| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Car ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 91.4 | 44–150 | 17.6 | 33% |
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 87.0 | 38–143 | 17.9 | 28% |
| Javonte Williams DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 69.0 | 32–110 | 15.8 | 38% |
| Kyren Williams LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 57.6 | 29–90 | 13.2 | 44% |
| Chase Brown CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 43.7 | 17–74 | 11.6 | 21% |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 4 | 42.7 | 12–81 | 10.0 | 42% |
| Blake Corum LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 2 | 42.4 | 12–80 | 9.7 | 31% |
| Jayden Daniels CHART WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 35.7 | 10–66 | 5.6 | 19% |
| Seth McGowan IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 32.7 | 6–66 | 6.7 | 10% |
| Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 29.2 | 6–58 | 7.5 | 13% |
| Rachaad White CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 28.9 | 9–53 | 7.2 | 31% |
| Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 28.1 | 3–61 | 6.5 | 36% |
| Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 17.8 | 0–41 | 2.6 | 20% |
| Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 3 | 17.5 | 1–37 | 3.1 | 13% |
| Emari Demercado DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 3 | 16.9 | 0–40 | 2.9 | 7% |
| Tyler Goodson DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 15.1 | 0–38 | 3.2 | 10% |
| Marcus Mariota WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 14.8 | 0–36 | 2.3 | 9% |
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 14.6 | 1–32 | 3.3 | 20% | |
| Daniel Jones IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 14.0 | 0–33 | 2.6 | 13% |
| Jack Strand ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 13.4 | 0–31 | 2.3 | 13% |
| Austin Ekeler WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 12.6 | 0–28 | 3.2 | 20% |
| Ty Simpson LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 3 | 12.4 | 0–29 | 2.4 | 12% |
| Dak Prescott DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 12.2 | 0–28 | 2.1 | 16% |
| Craig Reynolds WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 11.1 | 0–25 | 2.6 | ||
| Joe Burrow CHART CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 10.4 | 0–25 | 2.1 | 14% |
| DJ Giddens IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 10.2 | 0–24 | 2.2 | 8% |
| Sam Howell DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 9.6 | 0–25 | 1.6 | 13% |
| Dean Connors LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 3 | 9.4 | 0–22 | 2.4 | 10% |
| Stetson Bennett LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 2 | 9.0 | 0–22 | 1.7 | 9% |
| Riley Leonard IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 7.6 | 0–21 | 1.2 | 10% |
| Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 7.4 | 0–21 | 1.4 | 10% |
| Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 6.7 | 0–17 | 2.0 | 7% |
| Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 6.4 | 0–18 | 1.3 | 7% | |
| Puka Nacua LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 1 | 5.3 | 0–16 | 0.9 | 27% |
| Hunter Luepke DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 5.2 | 0–14 | 1.2 | 8% | |
| Andy Dalton ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 4.6 | 0–14 | 0.8 | |
| Tua Tagovailoa ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 4.0 | 0–12 | 0.8 | |
| Joe Flacco CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 3.7 | 0–11 | 0.8 | 5% |
| Matthew Stafford LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 3.7 | 0–12 | 0.8 | 3% |
| Deion Burks IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 5 | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.5 | |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 4 | 2.2 | 0–7 | 0.4 | 8% |
| Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 1.9 | 0–7 | 0.3 | 7% |
| Tyler Warren IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 1 | 1.9 | 0–5 | 0.5 | 29% |
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 1 | 1.7 | 0–7 | 0.3 | 18% |
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 1.1 | 0–2 | 0.3 | 11% |
| Davis Allen LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 3 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 0.3 | 20% |
| CeeDee Lamb DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 1 | 0.8 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 36% |
| Drake London ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 0.6 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 18% |
| Ashton Dulin IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 4 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 6% |
| Dyami Brown WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 4 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 4% |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 3 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 18% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 57% |
| Jordan Whittington LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Jaylin Lane WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 7 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Drew Sample CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 21% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →