| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puka Nacua LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 1 | 7.1 | 3–12 | 9.9 | 27% |
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 6.9 | 3–11 | 9.9 | 57% |
| Brock Bowers LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 1 | 6.0 | 2–10 | 8.3 | 31% |
| Drake London ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 5.7 | 2–9 | 9.0 | 18% |
| Chris Olave NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 1 | 5.6 | 2–10 | 8.5 | 28% |
| George Kittle SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 1 | 5.3 | 2–9 | 6.9 | 34% |
| Tee Higgins CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 5.1 | 2–9 | 8.1 | 22% |
| Nico Collins HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 4.6 | 2–8 | 6.9 | 27% |
| Christian McCaffrey SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 1 | 4.6 | 2–8 | 5.7 | 37% |
| Stefon Diggs WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 1 | 4.5 | 2–7 | 6.4 | 21% |
| Ashton Jeanty LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 1 | 4.2 | 2–7 | 5.5 | 48% |
| Tre Tucker LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 1 | 4.0 | 1–8 | 6.6 | 21% |
| Dalton Schultz HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 4.0 | 1–7 | 5.6 | 18% |
| KC Concepcion CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 2 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 6.1 | 11% |
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE @ NO | TE | CLE vs NO | 1 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 5.7 | 16% |
| Devaughn Vele NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 2 | 3.8 | 1–7 | 5.7 | 28% |
| Michael Mayer LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 2 | 3.7 | 1–7 | 5.2 | 11% |
| Chase Brown CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 3.6 | 1–7 | 4.4 | 21% |
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 3.5 | 1–6 | 4.6 | 28% |
| Chig Okonkwo WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 1 | 3.5 | 1–7 | 4.8 | 7% |
| Kyle Pitts ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 3.5 | 1–7 | 5.0 | 24% |
| Kyren Williams LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 3.4 | 1–7 | 4.5 | 44% |
| KeAndre Lambert-Smith CHART LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 4 | 3.3 | 1–6 | 5.6 | 14% |
| Mike Evans SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 1 | 3.3 | 1–6 | 5.4 | 22% |
| Denzel Boston CHART CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 1 | 3.2 | 1–6 | 5.7 | 32% |
| Terry McLaurin WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 6 | 3.2 | 0–7 | 5.0 | 17% |
| Juwan Johnson NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 1 | 3.0 | 0–6 | 4.1 | 32% |
| Tyler Higbee LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 1 | 3.0 | 1–6 | 4.2 | 10% |
| Antonio Williams WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 2 | 3.0 | 1–6 | 4.6 | 9% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 2 | 2.9 | 1–5 | 4.2 | 26% |
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 1 | 2.8 | 1–5 | 3.4 | 24% |
| Tre Harris LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 2.7 | 1–5 | 4.1 | 10% |
| Quentin Johnston LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 2.6 | 0–5 | 4.5 | 15% |
| Jerry Jeudy CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 3 | 2.6 | 0–5 | 4.2 | 8% |
| Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 4.5 | 8% |
| Colby Parkinson LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 2 | 2.4 | 0–6 | 3.4 | 29% |
| Rachaad White CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 2.4 | 1–5 | 2.8 | 31% |
| Jaylin Noel HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 4 | 2.3 | 0–5 | 3.3 | 18% |
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 2.3 | 0–4 | 3.3 | 27% |
| Dylan Sampson CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 2 | 2.2 | 0–4 | 2.7 | 11% |
| Charlie Kolar CHART LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 2.1 | 0–5 | 2.9 | 11% |
| Woody Marks HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 2.8 | 35% |
| Ladd McConkey CHART LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 2.1 | 0–5 | 3.1 | 17% |
| Quinshon Judkins CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 2.5 | 49% |
| Jahan Dotson ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 3.5 | 16% |
| Omarion Hampton LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.2 | 20% |
| Kayshon Boutte HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 6 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 11% |
| Treylon Burks WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 3 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 3.1 | 17% |
| Erick All CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.3 | 6% |
| Mike Gesicki CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.4 | 18% |
| Theo Wease Jr. LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 6 | 1.7 | 0–3 | 2.6 | 13% |
| Jalen Nailor LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 2 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 17% |
| Noah Fant NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 2 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.1 | 13% |
| Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.5 | 6% |
| Davis Allen LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 3 | 1.6 | 0–3 | 2.2 | 20% |
| Brandon Aiyuk SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 10 | 1.6 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 11% |
| Kyle Juszczyk SF vs LV | FB | SF vs LV | 1 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 18% |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.6 | 13% |
| Keaton Mitchell LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 9% |
| Kendre Miller NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 2 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 1.8 | 17% |
| Bryce Lance NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 3 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 18% |
| Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.7 | 13% |
| Jordan Watkins SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 3 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.1 | |
| Foster Moreau HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.8 | 17% |
| Brandin Cooks SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 4 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.1 | 11% |
| Konata Mumpfield LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 2 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.3 | 6% |
| Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 7% |
| David Montgomery CHART HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 29% |
| Kimani Vidal LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.7 | 25% |
| Drew Sample CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 10% |
| Tank Dell HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 5 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.9 | |
| Blake Corum LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 2 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 31% |
| Dyami Brown WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 4 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 4% |
| Cody White LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 3 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 11% |
| Jacob Cowing SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 6 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.8 | |
| Austin Hooper ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 15% |
| Austin Ekeler WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 20% |
| Jawhar Jordan HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 1.1 | 0–2 | 1.3 | 9% | |
| Tutu Atwell LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 4 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.7 | 4% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 1.1 | 0–2 | 1.7 | 9% |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 4 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.3 | 42% |
| Barion Brown NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 4 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 6% |
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.3 | 20% | |
| Mike Washington Jr. LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 15% |
| Kaelon Black SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 11% |
| Mitchell Tinsley CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 4 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.7 | 16% |
| Jaleel McLaughlin CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.1 | 19% |
| Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 36% |
| Dylan Laube LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.8 | 0–3 | 1.0 | 7% |
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 8% |
| Dean Connors LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 10% |
| Brenen Thompson LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.2 | |
| Roman Hemby LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 11% | |
| Cade Stover HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 13% |
| Deven Thompkins LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | ||
| Audric Estimé CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 15% |
| John Bates WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 4% |
| Isaiah Bond CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 11% |
| Christian Kirk SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Luke Farrell SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 2 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 5% |
| Oscar Delp NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Ian Thomas LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Jordan James SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Malik Benson LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 5 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 11% |
| Luke McCaffrey WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 5 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| James Thompson SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | ||
| Marlin Klein HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 5 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.7 | |
| Jaylin Lane WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 7 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.9 | |
| Nick Muse ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 9% |
| Jordan Whittington LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 3 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | |
| Brevin Jordan HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Lewis Bond HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | ||
| Derius Davis LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 7 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 7% |
| Van Jefferson WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | ||
| Cedric Tillman NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | 5% | |
| Colbie Young CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Jack Endries CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Hayden Rucci LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 8% |
| Malachi Corley CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 6 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Chris Blair ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Connor Heyward LV @ SF | FB | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Blake Whiteheart CLE @ NO | TE | CLE vs NO | 2 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 5% |
| Jalen Cropper NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.6 | ||
| Max Klare LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 3% |
| Patrick Herbert LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | ||
| Dare Ogunbowale HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Ben Sinnott WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 2 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Tylan Wallace CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Jack Stoll SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| CJ Daniels LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Craig Reynolds WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Colson Yankoff WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Malik Turner SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Chris Myarick LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Scott Matlock LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | ||
| Michael Burton CLE @ NO | FB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Treyton Welch NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 4 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Brayden Willis SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 3 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Alex Bachman LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 6 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Dareke Young LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 4 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Justin Herbert LAC vs HOU | QB | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 34% |
| Zach Wilson NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| Dillon Gabriel CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% | |
| Davis Mills HOU @ LAC | QB | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →