| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 91.5 | 33–160 | 9.9 | 57% |
| Zay Flowers BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 87.8 | 24–163 | 8.8 | 25% |
| Drake London ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 78.8 | 25–141 | 9.0 | 18% |
| Tee Higgins CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 77.6 | 19–148 | 8.1 | 22% |
| Malik Nabers NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 70.2 | 13–139 | 8.9 | 43% |
| DeVonta Smith PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 64.5 | 21–116 | 8.2 | 30% |
| Luther Burden III CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 2 | 57.7 | 13–113 | 5.9 | 20% |
| Isaiah Likely NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 57.6 | 18–105 | 7.1 | 35% |
| Parker Washington JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 55.3 | 10–110 | 6.8 | 23% |
| Emeka Egbuka TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 1 | 53.4 | 5–115 | 7.5 | 27% |
| Rome Odunze CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 1 | 52.0 | 11–100 | 6.6 | 21% |
| Brenton Strange JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 46.8 | 9–92 | 5.9 | 19% |
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 45.6 | 8–91 | 5.8 | 18% |
| Chris Godwin Jr. TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 2 | 43.7 | 6–89 | 5.4 | 11% |
| Colston Loveland CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 1 | 41.9 | 1–93 | 5.4 | 35% |
| Dallas Goedert PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 41.8 | 9–81 | 6.1 | 27% |
| Malachi Fields NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 41.2 | 5–87 | 4.9 | 15% |
| Kyle Pitts ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 40.4 | 4–85 | 5.0 | 24% |
| Cade Otton TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 1 | 35.4 | 2–78 | 5.1 | 13% |
| Makai Lemon PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 35.2 | 4–73 | 5.6 | 10% |
| Mark Andrews BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 34.6 | 0–76 | 4.1 | 21% |
| Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 32.9 | 0–73 | 4.0 | 26% |
| Dontayvion Wicks PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 31.7 | 4–67 | 4.6 | 18% |
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 30.5 | 3–67 | 4.6 | 28% |
| Rashod Bateman BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 30.0 | 0–72 | 3.3 | 23% |
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 27.4 | 0–66 | 3.2 | 13% |
| Kalif Raymond CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 3 | 26.5 | 0–68 | 2.9 | 9% |
| Jahan Dotson ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 26.4 | 0–59 | 3.5 | 16% |
| Chase Brown CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 25.9 | 2–54 | 4.4 | 21% |
| Darnell Mooney NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 24.6 | 0–61 | 3.1 | 7% |
| Tez Johnson TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 4 | 23.5 | 0–59 | 2.8 | 16% |
| Ted Hurst III TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 3 | 22.9 | 0–54 | 2.9 | 13% |
| Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 20.5 | 0–54 | 2.5 | 6% |
| Josh Cuevas BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 20.3 | 0–55 | 2.3 | 17% |
| Bucky Irving TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 19.9 | 0–48 | 3.0 | 44% |
| Justice Hill BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 19.6 | 0–47 | 2.9 | 9% |
| Mike Gesicki CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 18.7 | 0–49 | 2.4 | 18% |
| Darius Cooper PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 18.7 | 0–45 | 2.6 | 21% |
| Marquise Brown PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 5 | 18.3 | 0–44 | 2.9 | 8% |
| Josh Cameron JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 18.2 | 0–49 | 2.2 | 20% |
| D'Andre Swift CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 17.8 | 0–44 | 3.1 | 22% |
| Erick All CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 17.2 | 0–45 | 2.3 | 6% |
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 16.7 | 0–42 | 2.7 | 50% |
| Cole Kmet CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 3 | 16.7 | 0–41 | 2.2 | 6% |
| Elijah Sarratt BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 6 | 16.0 | 0–43 | 1.9 | |
| Dameon Pierce PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 15.5 | 0–37 | 3.5 | 38% |
| Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 15.0 | 0–42 | 1.9 | 7% |
| Zach Ertz PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 15.0 | 0–34 | 2.6 | 9% | |
| Theo Johnson NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 14.4 | 0–38 | 2.0 | 11% |
| Cam Skattebo NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 14.3 | 0–36 | 2.3 | 22% |
| Elijah Mitchell PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 14.0 | 0–34 | 3.0 | 8% |
| Devontez Walker BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 4 | 14.0 | 0–43 | 1.5 | 8% |
| Derrick Henry BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 13.5 | 0–35 | 1.9 | 29% |
| Mitchell Tinsley CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 4 | 12.6 | 0–41 | 1.7 | 16% |
| Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 12.0 | 0–33 | 1.7 | 13% |
| Austin Hooper ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 12.0 | 0–31 | 1.5 | 15% |
| Devin Singletary NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 11.9 | 0–33 | 2.1 | 18% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 11.9 | 0–32 | 1.7 | 9% |
| Nate Boerkircher JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 11.6 | 0–32 | 1.6 | 8% |
| Drew Sample CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 10.9 | 0–29 | 1.6 | 10% |
| Kenny Gainwell TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 10.4 | 0–30 | 1.9 | 29% |
| Charlie Jones NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 4 | 10.0 | 0–31 | 1.2 | |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 9.8 | 0–29 | 1.7 | 20% |
| Matthew Hibner BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 9.5 | 0–30 | 1.1 | 7% |
| Roschon Johnson CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 8.7 | 0–25 | 1.6 | 25% |
| Eli Stowers PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 8.0 | 0–23 | 1.3 | |
| Thomas Fidone II NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 4 | 8.0 | 0–25 | 1.0 | 4% |
| Saquon Barkley CHART PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 7.7 | 0–22 | 1.6 | 13% |
| Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 7.5 | 0–23 | 1.1 | 36% |
| Elijah Moore PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 6 | 7.4 | 0–25 | 1.3 | |
| Kyle Monangai CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 7.2 | 0–23 | 1.3 | 26% |
| Zavion Thomas CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 4 | 6.8 | 0–23 | 0.9 | |
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 6.6 | 0–21 | 1.0 | 11% |
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 6.5 | 0–20 | 1.3 | 20% | |
| Johnny Mundt PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 6.5 | 0–20 | 1.1 | |
| Bauer Sharp TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 4 | 6.3 | 0–21 | 0.8 | |
| David Sills TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 5 | 5.8 | 0–20 | 0.8 | 4% |
| Britain Covey PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 7 | 5.7 | 0–19 | 0.8 | |
| Nick Muse ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 5.2 | 0–20 | 0.7 | 9% |
| Colbie Young CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 5 | 5.1 | 0–18 | 0.6 | |
| Grant Calcaterra PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 5.1 | 0–17 | 0.7 | |
| LaJohntay Wester BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 5 | 5.1 | 0–18 | 0.6 | |
| Sam Roush CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 2 | 5.1 | 0–18 | 0.7 | |
| Chris Blair ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 5 | 4.9 | 0–18 | 0.6 | |
| Tank Bigsby PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 4.6 | 0–15 | 1.0 | 11% |
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 4.4 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 12% |
| C.J. Williams JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 6 | 4.3 | 0–16 | 0.6 | |
| Jalin Hyatt NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 4.3 | 0–15 | 0.6 | ||
| Jack Endries CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 5 | 4.3 | 0–15 | 0.5 | |
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 4.0 | 0–13 | 0.7 | 9% |
| Nick Vannett BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 4 | 3.9 | 0–13 | 0.5 | |
| Tanner Koziol JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 3.8 | 0–13 | 0.5 | |
| Sean Tucker TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 3 | 3.6 | 0–12 | 0.6 | 19% |
| Kameron Johnson TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 6 | 3.5 | 0–13 | 0.4 | |
| Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 3.5 | 0–12 | 0.5 | 7% |
| Dalen Cambre NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 3.4 | 0–13 | 0.4 | ||
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 3.3 | 0–12 | 0.6 | 6% |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 3.3 | 0–12 | 0.6 | 13% |
| Jahdae Walker CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 5 | 3.2 | 0–12 | 0.4 | 6% |
| Kaden Davis CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 3.0 | 0–11 | 0.4 | ||
| Chris Manhertz NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.4 | |
| Josh Williams TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 2.7 | 0–10 | 0.5 | 8% | |
| Payne Durham TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 2 | 2.7 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Patrick Ricard NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 2.1 | 0–7 | 0.4 | 4% | |
| Quintin Morris JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 2.0 | 0–7 | 0.3 | |
| Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 1.8 | 0–6 | 0.3 | 8% |
| Ko Kieft TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 3 | 1.4 | 0–4 | 0.2 | |
| Easton Stick TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% | |
| Jake Haener NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Joe Milton III PHI vs NYG | QB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →