| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CeeDee Lamb DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 1 | 6.1 | 2–11 | 8.9 | 36% |
| Tyler Warren IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 1 | 5.1 | 2–8 | 7.0 | 29% |
| Tetairoa McMillan CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 5.0 | 2–8 | 8.2 | 26% |
| Matthew Golden GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 2 | 4.9 | 2–9 | 8.2 | 23% |
| George Pickens DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 2 | 4.7 | 2–8 | 7.6 | 26% |
| Jalen Coker CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 4.5 | 2–8 | 6.6 | 14% |
| A.J. Brown NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 1 | 4.5 | 2–8 | 6.9 | 24% |
| Christian Watson CHART GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 1 | 4.4 | 2–7 | 7.5 | 28% |
| Tucker Kraft GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 1 | 4.4 | 2–8 | 6.2 | 29% |
| Keenan Allen IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 2 | 4.1 | 2–7 | 6.4 | 19% |
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 1 | 4.1 | 2–7 | 6.3 | 18% |
| Jaylen Waddle DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 3.8 | 1–7 | 5.7 | 23% |
| Hunter Henry NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 1 | 3.6 | 1–7 | 5.2 | 33% |
| Josh Jacobs GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 1 | 3.5 | 1–6 | 4.5 | 54% |
| Courtland Sutton DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 3.5 | 1–6 | 5.7 | 28% |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 3 | 3.3 | 1–6 | 5.0 | 18% |
| RJ Harvey DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 3.2 | 1–6 | 3.9 | 34% |
| DeMario Douglas NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 2 | 2.9 | 1–6 | 4.3 | 10% |
| Rhamondre Stevenson NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 1 | 2.6 | 0–5 | 3.2 | 18% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 1 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 3.4 | 21% |
| Eli Raridon NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 2 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 3.3 | 31% |
| Laquon Treadwell IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 3 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 4.0 | 20% |
| Chuba Hubbard CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 3.0 | 52% |
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 2.3 | 0–4 | 3.1 | 33% |
| Savion Williams GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 3 | 2.2 | 0–4 | 3.1 | 9% |
| Darren Waller CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 2.2 | 0–5 | 3.3 | 15% |
| Tommy Tremble CHART CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 15% |
| Evan Engram DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 2.8 | 9% |
| Pierre Strong GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 3 | 1.9 | 0–4 | 2.6 | 7% |
| Javonte Williams DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 1.9 | 0–5 | 2.4 | 38% |
| Jonah Coleman CHART DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.2 | 18% |
| John Metchie III CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 1.7 | 0–3 | 2.7 | 10% |
| Will Mallory IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 2 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 11% |
| MarShawn Lloyd GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 2 | 1.5 | 0–4 | 2.0 | 23% |
| Efton Chism III NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 3 | 1.5 | 0–4 | 2.3 | 9% |
| Troy Franklin DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.5 | 19% |
| Marvin Mims Jr. DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 4 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 2.1 | 7% |
| J.K. Dobbins CHART DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 1.7 | 20% |
| Mitchell Evans CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 14% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 2 | 1.4 | 0–4 | 1.9 | 6% |
| TreVeyon Henderson NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 14% |
| Ashton Dulin IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 4 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.8 | |
| Brycen Tremayne CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 11% |
| Jonnu Smith GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 2 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.3 | 5% |
| Ja'Tavion Sanders CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 5 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 8% |
| Kyle Williams NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.6 | 6% |
| Seth McGowan IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 10% |
| Mo Alie-Cox IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 15% |
| Ja'Seem Reed CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.3 | 11% | |
| Deion Burks IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 5 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Trevor Etienne CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Adam Trautman DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 11% |
| Bo Melton GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.2 | |
| David Moore CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.2 | |
| Lil'Jordan Humphrey DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | |
| Mark Redman GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Corey Kiner NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 22% |
| Nate Adkins DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 14% |
| AJ Dillon CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| Dallen Bentley DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Hunter Luepke DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 8% | |
| Jalen Hurd NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 6% | |
| Anthony Tyus III CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 11% |
| Kolbe Katsis DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | ||
| Tyler Goodson DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 10% |
| Kenneth Harris IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | ||
| Andrew Ogletree IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 4 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 11% |
| Jonathan Mingo DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 5 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Camden Brown DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 6 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | 5% |
| Coleman Owen GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 6 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | 4% |
| Tanner Arkin NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 4 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.7 | |
| Emari Demercado DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 7% |
| Josh Whyle GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 4 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 4% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | |
| Luke Schoonmaker DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | ||
| DJ Giddens IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 8% |
| Kaleb Johnson GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 4% |
| Pharaoh Brown IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.3 | 20% |
| Anthony Gould IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 6 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Adam Prentice DEN @ CAR | FB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Cameron Latu NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 3 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Feleipe Franks CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Sam Howell DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 13% |
| Sam Ehlinger DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| Jarrett Stidham DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 6% |
| Riley Leonard IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →