| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | — ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuba Hubbard CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 0.74 | 52% | ||
| Ashton Jeanty LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.66 | 48% | ||
| Bucky Irving TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 0.59 | 44% | ||
| Kyren Williams LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 0.57 | 44% | ||
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 4 | 0.54 | 42% | ||
| Javonte Williams DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 0.48 | 38% | ||
| Christian McCaffrey SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.46 | 37% | ||
| CeeDee Lamb DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 1 | 0.44 | 36% | ||
| Colston Loveland CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 1 | 0.43 | 35% | ||
| RJ Harvey DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 0.42 | 34% | ||
| George Kittle SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.42 | 34% | ||
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 0.41 | 33% | ||
| Rachaad White CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 0.38 | 31% | ||
| Blake Corum LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 2 | 0.37 | 31% | ||
| Brock Bowers LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.37 | 31% | ||
| Tyler Warren IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 1 | 0.35 | 29% | ||
| Colby Parkinson LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 2 | 0.34 | 29% | ||
| Kenny Gainwell TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.34 | 29% | ||
| Courtland Sutton DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 0.33 | 28% | ||
| Emeka Egbuka TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 1 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Puka Nacua LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 1 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Kyle Monangai CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Tetairoa McMillan CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| George Pickens DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Roschon Johnson CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 0.29 | 25% | ||
| Jaylen Waddle DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| Mike Evans SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| D'Andre Swift CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Rome Odunze CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 1 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Jake Ferguson DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 1 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Tre Tucker LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Stefon Diggs WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 1 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Laquon Treadwell IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.23 | 20% | ||
| Austin Ekeler WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 0.23 | 20% | ||
| Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 0.23 | 20% | ||
| Luther Burden III CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| J.K. Dobbins CHART DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Davis Allen LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 3 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Troy Franklin DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.22 | 19% | ||
| Jayden Daniels CHART WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Sean Tucker TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 3 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Keenan Allen IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 2 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Ryan Flournoy DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 3 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Bo Nix DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Jonah Coleman CHART DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 0.19 | 18% | ||
| Kyle Juszczyk SF vs LV | FB | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.19 | 18% | ||
| Brock Purdy CHART SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Jalen Nailor LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Terry McLaurin WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 6 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Treylon Burks WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 3 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Tez Johnson TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 4 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Dak Prescott DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Mo Alie-Cox IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.17 | 15% | ||
| Tommy Tremble CHART CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Mike Washington Jr. LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Darren Waller CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Jalen Coker CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Mitchell Evans CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Nate Adkins DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Ted Hurst III TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Caleb Williams CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Daniel Jones IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Haynes King CAR vs DEN | QB | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Miller Moss CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 0.14 | 13% | |||
| Sam Howell DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Cade Otton TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 1 | 0.13 | 13% | ||
| Ty Simpson LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 3 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Fernando Mendoza LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Kurtis Rourke SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 3 | 0.12 | 12% | ||
| Roman Hemby LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 0.12 | 11% | |||
| Chris Godwin Jr. TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Adam Trautman DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Ja'Seem Reed CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 0.12 | 11% | |||
| Malik Benson LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 5 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Cody White LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Will Mallory IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Kaelon Black SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 2 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Anthony Tyus III CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Brandin Cooks SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 4 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Brycen Tremayne CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Brandon Aiyuk SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 10 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Michael Mayer LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Case Keenum CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Andrew Ogletree IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 4 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Tyler Goodson DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| John Metchie III CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Tyler Higbee LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 1 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Seth McGowan IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Dean Connors LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 3 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Bryce Young CAR vs DEN | QB | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Riley Leonard IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Stetson Bennett LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Easton Stick TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 0.10 | 9% | |||
| Antonio Williams WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Evan Engram DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Sam Ehlinger DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Kalif Raymond CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Marcus Mariota WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Baker Mayfield CHART TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Josh Williams TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 0.09 | 8% | |||
| Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Hunter Luepke DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 0.09 | 8% | |||
| Tyson Bagent CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| DJ Giddens IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Kenny Pickett CAR vs DEN | QB | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| KaVontae Turpin DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 4 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Chig Okonkwo WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 1 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Emari Demercado DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 3 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Marvin Mims Jr. DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 4 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Dylan Laube LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Cole Kmet CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 3 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Kirk Cousins LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Jahdae Walker CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 5 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Konata Mumpfield LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Jarrett Stidham DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Jordan James SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 3 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Luke Farrell SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 2 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Camden Brown DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 6 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Christian Kirk SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 5 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| David Sills TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 5 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Dyami Brown WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 4 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Tutu Atwell LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 4 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| John Bates WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 3 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Matthew Stafford LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 0.03 | 3% | ||
| Max Klare LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 4 | 0.03 | 3% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →