172 / 446 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 6.9 | 3–11 | 9.9 | 57% |
| Zay Flowers BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 6.0 | 2–10 | 8.8 | 25% |
| Brock Bowers LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 1 | 6.0 | 2–10 | 8.3 | 31% |
| Drake London ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 5.7 | 2–9 | 9.0 | 18% |
| Chris Olave NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 1 | 5.6 | 2–10 | 8.5 | 28% |
| Garrett Wilson NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 5.6 | 2–10 | 9.0 | 15% |
| Rashee Rice KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 5.3 | 2–8 | 7.3 | 30% |
| George Kittle SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 1 | 5.3 | 2–9 | 6.9 | 34% |
| Tee Higgins CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 5.1 | 2–9 | 8.1 | 22% |
| Christian McCaffrey SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 1 | 4.6 | 2–8 | 5.7 | 37% |
| Travis Kelce KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 4.4 | 2–7 | 6.1 | 13% |
| Brenton Strange JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 4.4 | 1–8 | 5.9 | 19% |
| Luther Burden III CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 2 | 4.2 | 2–7 | 5.9 | 20% |
| Ashton Jeanty LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 1 | 4.2 | 2–7 | 5.5 | 48% |
| Parker Washington JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 4.1 | 1–8 | 6.8 | 23% |
| Emeka Egbuka TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 1 | 4.1 | 1–8 | 7.5 | 27% |
| Tre Tucker LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 1 | 4.0 | 1–8 | 6.6 | 21% |
| KC Concepcion CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 2 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 6.1 | 11% |
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE @ NO | TE | CLE vs NO | 1 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 5.7 | 16% |
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 3.8 | 1–7 | 5.8 | 18% |
| Devaughn Vele NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 2 | 3.8 | 1–7 | 5.7 | 28% |
| Colston Loveland CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 1 | 3.8 | 1–8 | 5.4 | 35% |
| Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 3.7 | 1–7 | 5.4 | 24% |
| Rome Odunze CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 1 | 3.7 | 1–7 | 6.6 | 21% |
| Chris Godwin Jr. TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 2 | 3.7 | 1–7 | 5.4 | 11% |
| Michael Mayer LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 2 | 3.7 | 1–7 | 5.2 | 11% |
| Chase Brown CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 3.6 | 1–7 | 4.4 | 21% |
| Cade Otton TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 1 | 3.6 | 1–7 | 5.1 | 13% |
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 3.5 | 1–6 | 4.6 | 28% |
| Kyle Pitts ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 3.5 | 1–7 | 5.0 | 24% |
| Xavier Worthy KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 5.7 | 14% |
| Mike Evans SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 1 | 3.3 | 1–6 | 5.4 | 22% |
| Denzel Boston CHART CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 1 | 3.2 | 1–6 | 5.7 | 32% |
| Mark Andrews BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 3.0 | 0–6 | 4.1 | 21% |
| Juwan Johnson NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 1 | 3.0 | 0–6 | 4.1 | 32% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 2 | 2.9 | 1–5 | 4.2 | 26% |
| Kenneth Walker III KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 2.8 | 1–5 | 3.5 | 51% |
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 1 | 2.8 | 1–5 | 3.4 | 24% |
| Mason Taylor NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 2.6 | 0–6 | 3.7 | 17% |
| Jerry Jeudy CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 3 | 2.6 | 0–5 | 4.2 | 8% |
| Bucky Irving TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 3.0 | 44% |
| Braelon Allen NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 3.3 | 54% |
| Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 4.0 | 26% |
| Adonai Mitchell NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 4.9 | 9% |
| D'Andre Swift CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 3.1 | 22% |
| Breece Hall CHART NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 2.3 | 0–5 | 2.9 | 19% |
| Justice Hill BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 2.2 | 0–5 | 2.9 | 9% |
| Noah Gray KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 2.2 | 0–4 | 3.1 | 14% |
| Kalif Raymond CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 3 | 2.2 | 0–5 | 2.9 | 9% |
| Dylan Sampson CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 2 | 2.2 | 0–4 | 2.7 | 11% |
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 2.1 | 0–5 | 2.7 | 50% |
| Kenyon Sadiq NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 2.1 | 0–5 | 3.0 | 9% |
| Quinshon Judkins CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 2.5 | 49% |
| Jahan Dotson ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 3.5 | 16% |
| Rashod Bateman BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 3.3 | 23% |
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 1.9 | 0–4 | 3.2 | 13% |
| Erick All CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.3 | 6% |
| Tez Johnson TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 4 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.8 | 16% |
| Josh Cuevas BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.3 | 17% |
| Mike Gesicki CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.4 | 18% |
| Ted Hurst III TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 3 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 13% |
| Cole Kmet CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 3 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.2 | 6% |
| Jalen Nailor LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 2 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 17% |
| Emmett Johnson KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.1 | 8% |
| Noah Fant NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 2 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.1 | 13% |
| Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.5 | 6% |
| Brandon Aiyuk SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 10 | 1.6 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 11% |
| Kenny Gainwell TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 1.5 | 0–4 | 1.9 | 29% |
| Derrick Henry BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 29% |
| Kyle Juszczyk SF vs LV | FB | SF vs LV | 1 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 18% |
| Jalen Royals KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 11% |
| Andrew Armstrong KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 6 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 16% |
| Kendre Miller NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 2 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 1.8 | 17% |
| Josh Cameron JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 2.2 | 20% |
| Bryce Lance NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 3 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 18% |
| Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.7 | 13% |
| Jordan Watkins SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 3 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.1 | |
| Brandin Cooks SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 4 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.1 | 11% |
| Roschon Johnson CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 25% |
| Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 7% |
| Tim Patrick NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 4 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.9 | |
| Drew Sample CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 10% |
| Isaiah Davis NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 8% |
| Nate Boerkircher JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 8% |
| Elijah Sarratt BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 6 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.9 | |
| Isaiah Williams NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 5 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.8 | |
| Cody White LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 3 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 11% |
| Jacob Cowing SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 6 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.8 | |
| Austin Hooper ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 15% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 1.1 | 0–2 | 1.7 | 9% |
| Cyrus Allen KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 4 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.6 | |
| Jaydn Ott KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.3 | 10% |
| Barion Brown NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 4 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 6% |
| Kyle Monangai CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.3 | 26% |
| Sterling Shepard NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.5 | 11% | |
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.3 | 20% | |
| Mike Washington Jr. LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 15% |
| Kaelon Black SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 11% |
| Mitchell Tinsley CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 4 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.7 | 16% |
| Jeremy Ruckert NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.2 | 10% |
| Devontez Walker BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.5 | 8% |
| Jaleel McLaughlin CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.1 | 19% |
| Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 36% |
| Matthew Hibner BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 7% |
| Dylan Laube LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.8 | 0–3 | 1.0 | 7% |
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 8% |
| Roman Hemby LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 11% | |
| Deven Thompkins LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | ||
| Audric Estimé CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 15% |
| Isaiah Bond CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 11% |
| Jelani Woods NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Christian Kirk SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Luke Farrell SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 2 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 5% |
| Oscar Delp NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Ian Thomas LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Jordan James SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Malik Benson LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 5 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 11% |
| Bauer Sharp TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 9% |
| James Thompson SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | ||
| Zavion Thomas CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 12% |
| Sam Roush CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | |
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.6 | 6% |
| Nick Muse ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 9% |
| Jake Briningstool KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | |
| David Sills TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 5 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | 4% |
| Sean Tucker TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 19% |
| Justin Watson KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | ||
| Ben VanSumeren KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 9% | |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 13% |
| Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 7% |
| Cedric Tillman NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | 5% | |
| Colbie Young CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Jack Endries CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Kene Nwangwu NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Malachi Corley CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 6 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Nick Vannett BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Chris Blair ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Connor Heyward LV @ SF | FB | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| LaJohntay Wester BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Tanner Koziol JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Josh Williams TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 8% | |
| Blake Whiteheart CLE @ NO | TE | CLE vs NO | 2 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 5% |
| Jalen Cropper NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.6 | ||
| C.J. Williams JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 6 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Nikko Remigio KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Andrew Beck NYJ @ KC | FB | NYJ vs KC | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 7% | |
| Tylan Wallace CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Jack Stoll SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Kameron Johnson TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 6 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Jared Wiley KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Malik McClain NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 6 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Malik Turner SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.3 | 8% |
| Chris Myarick LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Payne Durham TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Jahdae Walker CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 6% |
| Kaden Davis CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Michael Burton CLE @ NO | FB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Treyton Welch NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 4 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Quintin Morris JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Brayden Willis SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 3 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Dareke Young LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 4 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Ko Kieft TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 3 | 0.1 | 0–1 | 0.2 | |
| Easton Stick TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% | |
| Zach Wilson NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Will Levis NYJ @ KC | QB | NYJ vs KC | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% | |
| Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| Dillon Gabriel CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET