| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | — ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuba Hubbard CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 0.74 | 52% | ||
| Quinshon Judkins CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 0.67 | 49% | ||
| Bucky Irving TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 0.59 | 44% | ||
| Kyren Williams LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 0.57 | 44% | ||
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 4 | 0.54 | 42% | ||
| Javonte Williams DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 0.48 | 38% | ||
| CeeDee Lamb DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 1 | 0.44 | 36% | ||
| Colston Loveland CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 1 | 0.43 | 35% | ||
| RJ Harvey DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 0.42 | 34% | ||
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 0.41 | 33% | ||
| Denzel Boston CHART CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 1 | 0.39 | 32% | ||
| Juwan Johnson NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 1 | 0.39 | 32% | ||
| Rachaad White CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 0.38 | 31% | ||
| Blake Corum LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 2 | 0.37 | 31% | ||
| Tyler Warren IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 1 | 0.35 | 29% | ||
| Colby Parkinson LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 2 | 0.34 | 29% | ||
| Kenny Gainwell TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.34 | 29% | ||
| Chris Olave NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 1 | 0.33 | 28% | ||
| Courtland Sutton DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 0.33 | 28% | ||
| Devaughn Vele NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 2 | 0.32 | 28% | ||
| Emeka Egbuka TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 1 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Puka Nacua LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 1 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Kyle Monangai CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Tetairoa McMillan CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| George Pickens DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Roschon Johnson CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 0.29 | 25% | ||
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 1 | 0.28 | 24% | ||
| Jaylen Waddle DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| D'Andre Swift CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Rome Odunze CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 1 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Jake Ferguson DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 1 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Tyler Shough NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 1 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Stefon Diggs WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 1 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Laquon Treadwell IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.23 | 20% | ||
| Austin Ekeler WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 0.23 | 20% | ||
| Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 0.23 | 20% | ||
| Luther Burden III CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| J.K. Dobbins CHART DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Davis Allen LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 3 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Troy Franklin DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.22 | 19% | ||
| Jayden Daniels CHART WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Sean Tucker TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 3 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Jaleel McLaughlin CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Keenan Allen IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 2 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Bryce Lance NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 3 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Ryan Flournoy DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 3 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Bo Nix DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Jonah Coleman CHART DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 0.19 | 18% | ||
| Terry McLaurin WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 6 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Deshaun Watson CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Treylon Burks WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 3 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Kendre Miller NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 2 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Tez Johnson TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 4 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Dak Prescott DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE @ NO | TE | CLE vs NO | 1 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Mo Alie-Cox IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.17 | 15% | ||
| Audric Estimé CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 4 | 0.17 | 15% | ||
| Tommy Tremble CHART CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Darren Waller CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Jalen Coker CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Mitchell Evans CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Nate Adkins DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Ted Hurst III TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Caleb Williams CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Daniel Jones IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Noah Fant NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Haynes King CAR vs DEN | QB | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Miller Moss CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 0.14 | 13% | |||
| Sam Howell DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Taylen Green CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 4 | 0.13 | 13% | ||
| Cade Otton TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 1 | 0.13 | 13% | ||
| Ty Simpson LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 3 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| KC Concepcion CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Chris Godwin Jr. TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Adam Trautman DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Ja'Seem Reed CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 0.12 | 11% | |||
| Will Mallory IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Anthony Tyus III CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Brycen Tremayne CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Case Keenum CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Dylan Sampson CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 2 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Andrew Ogletree IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 4 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Tyler Goodson DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| John Metchie III CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Zach Wilson NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Tyler Higbee LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 1 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Seth McGowan IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Dean Connors LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 3 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Bryce Young CAR vs DEN | QB | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Riley Leonard IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Stetson Bennett LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Easton Stick TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 0.10 | 9% | |||
| Antonio Williams WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Evan Engram DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Sam Ehlinger DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Kalif Raymond CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Marcus Mariota WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Baker Mayfield CHART TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Josh Williams TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 0.09 | 8% | |||
| Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Hunter Luepke DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 0.09 | 8% | |||
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Tyson Bagent CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| DJ Giddens IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Jerry Jeudy CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Kenny Pickett CAR vs DEN | QB | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| KaVontae Turpin DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 4 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Chig Okonkwo WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 1 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Emari Demercado DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 3 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Marvin Mims Jr. DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 4 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Dillon Gabriel CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Spencer Rattler NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 2 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Cole Kmet CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 3 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Shedeur Sanders CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 2 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Jahdae Walker CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 5 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Konata Mumpfield LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Barion Brown NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 4 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Jarrett Stidham DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Blake Whiteheart CLE @ NO | TE | CLE vs NO | 2 | 0.06 | 5% | ||
| Camden Brown DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 6 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Cedric Tillman NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 0.05 | 5% | |||
| David Sills TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 5 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Dyami Brown WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 4 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Tutu Atwell LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 4 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| John Bates WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 3 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Matthew Stafford LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 0.03 | 3% | ||
| Max Klare LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 4 | 0.03 | 3% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →