| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amon-Ra St. Brown DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 1 | 77.6 | 31–131 | 9.0 | 37% |
| CeeDee Lamb DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 1 | 77.6 | 18–149 | 8.9 | 36% |
| George Pickens DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 2 | 70.9 | 21–128 | 7.6 | 26% |
| Jameson Williams DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 2 | 57.7 | 12–113 | 5.9 | 24% |
| Caleb Douglas MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 2 | 54.7 | 8–115 | 5.3 | 41% |
| Tyler Warren IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 1 | 49.6 | 16–89 | 7.0 | 29% |
| Sam LaPorta DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 1 | 48.9 | 7–102 | 6.0 | 31% |
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 1 | 46.2 | 11–89 | 6.3 | 18% |
| Keenan Allen IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 2 | 44.5 | 12–82 | 6.4 | 19% |
| Malik Washington MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 1 | 43.6 | 8–86 | 5.8 | 14% |
| Greg Dulcich MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 1 | 42.8 | 6–88 | 4.7 | 27% |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 3 | 38.9 | 6–80 | 5.0 | 18% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 1 | 33.6 | 7–66 | 5.5 | 50% |
| Laquon Treadwell IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 3 | 31.1 | 0–68 | 4.0 | 20% |
| Chris Bell MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 3 | 25.1 | 0–61 | 3.0 | 8% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 1 | 22.2 | 0–51 | 3.4 | 21% |
| Isaac TeSlaa DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 3 | 20.1 | 0–56 | 2.4 | 16% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 4 | 19.9 | 0–53 | 2.6 | 21% |
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 18.5 | 0–44 | 3.1 | 33% |
| Will Mallory IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 2 | 16.1 | 0–39 | 2.4 | 11% |
| Ashton Dulin IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 4 | 14.7 | 0–46 | 1.8 | |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 2 | 13.5 | 0–38 | 1.9 | 6% |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 4 | 12.1 | 0–36 | 1.4 | 8% |
| Jared Wayne MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 6 | 10.9 | 0–38 | 1.3 | |
| Javonte Williams DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 10.6 | 0–31 | 2.4 | 38% |
| Deion Burks IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 5 | 10.3 | 0–32 | 1.3 | |
| Will Kacmarek MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 2 | 9.8 | 0–29 | 1.3 | |
| Jalen Tolbert MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 5 | 9.7 | 0–32 | 1.2 | 12% |
| Brock Wright DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 2 | 9.4 | 0–26 | 1.4 | 7% |
| Mo Alie-Cox IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 3 | 9.3 | 0–29 | 1.4 | 15% |
| Ollie Gordon II MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 1 | 9.0 | 0–25 | 1.5 | 24% |
| Justin Joly MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 4 | 8.1 | 0–25 | 1.0 | 6% |
| Kenneth Harris IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 7.1 | 0–23 | 0.9 | ||
| Camden Brown DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 6 | 6.5 | 0–22 | 0.8 | 5% |
| DJ Herman MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 6.3 | 0–21 | 1.0 | 6% | |
| Seth McGowan IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 6.1 | 0–19 | 1.1 | 10% |
| Jonathan Mingo DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 5 | 5.6 | 0–20 | 1.0 | |
| DeAndre Carter DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 5 | 5.6 | 0–18 | 0.8 | 3% |
| Andrew Ogletree IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 4 | 5.6 | 0–21 | 0.8 | 11% |
| Sione Vaki DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 2 | 5.0 | 0–17 | 0.8 | 4% |
| Tyler Conklin DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 3 | 5.0 | 0–18 | 0.7 | |
| Seydou Traore MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 3 | 4.7 | 0–16 | 0.6 | |
| Justin Jackson DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 4.7 | 0–15 | 0.8 | 8% | |
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 4.6 | 0–17 | 0.6 | ||
| Hunter Luepke DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 4.4 | 0–16 | 0.7 | 8% | |
| Kaytron Allen MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 3 | 4.2 | 0–15 | 0.6 | 12% |
| Jackson Meeks DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 4 | 4.1 | 0–15 | 0.6 | |
| Tyler Goodson DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 3.8 | 0–14 | 0.8 | 10% |
| Carlos Washington MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 3.7 | 0–13 | 0.5 | 7% | |
| Luke Schoonmaker DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 3 | 3.6 | 0–13 | 0.6 | |
| Jaylen Wright MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 2 | 3.6 | 0–14 | 0.6 | |
| Pharaoh Brown IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 5 | 3.4 | 0–13 | 0.4 | |
| Tay Martin DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 4 | 3.2 | 0–12 | 0.4 | 3% |
| Emari Demercado DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 3 | 3.2 | 0–11 | 0.6 | 7% |
| Anthony Gould IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 6 | 2.9 | 0–11 | 0.4 | |
| DJ Giddens IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 2.4 | 0–9 | 0.4 | 8% |
| Jacob Saylors DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 3 | 1.9 | 0–7 | 0.3 | 5% |
| Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 1.7 | 0–7 | 0.3 | 20% |
| Sam Howell DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 13% |
| Riley Leonard IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →