✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ Car ⇅ TD% ⇅
Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 1 87.0 38–143 17.9 28%
Chuba Hubbard CAR vs DEN RB CAR vs DEN 1 74.4 38–115 16.0 52%
Christian McCaffrey SF vs LV RB SF vs LV 1 66.0 30–109 12.9 37%
Bucky Irving TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 1 65.1 26–111 16.3 44%
J.K. Dobbins CHART DEN @ CAR RB DEN vs CAR 3 59.8 24–104 11.7 20%
Jonah Coleman CHART DEN @ CAR RB DEN vs CAR 1 54.5 17–99 10.7 18%
Kyle Monangai CHI vs TB RB CHI vs TB 2 51.9 17–93 13.2 26%
D'Andre Swift CHI vs TB RB CHI vs TB 1 51.7 22–86 13.8 22%
Woody Marks HOU @ LAC RB HOU vs LAC 2 50.9 17–91 13.3 35%
Chase Brown CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 1 43.7 17–74 11.6 21%
Kaelon Black SF vs LV RB SF vs LV 2 43.6 16–76 9.2 11%
Omarion Hampton LAC vs HOU RB LAC vs HOU 1 43.5 15–79 11.4 20%
Ashton Jeanty LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 1 41.3 11–80 12.8 48%
David Montgomery CHART HOU @ LAC RB HOU vs LAC 1 40.3 14–72 9.1 29%
Mike Washington Jr. LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 2 37.6 11–70 9.5 15%
Jawhar Jordan HOU @ LAC RB HOU vs LAC 30.7 7–62 6.5 9%
Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 2 29.2 6–58 7.5 13%
Kimani Vidal LAC vs HOU RB LAC vs HOU 3 29.0 4–62 7.5 25%
RJ Harvey DEN @ CAR RB DEN vs CAR 2 28.9 7–57 6.5 34%
Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 2 28.1 3–61 6.5 36%
Justin Herbert LAC vs HOU QB LAC vs HOU 1 26.3 5–54 4.5 34%
Kenny Gainwell TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 2 25.0 3–53 6.6 29%
Bo Nix DEN @ CAR QB DEN vs CAR 1 22.2 0–51 3.3 18%
Brock Purdy CHART SF vs LV QB SF vs LV 1 20.6 2–44 3.4 17%
Keaton Mitchell LAC vs HOU RB LAC vs HOU 2 19.5 0–48 4.0 9%
AJ Dillon CAR vs DEN RB CAR vs DEN 4 19.1 4–37 4.8
Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI QB TB vs CHI 2 17.3 0–40 3.3 8%
Caleb Williams CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 1 16.8 0–39 3.3 13%
Sean Tucker TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 3 16.5 0–40 4.3 19%
Kurtis Rourke SF vs LV QB SF vs LV 3 16.3 0–36 2.6 12%
Trevor Etienne CAR vs DEN RB CAR vs DEN 2 16.1 1–34 3.6
Roschon Johnson CHI vs TB RB CHI vs TB 3 16.0 1–35 4.8 25%
Jordan James SF vs LV RB SF vs LV 3 15.6 1–35 3.2 6%
Haynes King CAR vs DEN QB CAR vs DEN 3 15.6 0–36 2.6 13%
Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 14.6 1–32 3.3 20%
C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ LAC QB HOU vs LAC 1 14.0 0–32 2.5 10%
Baker Mayfield CHART TB @ CHI QB TB vs CHI 1 13.5 0–34 2.4 8%
Jack Strand ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 4 13.4 0–31 2.3 13%
DJ Uiagalelei LAC vs HOU QB LAC vs HOU 2 12.8 0–30 2.5 15%
Miller Moss CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 11.6 0–27 2.4 13%
Anthony Tyus III CAR vs DEN RB CAR vs DEN 3 11.0 0–26 2.3 11%
Sam Ehlinger DEN @ CAR QB DEN vs CAR 3 10.5 0–28 1.6 9%
Bryce Young CAR vs DEN QB CAR vs DEN 1 10.5 0–27 1.6 10%
Joe Burrow CHART CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 1 10.4 0–25 2.1 14%
Fernando Mendoza LV @ SF QB LV vs SF 2 10.0 0–25 1.9 12%
Deebo Samuel Sr. SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 2 10.0 0–27 1.9 26%
Josh Williams TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 9.8 0–23 2.7 8%
Roman Hemby LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 9.4 0–22 2.5 11%
Easton Stick TB @ CHI QB TB vs CHI 9.1 0–23 1.9 9%
Davis Mills HOU @ LAC QB HOU vs LAC 2 8.8 0–23 1.5 8%
Kenny Pickett CAR vs DEN QB CAR vs DEN 2 7.9 0–22 1.4 8%
Dylan Laube LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 3 7.8 0–20 2.4 7%
Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 1 7.4 0–21 1.4 10%
Case Keenum CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 3 6.8 0–19 1.5 11%
Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 3 6.7 0–17 2.0 7%
Jarrett Stidham DEN @ CAR QB DEN vs CAR 2 6.7 0–20 1.1 6%
Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 6.4 0–18 1.3 7%
Tyson Bagent CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 2 6.2 0–18 1.3 8%
Mac Jones SF vs LV QB SF vs LV 2 6.2 0–18 1.2
Tank Dell HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 5 5.6 0–19 1.0
Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF QB LV vs SF 3 5.0 0–14 1.2 9%
Andy Dalton ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 3 4.6 0–14 0.8
Kirk Cousins LV @ SF QB LV vs SF 1 4.0 0–12 1.1 6%
Tua Tagovailoa ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 2 4.0 0–12 0.8
Dare Ogunbowale HOU @ LAC RB HOU vs LAC 3 4.0 0–11 1.0
Joe Flacco CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 2 3.7 0–11 0.8 5%
Luther Burden III CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 2 3.4 0–13 0.8 20%
Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 3 3.3 0–13 0.6 8%
Scott Matlock LAC vs HOU RB LAC vs HOU 3.1 0–9 0.8
Marvin Mims Jr. DEN @ CAR WR DEN vs CAR 4 2.8 0–12 0.5 7%
Cade Stover HOU @ LAC TE HOU vs LAC 3 2.4 0–6 0.7 13%
Jaylin Noel HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 4 2.3 0–9 0.4 18%
Tez Johnson TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 4 2.1 0–9 0.5 16%
Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 4 1.9 0–7 0.3 7%
Quentin Johnston LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 2 1.9 0–8 0.4 15%
Emeka Egbuka TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 1 1.9 0–8 0.4 27%
Nico Collins HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 1 1.8 0–7 0.3 27%
Jacob Cowing SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 6 1.8 0–8 0.3
Derius Davis LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 7 1.6 0–6 0.3
Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 2 1.1 0–2 0.3 11%
Mitchell Evans CAR vs DEN TE CAR vs DEN 3 1.0 0–2 0.3 14%
Tre Tucker LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 1 1.0 0–4 0.2 21%
Chris Godwin Jr. TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 2 1.0 0–1 0.2 11%
Jaylen Waddle DEN @ CAR WR DEN vs CAR 1 0.9 0–0 0.1 23%
Connor Heyward LV @ SF FB LV vs SF 1 0.8 0–3 0.4
Deven Thompkins LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 0.6 0–0 0.1
Drake London ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 1 0.6 0–0 0.1 18%
Troy Franklin DEN @ CAR WR DEN vs CAR 3 0.5 0–0 0.1 19%
Adam Prentice DEN @ CAR FB DEN vs CAR 1 0.4 0–0 0.1
Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 3 0.4 0–0 0.1 6%
Zavion Thomas CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 4 0.4 0–0 0.1
Kalif Raymond CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 3 0.3 0–0 0.1 9%
Malik Benson LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 5 0.3 0–0 0.1 11%
David Moore CAR vs DEN WR CAR vs DEN 5 0.3 0–0 0.1
Nate Adkins DEN @ CAR TE DEN vs CAR 3 0.2 0–0 0.1 14%
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 3 0.2 0–0 0.0 9%
Feleipe Franks CAR vs DEN TE CAR vs DEN 4 0.2 0–0 0.1
John Metchie III CAR vs DEN WR CAR vs DEN 4 0.2 0–0 0.0 10%
Oronde Gadsden II LAC vs HOU TE LAC vs HOU 2 0.2 0–0 0.1 27%
Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 1 0.1 0–0 0.0 57%
Kameron Johnson TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 6 0.1 0–0 0.0
Tre Harris LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 3 0.1 0–0 0.0 10%
Brock Bowers LV @ SF TE LV vs SF 1 0.1 0–0 0.0 31%
Jalen Nailor LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 2 0.1 0–0 0.0 17%
Darren Waller CAR vs DEN TE CAR vs DEN 2 0.1 0–0 0.0 15%
Kyle Juszczyk SF vs LV FB SF vs LV 1 0.0 0–0 0.0 18%
George Kittle SF vs LV TE SF vs LV 1 0.0 0–0 0.0 34%
Drew Sample CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 2 0.0 0–0 0.0 10%
Evan Engram DEN @ CAR TE DEN vs CAR 1 0.0 0–0 0.0 9%
Colston Loveland CHI vs TB TE CHI vs TB 1 0.0 0–0 0.0 35%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET
GARBEDGE TIME
Reference
?  How It Works