| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 91.5 | 33–160 | 9.9 | 57% |
| Drake London ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 78.8 | 25–141 | 9.0 | 18% |
| Tee Higgins CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 77.6 | 19–148 | 8.1 | 22% |
| Christian Watson CHART GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 1 | 74.7 | 19–141 | 7.5 | 28% |
| Tetairoa McMillan CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 69.2 | 20–126 | 8.2 | 26% |
| Matthew Golden GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 2 | 65.9 | 13–130 | 8.2 | 23% |
| Garrett Wilson NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 62.7 | 17–117 | 9.0 | 15% |
| A.J. Brown NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 1 | 60.5 | 16–114 | 6.9 | 24% |
| Rashee Rice KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 58.8 | 20–106 | 7.3 | 30% |
| Jalen Coker CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 58.6 | 15–112 | 6.6 | 14% |
| Tucker Kraft GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 1 | 54.7 | 13–107 | 6.2 | 29% |
| Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 54.2 | 6–116 | 5.4 | 24% |
| Jaylen Waddle DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 47.2 | 10–91 | 5.7 | 23% |
| Courtland Sutton DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 42.7 | 8–84 | 5.7 | 28% |
| Travis Kelce KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 42.1 | 11–79 | 6.1 | 13% |
| Kyle Pitts ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 40.4 | 4–85 | 5.0 | 24% |
| Hunter Henry NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 1 | 38.0 | 7–77 | 5.2 | 33% |
| Xavier Worthy KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 36.6 | 7–73 | 5.7 | 14% |
| Adonai Mitchell NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 32.6 | 0–73 | 4.9 | 9% |
| DeMario Douglas NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 2 | 32.0 | 0–71 | 4.3 | 10% |
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 30.5 | 3–67 | 4.6 | 28% |
| Josh Jacobs GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 1 | 29.6 | 6–59 | 4.5 | 54% |
| Jahan Dotson ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 26.4 | 0–59 | 3.5 | 16% |
| Savion Williams GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 3 | 26.3 | 0–59 | 3.1 | 9% |
| Eli Raridon NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 2 | 26.3 | 0–59 | 3.3 | 31% |
| Chase Brown CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 25.9 | 2–54 | 4.4 | 21% |
| Darren Waller CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 25.1 | 0–59 | 3.3 | 15% |
| Mason Taylor NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 23.5 | 0–55 | 3.7 | 17% |
| RJ Harvey DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 22.8 | 0–52 | 3.9 | 34% |
| Kenyon Sadiq NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 21.5 | 0–54 | 3.0 | 9% |
| Noah Gray KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 21.0 | 0–48 | 3.1 | 14% |
| Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 20.5 | 0–54 | 2.5 | 6% |
| Tommy Tremble CHART CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 19.7 | 0–46 | 2.9 | 15% |
| Kenneth Walker III KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 19.7 | 0–46 | 3.5 | 51% |
| Rhamondre Stevenson NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 1 | 19.4 | 0–47 | 3.2 | 18% |
| Efton Chism III NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 3 | 19.0 | 0–51 | 2.3 | 9% |
| Breece Hall CHART NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 18.8 | 0–47 | 2.9 | 19% |
| Mike Gesicki CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 18.7 | 0–49 | 2.4 | 18% |
| Braelon Allen NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 17.9 | 0–43 | 3.3 | 54% |
| John Metchie III CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 17.8 | 0–41 | 2.7 | 10% |
| Erick All CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 17.2 | 0–45 | 2.3 | 6% |
| Evan Engram DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 17.0 | 0–39 | 2.8 | 9% |
| Andrew Armstrong KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 6 | 16.5 | 0–41 | 2.4 | 16% |
| Marvin Mims Jr. DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 4 | 16.4 | 0–48 | 2.1 | 7% |
| Jalen Royals KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 16.2 | 0–42 | 2.4 | 11% |
| Troy Franklin DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 15.7 | 0–40 | 2.5 | 19% |
| Tim Patrick NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 4 | 15.5 | 0–42 | 1.9 | |
| Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 15.0 | 0–42 | 1.9 | 7% |
| Chuba Hubbard CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 14.9 | 0–35 | 3.0 | 52% |
| Pierre Strong GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 3 | 14.3 | 0–36 | 2.6 | 7% |
| Mitchell Evans CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 14.0 | 0–35 | 1.9 | 14% |
| Kyle Williams NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 4 | 13.7 | 0–42 | 1.6 | 6% |
| Brycen Tremayne CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 13.0 | 0–39 | 1.5 | 11% |
| Mitchell Tinsley CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 4 | 12.6 | 0–41 | 1.7 | 16% |
| Isaiah Williams NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 5 | 12.4 | 0–38 | 1.8 | |
| Jonah Coleman CHART DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 12.3 | 0–32 | 2.2 | 18% |
| Emmett Johnson KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 12.2 | 0–33 | 2.1 | 8% |
| Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 12.0 | 0–33 | 1.7 | 13% |
| Cyrus Allen KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 4 | 12.0 | 0–36 | 1.6 | |
| Austin Hooper ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 12.0 | 0–31 | 1.5 | 15% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 11.9 | 0–32 | 1.7 | 9% |
| Drew Sample CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 10.9 | 0–29 | 1.6 | 10% |
| MarShawn Lloyd GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 2 | 10.7 | 0–29 | 2.0 | 23% |
| Ja'Seem Reed CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 10.2 | 0–30 | 1.3 | 11% | |
| Isaiah Davis NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 9.7 | 0–28 | 1.6 | 8% |
| Sterling Shepard NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 9.7 | 0–28 | 1.5 | 11% | |
| Jonnu Smith GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 2 | 9.7 | 0–27 | 1.3 | 5% |
| Bo Melton GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 4 | 9.4 | 0–29 | 1.2 | |
| Ja'Tavion Sanders CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 5 | 8.9 | 0–26 | 1.3 | |
| David Moore CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 5 | 8.7 | 0–25 | 1.2 | |
| TreVeyon Henderson NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 2 | 7.6 | 0–20 | 1.4 | 14% |
| Jeremy Ruckert NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 7.5 | 0–24 | 1.2 | 10% |
| Lil'Jordan Humphrey DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 5 | 7.5 | 0–24 | 1.1 | |
| Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 7.5 | 0–23 | 1.1 | 36% |
| J.K. Dobbins CHART DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 7.3 | 0–20 | 1.7 | 20% |
| Adam Trautman DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 7.2 | 0–22 | 1.1 | 11% |
| Jalen Hurd NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 7.1 | 0–22 | 0.9 | 6% | |
| Mark Redman GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 3 | 7.1 | 0–22 | 1.0 | |
| Jelani Woods NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 4 | 7.0 | 0–22 | 1.0 | |
| Jaydn Ott KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 6.9 | 0–20 | 1.3 | 10% |
| Kolbe Katsis DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 6.7 | 0–22 | 0.9 | ||
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 6.6 | 0–21 | 1.0 | 11% |
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 6.5 | 0–20 | 1.3 | 20% | |
| Coleman Owen GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 6 | 6.1 | 0–20 | 0.8 | 4% |
| Dallen Bentley DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 4 | 6.1 | 0–20 | 0.9 | |
| Nate Adkins DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 5.9 | 0–20 | 0.9 | 14% |
| Justin Watson KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 5.9 | 0–20 | 0.8 | ||
| Trevor Etienne CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 5.4 | 0–16 | 1.0 | |
| J. Michael Sturdivant GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 5 | 5.2 | 0–18 | 0.7 | |
| Nick Muse ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 5.2 | 0–20 | 0.7 | 9% |
| Colbie Young CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 5 | 5.1 | 0–18 | 0.6 | |
| AJ Dillon CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 5.1 | 0–17 | 0.8 | |
| Chris Blair ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 5 | 4.9 | 0–18 | 0.6 | |
| Corey Kiner NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 3 | 4.8 | 0–16 | 0.9 | 22% |
| Tanner Arkin NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 4 | 4.7 | 0–16 | 0.7 | |
| Jake Briningstool KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 4.6 | 0–16 | 0.7 | |
| Josh Whyle GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 4 | 4.6 | 0–15 | 0.6 | 4% |
| Anthony Tyus III CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 4.3 | 0–14 | 0.8 | 11% |
| Jack Endries CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 5 | 4.3 | 0–15 | 0.5 | |
| Nikko Remigio KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 5 | 3.9 | 0–15 | 0.5 | |
| Malik McClain NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 6 | 3.5 | 0–13 | 0.4 | |
| Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 3.5 | 0–12 | 0.5 | 7% |
| Ben VanSumeren KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 3.0 | 0–10 | 0.6 | 9% | |
| Kene Nwangwu NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 4 | 2.8 | 0–10 | 0.5 | |
| Jared Wiley KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 4 | 2.5 | 0–9 | 0.4 | |
| Kaleb Johnson GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 4 | 2.3 | 0–8 | 0.4 | 4% |
| Andrew Beck NYJ @ KC | FB | NYJ vs KC | 2.3 | 0–9 | 0.5 | 7% | |
| Feleipe Franks CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 2.0 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Cameron Latu NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 3 | 2.0 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Adam Prentice DEN @ CAR | FB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 1.7 | 0–7 | 0.3 | |
| Sam Ehlinger DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| Jarrett Stidham DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 6% |
| Will Levis NYJ @ KC | QB | NYJ vs KC | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% | |
| Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →