| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Att ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dak Prescott DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 264.6 | 37.4 | 16% | |
| Trevor Lawrence JAX @ BAL | QB | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 256.8 | 32.4 | 17% | |
| Caleb Williams CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 243.8 | 31.9 | 13% | |
| Bryce Young CAR vs DEN | QB | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 243.7 | 34.2 | 10% | |
| Jameis Winston NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 242.0 | 33.4 | 10% | |
| Tanner McKee PHI vs NYG | QB | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 229.8 | 40.3 | ||
| Daniel Jones IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 221.1 | 33.6 | 13% | |
| Lamar Jackson CHART BAL vs JAX | QB | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 214.3 | 23.6 | 14% | |
| Riley Leonard IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 207.5 | 31.0 | 10% | |
| J.J. McCarthy CHART NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 196.9 | 23.4 | 14% | |
| Baker Mayfield CHART TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 185.7 | 29.4 | 8% | |
| Bo Nix DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 185.7 | 31.4 | 18% | |
| Case Keenum CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 177.5 | 25.6 | 11% | |
| Tyson Bagent CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 177.5 | 27.6 | 8% | |
| Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 167.0 | 31.9 | 8% | |
| Tyler Huntley BAL vs JAX | QB | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 163.9 | 24.5 | 15% | |
| Quinn Ewers JAX @ BAL | QB | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 155.5 | 20.9 | 6% | |
| Kenny Pickett CAR vs DEN | QB | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 80.5 | 18.5 | 8% | |
| Joe Milton III PHI vs NYG | QB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 73.0 | 12.5 | 8% | |
| Nick Mullens JAX @ BAL | QB | JAX vs BAL | 9.5 | 0.6 | 5% | ||
| Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 9.0 | 0.9 | 20% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →