 | 25% | ||
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 1 | 0.28 | 24% | ||
| A.J. Brown NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 1 | 0.27 | 24% | ||
| Kyle Pitts ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 0.27 | 24% | ||
| MarShawn Lloyd GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 2 | 0.27 | 23% | ||
| Matthew Golden GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 2 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| Mike Evans SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Tee Higgins CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| D'Andre Swift CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Corey Kiner NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 3 | 0.24 | 22% | ||
| Rome Odunze CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 1 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Tre Tucker LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Tyler Shough NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 1 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Chase Brown CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Luther Burden III CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 0.22 | 20% | |||
| Omarion Hampton LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Sean Tucker TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 3 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Jaleel McLaughlin CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Bryce Lance NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 3 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Dalton Schultz HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Drake London ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Rhamondre Stevenson NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Mike Gesicki CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Drake Maye NE vs GB | QB | NE vs GB | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Kyle Juszczyk SF vs LV | FB | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.19 | 18% | ||
| Jaylin Noel HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 4 | 0.19 | 18% | ||
| Ladd McConkey CHART LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Brock Purdy CHART SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Jalen Nailor LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Deshaun Watson CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Foster Moreau HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Kendre Miller NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 2 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Jahan Dotson ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Tez Johnson TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 4 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Mitchell Tinsley CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 4 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE @ NO | TE | CLE vs NO | 1 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Behren Morton NE vs GB | QB | NE vs GB | 3 | 0.17 | 15% | ||
| Audric Estimé CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 4 | 0.17 | 15% | ||
| Austin Hooper ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Mike Washington Jr. LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Quentin Johnston LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| DJ Uiagalelei LAC vs HOU | QB | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| TreVeyon Henderson NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 2 | 0.16 | 14% | ||
| KeAndre Lambert-Smith CHART LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 4 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Joe Burrow CHART CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Jack Strand ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Theo Wease Jr. LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 6 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Ted Hurst III TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Caleb Williams CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Noah Fant NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Miller Moss CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 0.14 | 13% | |||
| Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Taylen Green CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 4 | 0.13 | 13% | ||
| Cade Otton TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 1 | 0.13 | 13% | ||
| Cade Stover HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 0.13 | 13% | ||
| Fernando Mendoza LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Kurtis Rourke SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 3 | 0.12 | 12% | ||
| Kayshon Boutte HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 6 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| KC Concepcion CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Roman Hemby LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 0.12 | 11% | |||
| Chris Godwin Jr. TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Malik Benson LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 5 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Cody White LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Kaelon Black SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 2 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Brandin Cooks SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 4 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Brandon Aiyuk SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 10 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Michael Mayer LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Case Keenum CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Dylan Sampson CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 2 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Charlie Kolar CHART LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Drew Sample CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ LAC | QB | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Zach Wilson NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| DeMario Douglas NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 2 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Tre Harris LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Efton Chism III NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 3 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Jawhar Jordan HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 0.10 | 9% | |||
| Nick Muse ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Easton Stick TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 0.10 | 9% | |||
| Tommy DeVito NE vs GB | QB | NE vs GB | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Kalif Raymond CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Savion Williams GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Keaton Mitchell LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Baker Mayfield CHART TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Josh Williams TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 0.09 | 8% | |||
| Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Davis Mills HOU @ LAC | QB | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Jordan Love GB @ NE | QB | GB vs NE | 1 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Tyson Bagent CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Hayden Rucci LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Jerry Jeudy CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 0.07 | 7% | |||
| Dillon Gabriel CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Dylan Laube LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Pierre Strong GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Spencer Rattler NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 2 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Erick All CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Cole Kmet CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 3 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Kyle Williams NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 4 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Shedeur Sanders CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 2 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Kirk Cousins LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Jahdae Walker CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 5 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Barion Brown NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 4 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Jalen Hurd NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 0.06 | 6% | |||
| Jordan James SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 3 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Blake Whiteheart CLE @ NO | TE | CLE vs NO | 2 | 0.06 | 5% | ||
| Tyrod Taylor GB @ NE | QB | GB vs NE | 2 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Luke Farrell SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 2 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Joe Flacco CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Jonnu Smith GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 2 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Christian Kirk SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 5 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Cedric Tillman NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 0.05 | 5% | |||
| Kaleb Johnson GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 4 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| David Sills TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 5 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Coleman Owen GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 6 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Josh Whyle GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 4 | 0.04 | 4% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →