✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 1 0.85 57%
Jahmyr Gibbs DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 1 0.70 50%
Ashton Jeanty LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 1 0.66 48%
Malik Nabers NYG @ PHI WR NYG vs PHI 1 0.56 43%
Caleb Douglas MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 2 0.53 41%
Javonte Williams DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 1 0.48 38%
Dameon Pierce PHI vs NYG RB PHI vs NYG 2 0.48 38%
Christian McCaffrey SF vs LV RB SF vs LV 1 0.46 37%
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 1 0.45 37%
Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 2 0.44 36%
CeeDee Lamb DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 1 0.44 36%
Isaiah Likely NYG @ PHI TE NYG vs PHI 1 0.43 35%
George Kittle SF vs LV TE SF vs LV 1 0.42 34%
Jonathan Taylor IND vs DAL RB IND vs DAL 1 0.41 33%
Sam LaPorta DET @ MIA TE DET vs MIA 1 0.37 31%
Brock Bowers LV @ SF TE LV vs SF 1 0.37 31%
DeVonta Smith PHI vs NYG WR PHI vs NYG 1 0.36 30%
Tyler Warren IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 1 0.35 29%
Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 1 0.33 28%
Dallas Goedert PHI vs NYG TE PHI vs NYG 1 0.32 27%
Greg Dulcich MIA vs DET TE MIA vs DET 1 0.32 27%
Deebo Samuel Sr. SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 2 0.30 26%
George Pickens DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 2 0.30 26%
Jameson Williams DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 2 0.28 24%
Ollie Gordon II MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 1 0.27 24%
Kyle Pitts ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 1 0.27 24%
Mike Evans SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 1 0.25 22%
Tee Higgins CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 2 0.25 22%
Malik Willis MIA vs DET QB MIA vs DET 1 0.24 22%
Cam Skattebo NYG @ PHI RB NYG vs PHI 1 0.24 22%
Darius Cooper PHI vs NYG WR PHI vs NYG 4 0.24 21%
Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 4 0.24 21%
Jake Ferguson DAL @ IND TE DAL vs IND 1 0.24 21%
Tre Tucker LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 1 0.23 21%
Chase Brown CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 1 0.23 21%
Laquon Treadwell IND vs DAL WR IND vs DAL 3 0.23 20%
Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL QB IND vs DAL 2 0.23 20%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG @ PHI RB NYG vs PHI 2 0.22 20%
Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 0.22 20%
Keenan Allen IND vs DAL WR IND vs DAL 2 0.21 19%
Devin Singletary NYG @ PHI RB NYG vs PHI 3 0.20 18%
Ryan Flournoy DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 3 0.20 18%
Drake London ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 1 0.20 18%
Dontayvion Wicks PHI vs NYG WR PHI vs NYG 2 0.20 18%
Josh Downs CHART IND vs DAL WR IND vs DAL 1 0.20 18%
Mike Gesicki CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 1 0.20 18%
Kyle Juszczyk SF vs LV FB SF vs LV 1 0.19 18%
Brock Purdy CHART SF vs LV QB SF vs LV 1 0.19 17%
Jalen Nailor LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 2 0.19 17%
Jahan Dotson ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 2 0.18 16%
Isaac TeSlaa DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 3 0.18 16%
Dak Prescott DAL @ IND QB DAL vs IND 1 0.17 16%
Mitchell Tinsley CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 4 0.17 16%
Mo Alie-Cox IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 3 0.17 15%
Malachi Fields NYG @ PHI WR NYG vs PHI 2 0.17 15%
Austin Hooper ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 3 0.16 15%
Mike Washington Jr. LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 2 0.16 15%
Malik Washington MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 1 0.16 14%
Kyle McCord MIA vs DET QB MIA vs DET 2 0.15 14%
J.J. McCarthy CHART NYG @ PHI QB NYG vs PHI 1 0.15 14%
Joe Burrow CHART CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 1 0.15 14%
Jack Strand ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 4 0.14 13%
Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 2 0.14 13%
Daniel Jones IND vs DAL QB IND vs DAL 1 0.14 13%
Saquon Barkley CHART PHI vs NYG RB PHI vs NYG 1 0.14 13%
Sam Howell DAL @ IND QB DAL vs IND 2 0.14 13%
Jalen Tolbert MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 5 0.13 12%
Fernando Mendoza LV @ SF QB LV vs SF 2 0.13 12%
Kurtis Rourke SF vs LV QB SF vs LV 3 0.12 12%
Kaytron Allen MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 3 0.12 12%
Roman Hemby LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 0.12 11%
Cole Payton PHI vs NYG QB PHI vs NYG 2 0.12 11%
Tank Bigsby PHI vs NYG RB PHI vs NYG 4 0.12 11%
Theo Johnson NYG @ PHI TE NYG vs PHI 2 0.12 11%
Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 2 0.12 11%
Malik Benson LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 5 0.12 11%
Cody White LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 3 0.12 11%
Will Mallory IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 2 0.12 11%
Kaelon Black SF vs LV RB SF vs LV 2 0.11 11%
Brandin Cooks SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 4 0.11 11%
Brandon Aiyuk SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 10 0.11 11%
Michael Mayer LV @ SF TE LV vs SF 2 0.11 11%
Andrew Ogletree IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 4 0.11 11%
Tyler Goodson DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 2 0.11 10%
Drew Sample CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 2 0.11 10%
Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 1 0.11 10%
Makai Lemon PHI vs NYG WR PHI vs NYG 3 0.11 10%
Seth McGowan IND vs DAL RB IND vs DAL 2 0.10 10%
Jameis Winston NYG @ PHI QB NYG vs PHI 2 0.10 10%
Riley Leonard IND vs DAL QB IND vs DAL 3 0.10 10%
Nick Muse ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 4 0.10 9%
Zach Ertz PHI vs NYG TE PHI vs NYG 0.09 9%
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 3 0.09 9%
Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF QB LV vs SF 3 0.09 9%
Jake Haener NYG @ PHI QB NYG vs PHI 3 0.09 8%
Hunter Luepke DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 0.09 8%
Joe Milton III PHI vs NYG QB PHI vs NYG 3 0.09 8%
Elijah Mitchell PHI vs NYG RB PHI vs NYG 3 0.09 8%
Marquise Brown PHI vs NYG WR PHI vs NYG 5 0.08 8%
Justin Jackson DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 0.08 8%
DJ Giddens IND vs DAL RB IND vs DAL 3 0.08 8%
Chris Bell MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 3 0.08 8%
KaVontae Turpin DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 4 0.08 8%
Emari Demercado DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 3 0.08 7%
Jared Goff DET @ MIA QB DET vs MIA 1 0.08 7%
Darnell Mooney NYG @ PHI WR NYG vs PHI 3 0.08 7%
Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 0.07 7%
Dylan Laube LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 3 0.07 7%
Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 7%
Joshua Dobbs DET @ MIA QB DET vs MIA 2 0.07 7%
Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 4 0.07 7%
Carlos Washington MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 0.07 7%
Brock Wright DET @ MIA TE DET vs MIA 2 0.07 7%
Erick All CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 6%
Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 6%
Justin Joly MIA vs DET TE MIA vs DET 4 0.06 6%
Kirk Cousins LV @ SF QB LV vs SF 1 0.06 6%
DJ Herman MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 0.06 6%
Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL @ IND TE DAL vs IND 2 0.06 6%
Jordan James SF vs LV RB SF vs LV 3 0.06 6%
Luke Farrell SF vs LV TE SF vs LV 2 0.05 5%
Camden Brown DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 6 0.05 5%
Joe Flacco CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 2 0.05 5%
Jacob Saylors DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 3 0.05 5%
Christian Kirk SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 5 0.05 5%
Sione Vaki DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 2 0.04 4%
Patrick Ricard NYG @ PHI RB NYG vs PHI 0.04 4%
Thomas Fidone II NYG @ PHI TE NYG vs PHI 4 0.04 4%
DeAndre Carter DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 5 0.04 3%
Tay Martin DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 4 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET
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