| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Att ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Goff DET @ MIA | QB | DET vs MIA | 1 | 298.4 | 36.2 | 7% | |
| Matthew Stafford LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 275.8 | 37.5 | 3% | |
| Mac Jones SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 2 | 268.9 | 35.6 | ||
| Dak Prescott DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 264.6 | 37.4 | 16% | |
| Kirk Cousins LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 1 | 249.5 | 34.2 | 6% | |
| Brock Purdy CHART SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 1 | 246.1 | 31.0 | 17% | |
| Caleb Williams CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 243.8 | 31.9 | 13% | |
| C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ LAC | QB | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 243.2 | 31.6 | 10% | |
| Daniel Jones IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 221.1 | 33.6 | 13% | |
| Davis Mills HOU @ LAC | QB | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 214.0 | 36.5 | 8% | |
| Riley Leonard IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 207.5 | 31.0 | 10% | |
| Justin Herbert LAC vs HOU | QB | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 198.1 | 31.7 | 34% | |
| Jayden Daniels CHART WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 188.1 | 27.2 | 19% | |
| Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 3 | 186.0 | 32.1 | 13% | |
| Baker Mayfield CHART TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 185.7 | 29.4 | 8% | |
| Case Keenum CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 177.5 | 25.6 | 11% | |
| Tyson Bagent CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 177.5 | 27.6 | 8% | |
| Malik Willis MIA vs DET | QB | MIA vs DET | 1 | 174.7 | 20.5 | 22% | |
| Marcus Mariota WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 169.8 | 23.8 | 9% | |
| Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 167.0 | 31.9 | 8% | |
| Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 3 | 102.0 | 21.7 | 9% | |
| Joshua Dobbs DET @ MIA | QB | DET vs MIA | 2 | 16.2 | 2.3 | 7% | |
| Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 9.0 | 0.9 | 20% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →