| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CeeDee Lamb DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 1 | 78.6 | 29–137 | 9.4 | 35% |
| Malik Nabers NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 72.7 | 21–132 | 9.0 | 45% |
| George Kittle SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 1 | 72.3 | 17–139 | 7.0 | 34% |
| George Pickens DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 2 | 66.7 | 12–134 | 7.2 | 23% |
| Zay Flowers BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 62.0 | 18–115 | 7.2 | 21% |
| Isaiah Likely NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 53.7 | 13–105 | 6.6 | 34% |
| Mike Evans SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 1 | 52.8 | 10–104 | 6.0 | 24% |
| Tyler Warren IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 1 | 46.0 | 10–88 | 7.0 | 33% |
| Caleb Douglas MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 2 | 45.3 | 9–91 | 5.2 | 36% |
| Keenan Allen IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 2 | 42.1 | 7–86 | 6.0 | 16% |
| Stefon Diggs WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 40.7 | 9–79 | 5.6 | 20% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 2 | 40.4 | 6–83 | 4.8 | 27% |
| Christian McCaffrey SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 39.7 | 6–81 | 5.9 | 39% |
| Ladd McConkey CHART LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 38.1 | 4–80 | 4.2 | 20% |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 3 | 38.0 | 5–81 | 4.9 | 22% |
| Malachi Fields NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 37.5 | 0–86 | 4.4 | 15% |
| Quentin Johnston LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 36.7 | 3–81 | 4.7 | 14% |
| Greg Dulcich MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 1 | 35.0 | 3–74 | 4.5 | 26% |
| Antonio Williams WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 2 | 34.3 | 5–70 | 4.7 | 9% |
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 33.8 | 0–73 | 4.0 | 31% |
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 1 | 33.2 | 0–72 | 4.6 | 18% |
| Malik Washington CHART MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 1 | 32.8 | 2–71 | 5.1 | 18% |
| Tre Harris LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 31.3 | 0–71 | 3.9 | 9% |
| Chig Okonkwo WAS @ NYG | TE | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 28.8 | 5–60 | 4.6 | 7% |
| Treylon Burks WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 3 | 27.8 | 0–69 | 4.0 | 17% |
| Mark Andrews BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 27.2 | 0–58 | 3.8 | 24% |
| Chris Bell MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 3 | 25.9 | 0–62 | 3.6 | 9% |
| Rashod Bateman BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 24.4 | 0–54 | 3.1 | 21% |
| Laquon Treadwell IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 3 | 24.3 | 0–61 | 3.2 | 17% |
| Brandon Aiyuk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 10 | 23.6 | 0–57 | 2.3 | 10% |
| Charlie Kolar CHART LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 23.1 | 0–58 | 2.8 | 10% |
| Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 22.7 | 0–53 | 3.2 | 23% |
| Theo Wease Jr. LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 7 | 22.4 | 0–55 | 2.5 | 13% |
| Jordan Watkins SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 3 | 22.0 | 0–59 | 2.4 | 5% |
| KeAndre Lambert-Smith LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 4 | 21.1 | 0–51 | 3.0 | 15% |
| Darnell Mooney NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 3 | 20.8 | 0–54 | 2.6 | 7% |
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 1 | 18.8 | 0–45 | 3.0 | 32% |
| Theo Johnson NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 18.7 | 0–45 | 2.5 | 14% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 1 | 18.2 | 0–48 | 2.9 | 18% |
| Justice Hill BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 18.2 | 0–48 | 3.2 | 11% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 2 | 17.7 | 0–45 | 2.7 | 7% |
| Rachaad White CHART WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 16.4 | 0–40 | 2.9 | 36% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 4 | 15.5 | 0–43 | 2.2 | 21% |
| Jacob Cowing SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 6 | 14.3 | 0–42 | 1.8 | |
| Josh Cuevas BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 14.1 | 0–38 | 1.9 | 13% |
| Omarion Hampton LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 13.7 | 0–36 | 2.4 | 17% |
| Kimani Vidal LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 13.2 | 0–36 | 2.3 | 26% |
| Brandin Cooks SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 4 | 13.0 | 0–36 | 1.8 | 9% |
| Cam Skattebo NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 12.4 | 0–35 | 1.9 | 19% |
| Keaton Mitchell LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 12.2 | 0–32 | 2.0 | 8% |
| Elijah Sarratt BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 6 | 12.2 | 0–34 | 1.6 | |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 4 | 11.8 | 0–35 | 1.4 | 7% |
| Javonte Williams DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 11.4 | 0–31 | 2.6 | 44% |
| Devin Singletary NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 11.2 | 0–32 | 1.8 | 20% |
| Derrick Henry BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 10.8 | 0–28 | 1.8 | 33% |
| Dyami Brown WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 4 | 10.6 | 0–34 | 1.6 | 3% |
| Kyle Juszczyk SF @ DAL | FB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 10.6 | 0–30 | 1.6 | 15% |
| Ollie Gordon II MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 1 | 10.4 | 0–28 | 2.1 | 26% |
| Brenen Thompson LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 5 | 10.1 | 0–29 | 1.3 | |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 4 | 9.9 | 0–28 | 1.7 | 20% |
| Will Mallory IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 2 | 9.9 | 0–31 | 1.4 | 8% |
| Deion Burks IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 5 | 9.9 | 0–31 | 1.3 | |
| Charlie Jones NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 4 | 9.8 | 0–30 | 1.1 | 3% |
| Austin Ekeler WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 2 | 9.3 | 0–26 | 1.6 | 29% |
| Jared Wayne MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 6 | 9.1 | 0–31 | 1.2 | |
| Christian Kirk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 5 | 9.0 | 0–29 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Devontez Walker BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 8.9 | 0–32 | 1.1 | |
| Matthew Hibner BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 8.4 | 0–24 | 1.1 | 7% |
| Ashton Dulin IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 4 | 8.2 | 0–31 | 1.0 | |
| Jalen Tolbert MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 5 | 8.2 | 0–27 | 1.1 | 10% |
| Kenneth Harris IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 7.8 | 0–25 | 1.0 | ||
| James Thompson SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 7.7 | 0–24 | 1.0 | ||
| Will Kacmarek MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 2 | 7.5 | 0–24 | 1.1 | |
| Mo Alie-Cox IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 3 | 7.5 | 0–24 | 1.1 | 14% |
| Kaelon Black SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 7.4 | 0–23 | 1.4 | 11% |
| Thomas Fidone II NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 4 | 6.7 | 0–22 | 0.8 | |
| Justin Joly MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 4 | 6.5 | 0–21 | 1.0 | 6% |
| Seth McGowan IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 2 | 6.1 | 0–19 | 1.1 | 10% |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 4 | 6.0 | 0–19 | 1.2 | 40% |
| Jonathan Mingo DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 5 | 5.9 | 0–20 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Andrew Ogletree IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 4 | 5.9 | 0–21 | 0.8 | 11% |
| Van Jefferson WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 5 | 5.8 | 0–19 | 0.9 | |
| Jaylin Lane WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 8 | 5.5 | 0–19 | 0.8 | |
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 5.4 | 0–19 | 0.7 | ||
| Adam Randall BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 5.1 | 0–16 | 1.0 | 13% |
| John Bates WAS @ NYG | TE | WAS vs NYG | 3 | 5.1 | 0–17 | 0.9 | |
| DJ Herman MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 5.0 | 0–17 | 0.9 | 8% | |
| Tyler Goodson DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 4.9 | 0–16 | 1.0 | 9% |
| Jeremy McNichols WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 3 | 4.6 | 0–14 | 0.9 | 7% |
| Jordan James SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 4.5 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 6% |
| LaJohntay Wester BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 5 | 4.5 | 0–16 | 0.6 | |
| Luke McCaffrey WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 6 | 4.5 | 0–15 | 0.6 | |
| Luke Farrell SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 2 | 4.5 | 0–14 | 0.6 | |
| Luke Schoonmaker DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 3 | 4.2 | 0–15 | 0.7 | |
| Seydou Traore MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 3 | 4.1 | 0–15 | 0.6 | |
| Patrick Herbert LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 4.0 | 0–14 | 0.6 | ||
| Camden Brown DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 6 | 3.9 | 0–15 | 0.5 | 3% |
| Jalin Hyatt NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 3.9 | 0–13 | 0.5 | ||
| Derius Davis LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 6 | 3.8 | 0–14 | 0.5 | |
| Hunter Luepke DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 3.7 | 0–14 | 0.6 | 7% | |
| Kaytron Allen MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 3 | 3.5 | 0–12 | 0.7 | 13% |
| James Mitchell DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 3.4 | 0–13 | 0.5 | ||
| Pharaoh Brown IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 5 | 3.3 | 0–13 | 0.4 | |
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 3.2 | 0–11 | 0.6 | 11% |
| Anthony Gould IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 6 | 3.2 | 0–12 | 0.4 | |
| Ben Sinnott WAS @ NYG | TE | WAS vs NYG | 2 | 3.2 | 0–11 | 0.5 | |
| Dalen Cambre NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 3.2 | 0–12 | 0.4 | ||
| Hayden Rucci LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 3.1 | 0–11 | 0.4 | |
| Carlos Washington MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 3.0 | 0–11 | 0.5 | 8% | |
| DJ Giddens IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 3 | 3.0 | 0–11 | 0.6 | 14% |
| Nick Vannett BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 2.9 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Jaylen Wright MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 2 | 2.8 | 0–10 | 0.6 | |
| Jack Stoll SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 2.8 | 0–10 | 0.4 | ||
| Craig Reynolds WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 2.5 | 0–9 | 0.4 | 4% | |
| Scott Matlock LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 2.4 | 0–9 | 0.4 | 9% | |
| Chris Manhertz NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 3 | 2.2 | 0–9 | 0.3 | |
| Colson Yankoff WAS @ NYG | TE | WAS vs NYG | 4 | 2.1 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Brayden Willis SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 3 | 2.0 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Patrick Ricard NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 1.8 | 0–5 | 0.3 | 4% | |
| Justin Herbert LAC @ BAL | QB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 32% |
| Sam Howell DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 11% |
| Jake Haener NYG vs WAS | QB | NYG vs WAS | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| Riley Leonard IND vs MIA | QB | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →