| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | — ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braelon Allen NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 0.78 | 54% | ||
| Kenneth Walker III KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 0.71 | 51% | ||
| Jahmyr Gibbs DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 1 | 0.70 | 50% | ||
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 0.69 | 50% | ||
| Caleb Douglas MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 2 | 0.53 | 41% | ||
| Javonte Williams DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 0.48 | 38% | ||
| Amon-Ra St. Brown DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 1 | 0.45 | 37% | ||
| CeeDee Lamb DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 1 | 0.44 | 36% | ||
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 0.41 | 33% | ||
| Sam LaPorta DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 1 | 0.37 | 31% | ||
| Rashee Rice KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 0.36 | 30% | ||
| Tyler Warren IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 1 | 0.35 | 29% | ||
| Derrick Henry BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 0.35 | 29% | ||
| Greg Dulcich MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 1 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| George Pickens DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Zay Flowers BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 0.29 | 25% | ||
| Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 0.28 | 24% | ||
| Jameson Williams DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 2 | 0.28 | 24% | ||
| Ollie Gordon II MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 1 | 0.27 | 24% | ||
| Rashod Bateman BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| Parker Washington JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| Malik Willis MIA vs DET | QB | MIA vs DET | 1 | 0.24 | 22% | ||
| Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 4 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Jake Ferguson DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 1 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Mark Andrews BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Laquon Treadwell IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.23 | 20% | ||
| Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 0.23 | 20% | ||
| Josh Cameron JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Brenton Strange JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 0.22 | 19% | ||
| Breece Hall CHART NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Keenan Allen IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 2 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Ryan Flournoy DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 3 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Trevor Lawrence JAX @ BAL | QB | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Mason Taylor NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Josh Cuevas BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Isaac TeSlaa DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 3 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Dak Prescott DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Andrew Armstrong KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 6 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Mo Alie-Cox IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.17 | 15% | ||
| Garrett Wilson NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 0.17 | 15% | ||
| Tyler Huntley BAL vs JAX | QB | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Malik Washington MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 1 | 0.16 | 14% | ||
| Xavier Worthy KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Lamar Jackson CHART BAL vs JAX | QB | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Kyle McCord MIA vs DET | QB | MIA vs DET | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Noah Gray KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Cade Klubnik NYJ @ KC | QB | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Daniel Jones IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Travis Kelce KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Joe Fagnano BAL vs JAX | QB | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Sam Howell DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Jalen Tolbert MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 5 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Garrett Nussmeier KC vs NYJ | QB | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Kaytron Allen MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 3 | 0.12 | 12% | ||
| Patrick Mahomes KC vs NYJ | QB | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Sterling Shepard NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 0.12 | 11% | |||
| Will Mallory IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Jalen Royals KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Andrew Ogletree IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 4 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Justin Fields KC vs NYJ | QB | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Tyler Goodson DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jeremy Ruckert NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jaydn Ott KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Seth McGowan IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Riley Leonard IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Kenyon Sadiq NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Ben VanSumeren KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 0.10 | 9% | |||
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Adonai Mitchell NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Will Levis NYJ @ KC | QB | NYJ vs KC | 0.09 | 9% | |||
| Justice Hill BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Nate Boerkircher JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Isaiah Davis NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Hunter Luepke DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 0.09 | 8% | |||
| Emmett Johnson KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Justin Jackson DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 0.08 | 8% | |||
| DJ Giddens IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Chris Bell MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Devontez Walker BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 4 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| KaVontae Turpin DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 4 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Emari Demercado DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 3 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Jared Goff DET @ MIA | QB | DET vs MIA | 1 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Matthew Hibner BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Andrew Beck NYJ @ KC | FB | NYJ vs KC | 0.07 | 7% | |||
| Joshua Dobbs DET @ MIA | QB | DET vs MIA | 2 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Carlos Washington MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 0.07 | 7% | |||
| Brock Wright DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 2 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Quinn Ewers JAX @ BAL | QB | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Justin Joly MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 4 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| DJ Herman MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 0.06 | 6% | |||
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Camden Brown DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 6 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Nick Mullens JAX @ BAL | QB | JAX vs BAL | 0.05 | 5% | |||
| Jacob Saylors DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 3 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Sione Vaki DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 2 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| DeAndre Carter DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 5 | 0.04 | 3% | ||
| Tay Martin DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 4 | 0.03 | 3% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →