| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 91.5 | 33–160 | 9.9 | 57% |
| Zay Flowers BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 87.8 | 24–163 | 8.8 | 25% |
| Drake London ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 78.8 | 25–141 | 9.0 | 18% |
| Tee Higgins CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 77.6 | 19–148 | 8.1 | 22% |
| Christian Watson CHART GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 1 | 74.7 | 19–141 | 7.5 | 28% |
| Malik Nabers NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 70.2 | 13–139 | 8.9 | 43% |
| George Kittle SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 1 | 69.6 | 18–131 | 6.9 | 34% |
| Matthew Golden GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 2 | 65.9 | 13–130 | 8.2 | 23% |
| DeVonta Smith PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 64.5 | 21–116 | 8.2 | 30% |
| Brock Bowers LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 1 | 63.6 | 20–112 | 8.3 | 31% |
| A.J. Brown NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 1 | 60.5 | 16–114 | 6.9 | 24% |
| Isaiah Likely NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 57.6 | 18–105 | 7.1 | 35% |
| Parker Washington JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 55.3 | 10–110 | 6.8 | 23% |
| Tucker Kraft GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 1 | 54.7 | 13–107 | 6.2 | 29% |
| Tre Tucker LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 1 | 51.1 | 7–107 | 6.6 | 21% |
| Mike Evans SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 1 | 47.1 | 7–97 | 5.4 | 22% |
| Brenton Strange JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 46.8 | 9–92 | 5.9 | 19% |
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 45.6 | 8–91 | 5.8 | 18% |
| Dallas Goedert PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 41.8 | 9–81 | 6.1 | 27% |
| Malachi Fields NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 41.2 | 5–87 | 4.9 | 15% |
| Kyle Pitts ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 40.4 | 4–85 | 5.0 | 24% |
| Christian McCaffrey SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 1 | 39.1 | 9–75 | 5.7 | 37% |
| Hunter Henry NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 1 | 38.0 | 7–77 | 5.2 | 33% |
| Makai Lemon PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 35.2 | 4–73 | 5.6 | 10% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 2 | 35.2 | 1–78 | 4.2 | 26% |
| Michael Mayer LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 2 | 35.1 | 8–67 | 5.2 | 11% |
| Mark Andrews BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 34.6 | 0–76 | 4.1 | 21% |
| Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 32.9 | 0–73 | 4.0 | 26% |
| DeMario Douglas NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 2 | 32.0 | 0–71 | 4.3 | 10% |
| Dontayvion Wicks PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 31.7 | 4–67 | 4.6 | 18% |
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 30.5 | 3–67 | 4.6 | 28% |
| Rashod Bateman BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 30.0 | 0–72 | 3.3 | 23% |
| Ashton Jeanty LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 1 | 30.0 | 5–62 | 5.5 | 48% |
| Josh Jacobs GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 1 | 29.6 | 6–59 | 4.5 | 54% |
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 27.4 | 0–66 | 3.2 | 13% |
| Jahan Dotson ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 26.4 | 0–59 | 3.5 | 16% |
| Savion Williams GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 3 | 26.3 | 0–59 | 3.1 | 9% |
| Eli Raridon NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 2 | 26.3 | 0–59 | 3.3 | 31% |
| Chase Brown CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 25.9 | 2–54 | 4.4 | 21% |
| Brandon Aiyuk SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 10 | 25.3 | 0–59 | 2.4 | 11% |
| Darnell Mooney NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 24.6 | 0–61 | 3.1 | 7% |
| Jalen Nailor LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 2 | 21.9 | 0–56 | 2.9 | 17% |
| Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 20.5 | 0–54 | 2.5 | 6% |
| Josh Cuevas BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 20.3 | 0–55 | 2.3 | 17% |
| Justice Hill BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 19.6 | 0–47 | 2.9 | 9% |
| Rhamondre Stevenson NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 1 | 19.4 | 0–47 | 3.2 | 18% |
| Jordan Watkins SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 3 | 19.1 | 0–50 | 2.1 | |
| Efton Chism III NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 3 | 19.0 | 0–51 | 2.3 | 9% |
| Mike Gesicki CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 18.7 | 0–49 | 2.4 | 18% |
| Darius Cooper PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 18.7 | 0–45 | 2.6 | 21% |
| Marquise Brown PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 5 | 18.3 | 0–44 | 2.9 | 8% |
| Josh Cameron JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 18.2 | 0–49 | 2.2 | 20% |
| Erick All CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 17.2 | 0–45 | 2.3 | 6% |
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 16.7 | 0–42 | 2.7 | 50% |
| Elijah Sarratt BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 6 | 16.0 | 0–43 | 1.9 | |
| Brandin Cooks SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 4 | 15.7 | 0–41 | 2.1 | 11% |
| Cody White LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 3 | 15.7 | 0–42 | 1.9 | 11% |
| Dameon Pierce PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 15.5 | 0–37 | 3.5 | 38% |
| Jacob Cowing SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 6 | 15.2 | 0–43 | 1.8 | |
| Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 15.0 | 0–42 | 1.9 | 7% |
| Zach Ertz PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 15.0 | 0–34 | 2.6 | 9% | |
| Theo Johnson NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 14.4 | 0–38 | 2.0 | 11% |
| Pierre Strong GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 3 | 14.3 | 0–36 | 2.6 | 7% |
| Cam Skattebo NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 14.3 | 0–36 | 2.3 | 22% |
| Elijah Mitchell PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 14.0 | 0–34 | 3.0 | 8% |
| Devontez Walker BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 4 | 14.0 | 0–43 | 1.5 | 8% |
| Kyle Williams NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 4 | 13.7 | 0–42 | 1.6 | 6% |
| Derrick Henry BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 13.5 | 0–35 | 1.9 | 29% |
| Kyle Juszczyk SF vs LV | FB | SF vs LV | 1 | 13.0 | 0–35 | 1.9 | 18% |
| Mitchell Tinsley CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 4 | 12.6 | 0–41 | 1.7 | 16% |
| Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 12.0 | 0–33 | 1.7 | 13% |
| Austin Hooper ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 12.0 | 0–31 | 1.5 | 15% |
| Devin Singletary NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 11.9 | 0–33 | 2.1 | 18% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 11.9 | 0–32 | 1.7 | 9% |
| Nate Boerkircher JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 11.6 | 0–32 | 1.6 | 8% |
| Drew Sample CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 10.9 | 0–29 | 1.6 | 10% |
| MarShawn Lloyd GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 2 | 10.7 | 0–29 | 2.0 | 23% |
| Charlie Jones NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 4 | 10.0 | 0–31 | 1.2 | |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 9.8 | 0–29 | 1.7 | 20% |
| Jonnu Smith GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 2 | 9.7 | 0–27 | 1.3 | 5% |
| Matthew Hibner BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 9.5 | 0–30 | 1.1 | 7% |
| Bo Melton GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 4 | 9.4 | 0–29 | 1.2 | |
| Christian Kirk SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 5 | 8.6 | 0–28 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Eli Stowers PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 8.0 | 0–23 | 1.3 | |
| Thomas Fidone II NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 4 | 8.0 | 0–25 | 1.0 | 4% |
| Saquon Barkley CHART PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 7.7 | 0–22 | 1.6 | 13% |
| TreVeyon Henderson NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 2 | 7.6 | 0–20 | 1.4 | 14% |
| James Thompson SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 7.5 | 0–24 | 0.9 | ||
| Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 7.5 | 0–23 | 1.1 | 36% |
| Elijah Moore PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 6 | 7.4 | 0–25 | 1.3 | |
| Malik Benson LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 5 | 7.3 | 0–24 | 1.1 | 11% |
| Jalen Hurd NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 7.1 | 0–22 | 0.9 | 6% | |
| Mark Redman GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 3 | 7.1 | 0–22 | 1.0 | |
| Deven Thompkins LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 6.9 | 0–22 | 1.0 | ||
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 6.6 | 0–21 | 1.0 | 11% |
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 6.5 | 0–20 | 1.3 | 20% | |
| Kaelon Black SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 2 | 6.5 | 0–20 | 1.2 | 11% |
| Johnny Mundt PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 6.5 | 0–20 | 1.1 | |
| Luke Farrell SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 2 | 6.4 | 0–18 | 0.9 | 5% |
| Mike Washington Jr. LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 2 | 6.4 | 0–19 | 1.2 | 15% |
| Ian Thomas LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 3 | 6.3 | 0–20 | 0.9 | |
| Coleman Owen GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 6 | 6.1 | 0–20 | 0.8 | 4% |
| Britain Covey PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 7 | 5.7 | 0–19 | 0.8 | |
| Dylan Laube LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 3 | 5.6 | 0–19 | 1.0 | 7% |
| Roman Hemby LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 5.3 | 0–17 | 0.9 | 11% | |
| J. Michael Sturdivant GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 5 | 5.2 | 0–18 | 0.7 | |
| Nick Muse ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 5.2 | 0–20 | 0.7 | 9% |
| Colbie Young CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 5 | 5.1 | 0–18 | 0.6 | |
| Grant Calcaterra PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 5.1 | 0–17 | 0.7 | |
| LaJohntay Wester BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 5 | 5.1 | 0–18 | 0.6 | |
| Chris Blair ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 5 | 4.9 | 0–18 | 0.6 | |
| Corey Kiner NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 3 | 4.8 | 0–16 | 0.9 | 22% |
| Jordan James SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 3 | 4.8 | 0–15 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Tanner Arkin NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 4 | 4.7 | 0–16 | 0.7 | |
| Tank Bigsby PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 4.6 | 0–15 | 1.0 | 11% |
| Josh Whyle GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 4 | 4.6 | 0–15 | 0.6 | 4% |
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 4.4 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 12% |
| C.J. Williams JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 6 | 4.3 | 0–16 | 0.6 | |
| Jalin Hyatt NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 4.3 | 0–15 | 0.6 | ||
| Jack Endries CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 5 | 4.3 | 0–15 | 0.5 | |
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 4.0 | 0–13 | 0.7 | 9% |
| Nick Vannett BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 4 | 3.9 | 0–13 | 0.5 | |
| Tanner Koziol JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 3.8 | 0–13 | 0.5 | |
| Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 3.5 | 0–12 | 0.5 | 7% |
| Dalen Cambre NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 3.4 | 0–13 | 0.4 | ||
| Malik Turner SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 3.4 | 0–12 | 0.4 | ||
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 3.3 | 0–12 | 0.6 | 6% |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 3.3 | 0–12 | 0.6 | 13% |
| Jack Stoll SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 3.0 | 0–11 | 0.4 | ||
| Connor Heyward LV @ SF | FB | LV vs SF | 1 | 2.9 | 0–12 | 0.5 | |
| Chris Manhertz NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.4 | |
| Chris Myarick LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 2.6 | 0–10 | 0.4 | ||
| Kaleb Johnson GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 4 | 2.3 | 0–8 | 0.4 | 4% |
| Dareke Young LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 4 | 2.2 | 0–7 | 0.3 | |
| Patrick Ricard NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 2.1 | 0–7 | 0.4 | 4% | |
| Quintin Morris JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 2.0 | 0–7 | 0.3 | |
| Cameron Latu NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 3 | 2.0 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Brayden Willis SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 3 | 1.9 | 0–7 | 0.3 | |
| Jake Haener NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| Joe Milton III PHI vs NYG | QB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →