| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 91.5 | 33–160 | 9.9 | 57% |
| Drake London ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 78.8 | 25–141 | 9.0 | 18% |
| Tee Higgins CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 77.6 | 19–148 | 8.1 | 22% |
| Tetairoa McMillan CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 69.2 | 20–126 | 8.2 | 26% |
| Nico Collins HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 67.4 | 15–130 | 6.9 | 27% |
| Jalen Coker CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 58.6 | 15–112 | 6.6 | 14% |
| Jaylen Waddle DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 47.2 | 10–91 | 5.7 | 23% |
| Courtland Sutton DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 42.7 | 8–84 | 5.7 | 28% |
| KeAndre Lambert-Smith CHART LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 4 | 40.7 | 6–81 | 5.6 | 14% |
| Kyle Pitts ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 40.4 | 4–85 | 5.0 | 24% |
| Dalton Schultz HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 38.4 | 10–73 | 5.6 | 18% |
| Quentin Johnston LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 36.6 | 0–87 | 4.5 | 15% |
| Tre Harris LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 35.2 | 2–75 | 4.1 | 10% |
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 30.5 | 3–67 | 4.6 | 28% |
| Jaylin Noel HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 4 | 30.0 | 0–68 | 3.3 | 18% |
| Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 29.2 | 0–63 | 4.5 | 8% |
| Ladd McConkey CHART LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 28.7 | 0–72 | 3.1 | 17% |
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 27.6 | 0–61 | 3.3 | 27% |
| Jahan Dotson ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 26.4 | 0–59 | 3.5 | 16% |
| Chase Brown CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 25.9 | 2–54 | 4.4 | 21% |
| Darren Waller CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 25.1 | 0–59 | 3.3 | 15% |
| Charlie Kolar CHART LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 25.0 | 0–62 | 2.9 | 11% |
| Theo Wease Jr. LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 6 | 24.6 | 0–60 | 2.6 | 13% |
| Kayshon Boutte HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 6 | 24.5 | 0–56 | 2.9 | 11% |
| RJ Harvey DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 22.8 | 0–52 | 3.9 | 34% |
| Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 20.5 | 0–54 | 2.5 | 6% |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 19.8 | 0–49 | 2.6 | 13% |
| Tommy Tremble CHART CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 19.7 | 0–46 | 2.9 | 15% |
| Mike Gesicki CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 18.7 | 0–49 | 2.4 | 18% |
| John Metchie III CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 17.8 | 0–41 | 2.7 | 10% |
| Erick All CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 17.2 | 0–45 | 2.3 | 6% |
| Evan Engram DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 17.0 | 0–39 | 2.8 | 9% |
| Marvin Mims Jr. DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 4 | 16.4 | 0–48 | 2.1 | 7% |
| Tank Dell HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 5 | 16.0 | 0–42 | 1.9 | |
| Troy Franklin DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 15.7 | 0–40 | 2.5 | 19% |
| Woody Marks HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 15.4 | 0–38 | 2.8 | 35% |
| Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 15.0 | 0–42 | 1.9 | 7% |
| Chuba Hubbard CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 14.9 | 0–35 | 3.0 | 52% |
| Mitchell Evans CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 14.0 | 0–35 | 1.9 | 14% |
| Foster Moreau HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 13.2 | 0–35 | 1.8 | 17% |
| Brycen Tremayne CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 13.0 | 0–39 | 1.5 | 11% |
| Omarion Hampton LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 13.0 | 0–34 | 2.2 | 20% |
| Mitchell Tinsley CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 4 | 12.6 | 0–41 | 1.7 | 16% |
| Jonah Coleman CHART DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 12.3 | 0–32 | 2.2 | 18% |
| Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 12.0 | 0–33 | 1.7 | 13% |
| Austin Hooper ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 12.0 | 0–31 | 1.5 | 15% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 11.9 | 0–32 | 1.7 | 9% |
| Keaton Mitchell LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 11.5 | 0–31 | 1.9 | 9% |
| Drew Sample CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 10.9 | 0–29 | 1.6 | 10% |
| Ja'Seem Reed CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 10.2 | 0–30 | 1.3 | 11% | |
| Kimani Vidal LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 10.1 | 0–29 | 1.7 | 25% |
| Brenen Thompson LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 5 | 10.0 | 0–30 | 1.2 | |
| David Montgomery CHART HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 9.6 | 0–27 | 1.5 | 29% |
| Ja'Tavion Sanders CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 5 | 8.9 | 0–26 | 1.3 | |
| David Moore CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 5 | 8.7 | 0–25 | 1.2 | |
| Lil'Jordan Humphrey DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 5 | 7.5 | 0–24 | 1.1 | |
| Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 7.5 | 0–23 | 1.1 | 36% |
| J.K. Dobbins CHART DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 7.3 | 0–20 | 1.7 | 20% |
| Adam Trautman DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 7.2 | 0–22 | 1.1 | 11% |
| Jawhar Jordan HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 7.0 | 0–20 | 1.3 | 9% | |
| Kolbe Katsis DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 6.7 | 0–22 | 0.9 | ||
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 6.6 | 0–21 | 1.0 | 11% |
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 6.5 | 0–20 | 1.3 | 20% | |
| Cade Stover HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 6.4 | 0–20 | 1.0 | 13% |
| Dallen Bentley DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 4 | 6.1 | 0–20 | 0.9 | |
| Nate Adkins DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 5.9 | 0–20 | 0.9 | 14% |
| Lewis Bond HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 5.4 | 0–18 | 0.7 | ||
| Trevor Etienne CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 5.4 | 0–16 | 1.0 | |
| Nick Muse ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 5.2 | 0–20 | 0.7 | 9% |
| Colbie Young CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 5 | 5.1 | 0–18 | 0.6 | |
| AJ Dillon CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 5.1 | 0–17 | 0.8 | |
| Marlin Klein HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 5 | 4.9 | 0–16 | 0.7 | |
| Chris Blair ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 5 | 4.9 | 0–18 | 0.6 | |
| Derius Davis LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 7 | 4.6 | 0–18 | 0.6 | |
| Brevin Jordan HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 4 | 4.5 | 0–15 | 0.6 | |
| Anthony Tyus III CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 4.3 | 0–14 | 0.8 | 11% |
| Jack Endries CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 5 | 4.3 | 0–15 | 0.5 | |
| Hayden Rucci LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 4.2 | 0–15 | 0.5 | 8% |
| Patrick Herbert LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 3.6 | 0–13 | 0.5 | ||
| Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 3.5 | 0–12 | 0.5 | 7% |
| Dare Ogunbowale HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 2.7 | 0–11 | 0.5 | |
| Feleipe Franks CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 2.0 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Scott Matlock LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 1.8 | 0–7 | 0.3 | ||
| Adam Prentice DEN @ CAR | FB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 1.7 | 0–7 | 0.3 | |
| Justin Herbert LAC vs HOU | QB | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 0.5 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 34% |
| Sam Ehlinger DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| Jarrett Stidham DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 6% |
| Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% | |
| Davis Mills HOU @ LAC | QB | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →