| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CeeDee Lamb DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 1 | 6.1 | 2–11 | 8.9 | 36% |
| Brock Bowers LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 1 | 6.0 | 2–10 | 8.3 | 31% |
| Chris Olave NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 1 | 5.6 | 2–10 | 8.5 | 28% |
| George Kittle SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 1 | 5.3 | 2–9 | 6.9 | 34% |
| Tyler Warren IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 1 | 5.1 | 2–8 | 7.0 | 29% |
| George Pickens DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 2 | 4.7 | 2–8 | 7.6 | 26% |
| Christian McCaffrey SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 1 | 4.6 | 2–8 | 5.7 | 37% |
| Luther Burden III CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 2 | 4.2 | 2–7 | 5.9 | 20% |
| Ashton Jeanty LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 1 | 4.2 | 2–7 | 5.5 | 48% |
| Keenan Allen IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 2 | 4.1 | 2–7 | 6.4 | 19% |
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 1 | 4.1 | 2–7 | 6.3 | 18% |
| Emeka Egbuka TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 1 | 4.1 | 1–8 | 7.5 | 27% |
| Tre Tucker LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 1 | 4.0 | 1–8 | 6.6 | 21% |
| KC Concepcion CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 2 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 6.1 | 11% |
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE @ NO | TE | CLE vs NO | 1 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 5.7 | 16% |
| Devaughn Vele NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 2 | 3.8 | 1–7 | 5.7 | 28% |
| Colston Loveland CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 1 | 3.8 | 1–8 | 5.4 | 35% |
| Rome Odunze CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 1 | 3.7 | 1–7 | 6.6 | 21% |
| Chris Godwin Jr. TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 2 | 3.7 | 1–7 | 5.4 | 11% |
| Michael Mayer LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 2 | 3.7 | 1–7 | 5.2 | 11% |
| Cade Otton TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 1 | 3.6 | 1–7 | 5.1 | 13% |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 3 | 3.3 | 1–6 | 5.0 | 18% |
| Mike Evans SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 1 | 3.3 | 1–6 | 5.4 | 22% |
| Denzel Boston CHART CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 1 | 3.2 | 1–6 | 5.7 | 32% |
| Juwan Johnson NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 1 | 3.0 | 0–6 | 4.1 | 32% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 2 | 2.9 | 1–5 | 4.2 | 26% |
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 1 | 2.8 | 1–5 | 3.4 | 24% |
| Jerry Jeudy CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 3 | 2.6 | 0–5 | 4.2 | 8% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 1 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 3.4 | 21% |
| Bucky Irving TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 3.0 | 44% |
| Laquon Treadwell IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 3 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 4.0 | 20% |
| D'Andre Swift CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 3.1 | 22% |
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 2.3 | 0–4 | 3.1 | 33% |
| Kalif Raymond CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 3 | 2.2 | 0–5 | 2.9 | 9% |
| Dylan Sampson CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 2 | 2.2 | 0–4 | 2.7 | 11% |
| Quinshon Judkins CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 2.5 | 49% |
| Javonte Williams DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 1.9 | 0–5 | 2.4 | 38% |
| Tez Johnson TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 4 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.8 | 16% |
| Ted Hurst III TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 3 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 13% |
| Cole Kmet CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 3 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.2 | 6% |
| Jalen Nailor LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 2 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 17% |
| Noah Fant NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 2 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.1 | 13% |
| Brandon Aiyuk SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 10 | 1.6 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 11% |
| Will Mallory IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 2 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 11% |
| Kenny Gainwell TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 1.5 | 0–4 | 1.9 | 29% |
| Kyle Juszczyk SF vs LV | FB | SF vs LV | 1 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 18% |
| Kendre Miller NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 2 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 1.8 | 17% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 2 | 1.4 | 0–4 | 1.9 | 6% |
| Bryce Lance NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 3 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 18% |
| Jordan Watkins SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 3 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.1 | |
| Brandin Cooks SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 4 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.1 | 11% |
| Roschon Johnson CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 25% |
| Cody White LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 3 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 11% |
| Jacob Cowing SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 6 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.8 | |
| Ashton Dulin IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 4 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.8 | |
| Barion Brown NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 4 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 6% |
| Kyle Monangai CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.3 | 26% |
| Mike Washington Jr. LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 15% |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 8% |
| Kaelon Black SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 11% |
| Seth McGowan IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 10% |
| Mo Alie-Cox IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 15% |
| Jaleel McLaughlin CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.1 | 19% |
| Dylan Laube LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.8 | 0–3 | 1.0 | 7% |
| Deion Burks IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 5 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 8% |
| Roman Hemby LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 11% | |
| Deven Thompkins LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | ||
| Audric Estimé CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 15% |
| Isaiah Bond CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Christian Kirk SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Luke Farrell SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 2 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 5% |
| Oscar Delp NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Ian Thomas LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Jordan James SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Malik Benson LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 5 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 11% |
| Hunter Luepke DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 8% | |
| Bauer Sharp TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| James Thompson SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | ||
| Zavion Thomas CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Tyler Goodson DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 10% |
| Kenneth Harris IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | ||
| Andrew Ogletree IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 4 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 11% |
| Jonathan Mingo DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 5 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Camden Brown DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 6 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | 5% |
| Sam Roush CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | |
| David Sills TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 5 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | 4% |
| Emari Demercado DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 7% |
| Sean Tucker TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 19% |
| Cedric Tillman NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | 5% | |
| Malachi Corley CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 6 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Luke Schoonmaker DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Connor Heyward LV @ SF | FB | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | ||
| Josh Williams TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 8% | |
| Blake Whiteheart CLE @ NO | TE | CLE vs NO | 2 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 5% |
| Jalen Cropper NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.6 | ||
| DJ Giddens IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 8% |
| Pharaoh Brown IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Tylan Wallace CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Jack Stoll SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Kameron Johnson TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 6 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Malik Turner SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.3 | 8% |
| Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.3 | 20% |
| Chris Myarick LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Payne Durham TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Jahdae Walker CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 6% |
| Kaden Davis CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Michael Burton CLE @ NO | FB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Anthony Gould IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 6 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Treyton Welch NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 4 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Brayden Willis SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 3 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Dareke Young LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 4 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Ko Kieft TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 3 | 0.1 | 0–1 | 0.2 | |
| Sam Howell DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 13% |
| Easton Stick TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% | |
| Zach Wilson NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Riley Leonard IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| Dillon Gabriel CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →