| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puka Nacua LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 1 | 7.1 | 3–12 | 9.9 | 27% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 1 | 6.5 | 3–10 | 9.0 | 37% |
| CeeDee Lamb DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 1 | 6.1 | 2–11 | 8.9 | 36% |
| Tyler Warren IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 1 | 5.1 | 2–8 | 7.0 | 29% |
| Matthew Golden GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 2 | 4.9 | 2–9 | 8.2 | 23% |
| George Pickens DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 2 | 4.7 | 2–8 | 7.6 | 26% |
| Nico Collins HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 4.6 | 2–8 | 6.9 | 27% |
| Stefon Diggs WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 1 | 4.5 | 2–7 | 6.4 | 21% |
| A.J. Brown NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 1 | 4.5 | 2–8 | 6.9 | 24% |
| Christian Watson CHART GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 1 | 4.4 | 2–7 | 7.5 | 28% |
| Tucker Kraft GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 1 | 4.4 | 2–8 | 6.2 | 29% |
| Sam LaPorta DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 1 | 4.4 | 1–8 | 6.0 | 31% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 1 | 4.3 | 2–7 | 5.5 | 50% |
| Keenan Allen IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 2 | 4.1 | 2–7 | 6.4 | 19% |
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 1 | 4.1 | 2–7 | 6.3 | 18% |
| Dalton Schultz HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 4.0 | 1–7 | 5.6 | 18% |
| Malik Washington MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 1 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 5.8 | 14% |
| Jameson Williams DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 2 | 3.7 | 1–6 | 5.9 | 24% |
| Hunter Henry NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 1 | 3.6 | 1–7 | 5.2 | 33% |
| Josh Jacobs GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 1 | 3.5 | 1–6 | 4.5 | 54% |
| Chig Okonkwo WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 1 | 3.5 | 1–7 | 4.8 | 7% |
| Greg Dulcich MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 1 | 3.5 | 1–6 | 4.7 | 27% |
| Caleb Douglas MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 2 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 5.3 | 41% |
| Kyren Williams LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 3.4 | 1–7 | 4.5 | 44% |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 3 | 3.3 | 1–6 | 5.0 | 18% |
| KeAndre Lambert-Smith CHART LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 4 | 3.3 | 1–6 | 5.6 | 14% |
| Terry McLaurin WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 6 | 3.2 | 0–7 | 5.0 | 17% |
| Tyler Higbee LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 1 | 3.0 | 1–6 | 4.2 | 10% |
| Antonio Williams WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 2 | 3.0 | 1–6 | 4.6 | 9% |
| DeMario Douglas NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 2 | 2.9 | 1–6 | 4.3 | 10% |
| Tre Harris LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 2.7 | 1–5 | 4.1 | 10% |
| Quentin Johnston LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 2.6 | 0–5 | 4.5 | 15% |
| Rhamondre Stevenson NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 1 | 2.6 | 0–5 | 3.2 | 18% |
| Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 4.5 | 8% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 1 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 3.4 | 21% |
| Eli Raridon NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 2 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 3.3 | 31% |
| Colby Parkinson LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 2 | 2.4 | 0–6 | 3.4 | 29% |
| Rachaad White CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 2.4 | 1–5 | 2.8 | 31% |
| Laquon Treadwell IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 3 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 4.0 | 20% |
| Jaylin Noel HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 4 | 2.3 | 0–5 | 3.3 | 18% |
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 2.3 | 0–4 | 3.1 | 33% |
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 2.3 | 0–4 | 3.3 | 27% |
| Savion Williams GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 3 | 2.2 | 0–4 | 3.1 | 9% |
| Charlie Kolar CHART LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 2.1 | 0–5 | 2.9 | 11% |
| Woody Marks HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 2.8 | 35% |
| Ladd McConkey CHART LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 2.1 | 0–5 | 3.1 | 17% |
| Pierre Strong GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 3 | 1.9 | 0–4 | 2.6 | 7% |
| Javonte Williams DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 1.9 | 0–5 | 2.4 | 38% |
| Omarion Hampton LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.2 | 20% |
| Kayshon Boutte HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 6 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 11% |
| Treylon Burks WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 3 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 3.1 | 17% |
| Chris Bell MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 3 | 1.7 | 0–3 | 3.0 | 8% |
| Theo Wease Jr. LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 6 | 1.7 | 0–3 | 2.6 | 13% |
| Davis Allen LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 3 | 1.6 | 0–3 | 2.2 | 20% |
| Will Mallory IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 2 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 11% |
| MarShawn Lloyd GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 2 | 1.5 | 0–4 | 2.0 | 23% |
| Efton Chism III NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 3 | 1.5 | 0–4 | 2.3 | 9% |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.6 | 13% |
| Keaton Mitchell LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 9% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 4 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 2.6 | 21% |
| Isaac TeSlaa DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 3 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 16% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 2 | 1.4 | 0–4 | 1.9 | 6% |
| Foster Moreau HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.8 | 17% |
| Konata Mumpfield LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 2 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.3 | 6% |
| David Montgomery CHART HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 29% |
| Kimani Vidal LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.7 | 25% |
| Tank Dell HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 5 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.9 | |
| Blake Corum LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 2 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 31% |
| Ollie Gordon II MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 1 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 24% |
| Dyami Brown WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 4 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 4% |
| TreVeyon Henderson NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 14% |
| Austin Ekeler WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 20% |
| Jawhar Jordan HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 1.1 | 0–2 | 1.3 | 9% | |
| Tutu Atwell LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 4 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.7 | 4% |
| Brock Wright DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 7% |
| Ashton Dulin IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 4 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.8 | |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 4 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.3 | 42% |
| Jonnu Smith GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 2 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.3 | 5% |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 8% |
| Kyle Williams NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.6 | 6% |
| Seth McGowan IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 10% |
| Mo Alie-Cox IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 15% |
| Will Kacmarek MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Deion Burks IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 5 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Dean Connors LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 10% |
| DJ Herman MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 6% | |
| Brenen Thompson LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.2 | |
| Cade Stover HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 13% |
| Jared Wayne MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 6 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Bo Melton GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.2 | |
| John Bates WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 4% |
| Mark Redman GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Justin Joly MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 6% |
| Jalen Tolbert MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 12% |
| Corey Kiner NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 22% |
| Justin Jackson DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 8% | |
| Sione Vaki DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 2 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 4% |
| Hunter Luepke DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 8% | |
| Jalen Hurd NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 6% | |
| Luke McCaffrey WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 5 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Tyler Goodson DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 10% |
| Kenneth Harris IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | ||
| Andrew Ogletree IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 4 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 11% |
| Jonathan Mingo DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 5 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Camden Brown DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 6 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | 5% |
| Marlin Klein HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 5 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.7 | |
| Jaylin Lane WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 7 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.9 | |
| Kaytron Allen MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 12% |
| Tyler Conklin DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 3 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | |
| Coleman Owen GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 6 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | 4% |
| Jordan Whittington LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 3 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | |
| Tanner Arkin NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 4 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.7 | |
| DeAndre Carter DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 5 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | 3% |
| Emari Demercado DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 7% |
| Josh Whyle GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 4 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 4% |
| Brevin Jordan HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Lewis Bond HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | ||
| Derius Davis LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 7 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Carlos Washington MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 7% | |
| Jaylen Wright MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 2 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Van Jefferson WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | ||
| J. Michael Sturdivant GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | |
| Jackson Meeks DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Seydou Traore MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Hayden Rucci LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 8% |
| Luke Schoonmaker DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | ||
| Max Klare LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 3% |
| Patrick Herbert LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | ||
| Dare Ogunbowale HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| DJ Giddens IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 8% |
| Kaleb Johnson GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 4% |
| Ben Sinnott WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 2 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Pharaoh Brown IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| CJ Daniels LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Craig Reynolds WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Colson Yankoff WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Jacob Saylors DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.3 | 5% |
| Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.3 | 20% |
| Scott Matlock LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | ||
| Tay Martin DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 4 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 3% |
| Anthony Gould IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 6 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Cameron Latu NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 3 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Alex Bachman LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 6 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Justin Herbert LAC vs HOU | QB | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 34% |
| Sam Howell DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 13% |
| Riley Leonard IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Davis Mills HOU @ LAC | QB | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →