| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | — ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braelon Allen NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 0.78 | 54% | ||
| Josh Jacobs GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 1 | 0.77 | 54% | ||
| Kenneth Walker III KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 0.71 | 51% | ||
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 0.69 | 50% | ||
| Quinshon Judkins CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 0.67 | 49% | ||
| Malik Nabers NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 0.56 | 43% | ||
| Dameon Pierce PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 0.48 | 38% | ||
| Isaiah Likely NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 0.43 | 35% | ||
| Hunter Henry NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 1 | 0.40 | 33% | ||
| Denzel Boston CHART CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 1 | 0.39 | 32% | ||
| Juwan Johnson NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 1 | 0.39 | 32% | ||
| Eli Raridon NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 2 | 0.38 | 31% | ||
| Rashee Rice KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 0.36 | 30% | ||
| DeVonta Smith PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 0.36 | 30% | ||
| Derrick Henry BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 0.35 | 29% | ||
| Tucker Kraft GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 1 | 0.34 | 29% | ||
| Christian Watson CHART GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 1 | 0.33 | 28% | ||
| Chris Olave NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 1 | 0.33 | 28% | ||
| Devaughn Vele NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 2 | 0.32 | 28% | ||
| Dallas Goedert PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Zay Flowers BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 0.29 | 25% | ||
| Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 0.28 | 24% | ||
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 1 | 0.28 | 24% | ||
| A.J. Brown NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 1 | 0.27 | 24% | ||
| MarShawn Lloyd GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 2 | 0.27 | 23% | ||
| Matthew Golden GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 2 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| Rashod Bateman BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| Parker Washington JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| Corey Kiner NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 3 | 0.24 | 22% | ||
| Cam Skattebo NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 0.24 | 22% | ||
| Darius Cooper PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Tyler Shough NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 1 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Mark Andrews BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Josh Cameron JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Brenton Strange JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 0.22 | 19% | ||
| Breece Hall CHART NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Jaleel McLaughlin CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Devin Singletary NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Bryce Lance NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 3 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Dontayvion Wicks PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Rhamondre Stevenson NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Drake Maye NE vs GB | QB | NE vs GB | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Trevor Lawrence JAX @ BAL | QB | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Mason Taylor NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Josh Cuevas BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Deshaun Watson CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Kendre Miller NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 2 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE @ NO | TE | CLE vs NO | 1 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Andrew Armstrong KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 6 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Behren Morton NE vs GB | QB | NE vs GB | 3 | 0.17 | 15% | ||
| Garrett Wilson NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 0.17 | 15% | ||
| Audric Estimé CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 4 | 0.17 | 15% | ||
| Malachi Fields NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 0.17 | 15% | ||
| Tyler Huntley BAL vs JAX | QB | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| TreVeyon Henderson NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 2 | 0.16 | 14% | ||
| Xavier Worthy KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Lamar Jackson CHART BAL vs JAX | QB | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Noah Gray KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| J.J. McCarthy CHART NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Cade Klubnik NYJ @ KC | QB | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Noah Fant NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Travis Kelce KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Saquon Barkley CHART PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Joe Fagnano BAL vs JAX | QB | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Taylen Green CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 4 | 0.13 | 13% | ||
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Garrett Nussmeier KC vs NYJ | QB | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| KC Concepcion CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Cole Payton PHI vs NYG | QB | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Patrick Mahomes KC vs NYJ | QB | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Tank Bigsby PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Theo Johnson NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Sterling Shepard NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 0.12 | 11% | |||
| Jalen Royals KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Dylan Sampson CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 2 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Justin Fields KC vs NYJ | QB | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jeremy Ruckert NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Zach Wilson NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| DeMario Douglas NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 2 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Makai Lemon PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jaydn Ott KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Jameis Winston NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Kenyon Sadiq NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Efton Chism III NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 3 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Ben VanSumeren KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 0.10 | 9% | |||
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Zach Ertz PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 0.09 | 9% | |||
| Tommy DeVito NE vs GB | QB | NE vs GB | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Adonai Mitchell NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Savion Williams GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Will Levis NYJ @ KC | QB | NYJ vs KC | 0.09 | 9% | |||
| Justice Hill BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Nate Boerkircher JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Isaiah Davis NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Jake Haener NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Jordan Love GB @ NE | QB | GB vs NE | 1 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Joe Milton III PHI vs NYG | QB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Elijah Mitchell PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Emmett Johnson KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Marquise Brown PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 5 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Devontez Walker BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 4 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Jerry Jeudy CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Darnell Mooney NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Matthew Hibner BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Dillon Gabriel CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Andrew Beck NYJ @ KC | FB | NYJ vs KC | 0.07 | 7% | |||
| Pierre Strong GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Spencer Rattler NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 2 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Quinn Ewers JAX @ BAL | QB | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Kyle Williams NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 4 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Shedeur Sanders CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 2 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Barion Brown NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 4 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Jalen Hurd NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 0.06 | 6% | |||
| Blake Whiteheart CLE @ NO | TE | CLE vs NO | 2 | 0.06 | 5% | ||
| Tyrod Taylor GB @ NE | QB | GB vs NE | 2 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Jonnu Smith GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 2 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Nick Mullens JAX @ BAL | QB | JAX vs BAL | 0.05 | 5% | |||
| Cedric Tillman NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 0.05 | 5% | |||
| Kaleb Johnson GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 4 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Patrick Ricard NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 0.04 | 4% | |||
| Thomas Fidone II NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 4 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Coleman Owen GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 6 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Josh Whyle GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 4 | 0.04 | 4% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →