✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 1 0.85 57%
Braelon Allen NYJ @ KC RB NYJ vs KC 2 0.78 54%
Chuba Hubbard CAR vs DEN RB CAR vs DEN 1 0.74 52%
Kenneth Walker III KC vs NYJ RB KC vs NYJ 1 0.71 51%
Jahmyr Gibbs DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 1 0.70 50%
Caleb Douglas MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 2 0.53 41%
Javonte Williams DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 1 0.48 38%
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 1 0.45 37%
Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 2 0.44 36%
CeeDee Lamb DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 1 0.44 36%
RJ Harvey DEN @ CAR RB DEN vs CAR 2 0.42 34%
Jonathan Taylor IND vs DAL RB IND vs DAL 1 0.41 33%
Sam LaPorta DET @ MIA TE DET vs MIA 1 0.37 31%
Rashee Rice KC vs NYJ WR KC vs NYJ 1 0.36 30%
Tyler Warren IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 1 0.35 29%
Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 1 0.33 28%
Courtland Sutton DEN @ CAR WR DEN vs CAR 2 0.33 28%
Greg Dulcich MIA vs DET TE MIA vs DET 1 0.32 27%
Tetairoa McMillan CAR vs DEN WR CAR vs DEN 1 0.30 26%
George Pickens DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 2 0.30 26%
Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ @ KC WR NYJ vs KC 2 0.28 24%
Jameson Williams DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 2 0.28 24%
Ollie Gordon II MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 1 0.27 24%
Kyle Pitts ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 1 0.27 24%
Jaylen Waddle DEN @ CAR WR DEN vs CAR 1 0.26 23%
Tee Higgins CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 2 0.25 22%
Malik Willis MIA vs DET QB MIA vs DET 1 0.24 22%
Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 4 0.24 21%
Jake Ferguson DAL @ IND TE DAL vs IND 1 0.24 21%
Chase Brown CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 1 0.23 21%
Laquon Treadwell IND vs DAL WR IND vs DAL 3 0.23 20%
Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL QB IND vs DAL 2 0.23 20%
J.K. Dobbins CHART DEN @ CAR RB DEN vs CAR 3 0.22 20%
Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 0.22 20%
Troy Franklin DEN @ CAR WR DEN vs CAR 3 0.22 19%
Breece Hall CHART NYJ @ KC RB NYJ vs KC 1 0.21 19%
Keenan Allen IND vs DAL WR IND vs DAL 2 0.21 19%
Ryan Flournoy DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 3 0.20 18%
Bo Nix DEN @ CAR QB DEN vs CAR 1 0.20 18%
Drake London ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 1 0.20 18%
Josh Downs CHART IND vs DAL WR IND vs DAL 1 0.20 18%
Mike Gesicki CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 1 0.20 18%
Jonah Coleman CHART DEN @ CAR RB DEN vs CAR 1 0.19 18%
Mason Taylor NYJ @ KC TE NYJ vs KC 1 0.18 17%
Jahan Dotson ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 2 0.18 16%
Isaac TeSlaa DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 3 0.18 16%
Dak Prescott DAL @ IND QB DAL vs IND 1 0.17 16%
Mitchell Tinsley CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 4 0.17 16%
Andrew Armstrong KC vs NYJ WR KC vs NYJ 6 0.17 16%
Mo Alie-Cox IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 3 0.17 15%
Garrett Wilson NYJ @ KC WR NYJ vs KC 1 0.17 15%
Tommy Tremble CHART CAR vs DEN TE CAR vs DEN 1 0.16 15%
Austin Hooper ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 3 0.16 15%
Darren Waller CAR vs DEN TE CAR vs DEN 2 0.16 15%
Malik Washington MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 1 0.16 14%
Xavier Worthy KC vs NYJ WR KC vs NYJ 2 0.15 14%
Jalen Coker CAR vs DEN WR CAR vs DEN 2 0.15 14%
Mitchell Evans CAR vs DEN TE CAR vs DEN 3 0.15 14%
Nate Adkins DEN @ CAR TE DEN vs CAR 3 0.15 14%
Kyle McCord MIA vs DET QB MIA vs DET 2 0.15 14%
Noah Gray KC vs NYJ TE KC vs NYJ 2 0.15 14%
Joe Burrow CHART CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 1 0.15 14%
Jack Strand ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 4 0.14 13%
Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 2 0.14 13%
Cade Klubnik NYJ @ KC QB NYJ vs KC 2 0.14 13%
Daniel Jones IND vs DAL QB IND vs DAL 1 0.14 13%
Travis Kelce KC vs NYJ TE KC vs NYJ 1 0.14 13%
Haynes King CAR vs DEN QB CAR vs DEN 3 0.14 13%
Sam Howell DAL @ IND QB DAL vs IND 2 0.14 13%
Jalen Tolbert MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 5 0.13 12%
Garrett Nussmeier KC vs NYJ QB KC vs NYJ 3 0.13 12%
Kaytron Allen MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 3 0.12 12%
Adam Trautman DEN @ CAR TE DEN vs CAR 2 0.12 11%
Patrick Mahomes KC vs NYJ QB KC vs NYJ 1 0.12 11%
Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 2 0.12 11%
Ja'Seem Reed CAR vs DEN WR CAR vs DEN 0.12 11%
Sterling Shepard NYJ @ KC WR NYJ vs KC 0.12 11%
Will Mallory IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 2 0.12 11%
Jalen Royals KC vs NYJ WR KC vs NYJ 3 0.12 11%
Anthony Tyus III CAR vs DEN RB CAR vs DEN 3 0.11 11%
Brycen Tremayne CAR vs DEN WR CAR vs DEN 3 0.11 11%
Andrew Ogletree IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 4 0.11 11%
Justin Fields KC vs NYJ QB KC vs NYJ 2 0.11 10%
Tyler Goodson DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 2 0.11 10%
Jeremy Ruckert NYJ @ KC TE NYJ vs KC 3 0.11 10%
Drew Sample CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 2 0.11 10%
John Metchie III CAR vs DEN WR CAR vs DEN 4 0.11 10%
Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 1 0.11 10%
Jaydn Ott KC vs NYJ RB KC vs NYJ 3 0.10 10%
Seth McGowan IND vs DAL RB IND vs DAL 2 0.10 10%
Bryce Young CAR vs DEN QB CAR vs DEN 1 0.10 10%
Riley Leonard IND vs DAL QB IND vs DAL 3 0.10 10%
Kenyon Sadiq NYJ @ KC TE NYJ vs KC 2 0.10 9%
Nick Muse ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 4 0.10 9%
Ben VanSumeren KC vs NYJ RB KC vs NYJ 0.10 9%
Evan Engram DEN @ CAR TE DEN vs CAR 1 0.09 9%
Sam Ehlinger DEN @ CAR QB DEN vs CAR 3 0.09 9%
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 3 0.09 9%
Adonai Mitchell NYJ @ KC WR NYJ vs KC 3 0.09 9%
Will Levis NYJ @ KC QB NYJ vs KC 0.09 9%
Isaiah Davis NYJ @ KC RB NYJ vs KC 3 0.09 8%
Hunter Luepke DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 0.09 8%
Emmett Johnson KC vs NYJ RB KC vs NYJ 2 0.08 8%
Justin Jackson DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 0.08 8%
DJ Giddens IND vs DAL RB IND vs DAL 3 0.08 8%
Chris Bell MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 3 0.08 8%
Kenny Pickett CAR vs DEN QB CAR vs DEN 2 0.08 8%
KaVontae Turpin DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 4 0.08 8%
Emari Demercado DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 3 0.08 7%
Jared Goff DET @ MIA QB DET vs MIA 1 0.08 7%
Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 0.07 7%
Marvin Mims Jr. DEN @ CAR WR DEN vs CAR 4 0.07 7%
Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 7%
Andrew Beck NYJ @ KC FB NYJ vs KC 0.07 7%
Joshua Dobbs DET @ MIA QB DET vs MIA 2 0.07 7%
Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 4 0.07 7%
Carlos Washington MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 0.07 7%
Brock Wright DET @ MIA TE DET vs MIA 2 0.07 7%
Erick All CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 6%
Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 6%
Justin Joly MIA vs DET TE MIA vs DET 4 0.06 6%
DJ Herman MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 0.06 6%
Jarrett Stidham DEN @ CAR QB DEN vs CAR 2 0.06 6%
Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL @ IND TE DAL vs IND 2 0.06 6%
Camden Brown DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 6 0.05 5%
Joe Flacco CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 2 0.05 5%
Jacob Saylors DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 3 0.05 5%
Sione Vaki DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 2 0.04 4%
DeAndre Carter DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 5 0.04 3%
Tay Martin DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 4 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET
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