| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puka Nacua LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 1 | 98.1 | 28–182 | 9.9 | 27% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 1 | 77.6 | 31–131 | 9.0 | 37% |
| CeeDee Lamb DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 1 | 77.6 | 18–149 | 8.9 | 36% |
| George Pickens DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 2 | 70.9 | 21–128 | 7.6 | 26% |
| George Kittle SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 1 | 69.6 | 18–131 | 6.9 | 34% |
| Brock Bowers LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 1 | 63.6 | 20–112 | 8.3 | 31% |
| Jameson Williams DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 2 | 57.7 | 12–113 | 5.9 | 24% |
| Caleb Douglas MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 2 | 54.7 | 8–115 | 5.3 | 41% |
| Tre Tucker LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 1 | 51.1 | 7–107 | 6.6 | 21% |
| Tyler Warren IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 1 | 49.6 | 16–89 | 7.0 | 29% |
| Sam LaPorta DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 1 | 48.9 | 7–102 | 6.0 | 31% |
| Mike Evans SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 1 | 47.1 | 7–97 | 5.4 | 22% |
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 1 | 46.2 | 11–89 | 6.3 | 18% |
| Stefon Diggs WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 1 | 46.1 | 13–85 | 6.4 | 21% |
| Keenan Allen IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 2 | 44.5 | 12–82 | 6.4 | 19% |
| Malik Washington MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 1 | 43.6 | 8–86 | 5.8 | 14% |
| Greg Dulcich MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 1 | 42.8 | 6–88 | 4.7 | 27% |
| Terry McLaurin WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 6 | 39.3 | 0–89 | 5.0 | 17% |
| Christian McCaffrey SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 1 | 39.1 | 9–75 | 5.7 | 37% |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 3 | 38.9 | 6–80 | 5.0 | 18% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 2 | 35.2 | 1–78 | 4.2 | 26% |
| Michael Mayer LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 2 | 35.1 | 8–67 | 5.2 | 11% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 1 | 33.6 | 7–66 | 5.5 | 50% |
| Antonio Williams WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 2 | 33.3 | 5–69 | 4.6 | 9% |
| Tyler Higbee LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 1 | 33.2 | 3–70 | 4.2 | 10% |
| Chig Okonkwo WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 1 | 31.1 | 4–65 | 4.8 | 7% |
| Laquon Treadwell IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 3 | 31.1 | 0–68 | 4.0 | 20% |
| Ashton Jeanty LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 1 | 30.0 | 5–62 | 5.5 | 48% |
| Brandon Aiyuk SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 10 | 25.3 | 0–59 | 2.4 | 11% |
| Chris Bell MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 3 | 25.1 | 0–61 | 3.0 | 8% |
| Colby Parkinson LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 2 | 25.0 | 0–61 | 3.4 | 29% |
| Kyren Williams LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 24.9 | 0–55 | 4.5 | 44% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 1 | 22.2 | 0–51 | 3.4 | 21% |
| Jalen Nailor LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 2 | 21.9 | 0–56 | 2.9 | 17% |
| Treylon Burks WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 3 | 21.2 | 0–57 | 3.1 | 17% |
| Isaac TeSlaa DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 3 | 20.1 | 0–56 | 2.4 | 16% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 4 | 19.9 | 0–53 | 2.6 | 21% |
| Jordan Watkins SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 3 | 19.1 | 0–50 | 2.1 | |
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 18.5 | 0–44 | 3.1 | 33% |
| Konata Mumpfield LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 2 | 16.8 | 0–44 | 2.3 | 6% |
| Rachaad White CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 16.3 | 0–36 | 2.8 | 31% |
| Will Mallory IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 2 | 16.1 | 0–39 | 2.4 | 11% |
| Brandin Cooks SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 4 | 15.7 | 0–41 | 2.1 | 11% |
| Cody White LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 3 | 15.7 | 0–42 | 1.9 | 11% |
| Davis Allen LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 3 | 15.6 | 0–39 | 2.2 | 20% |
| Tutu Atwell LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 4 | 15.5 | 0–44 | 1.7 | 4% |
| Jacob Cowing SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 6 | 15.2 | 0–43 | 1.8 | |
| Ashton Dulin IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 4 | 14.7 | 0–46 | 1.8 | |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 2 | 13.5 | 0–38 | 1.9 | 6% |
| Kyle Juszczyk SF vs LV | FB | SF vs LV | 1 | 13.0 | 0–35 | 1.9 | 18% |
| Dyami Brown WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 4 | 12.5 | 0–38 | 1.9 | 4% |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 4 | 12.1 | 0–36 | 1.4 | 8% |
| Jared Wayne MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 6 | 10.9 | 0–38 | 1.3 | |
| Javonte Williams DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 10.6 | 0–31 | 2.4 | 38% |
| Deion Burks IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 5 | 10.3 | 0–32 | 1.3 | |
| Will Kacmarek MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 2 | 9.8 | 0–29 | 1.3 | |
| Jalen Tolbert MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 5 | 9.7 | 0–32 | 1.2 | 12% |
| Blake Corum LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 2 | 9.6 | 0–28 | 1.6 | 31% |
| Brock Wright DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 2 | 9.4 | 0–26 | 1.4 | 7% |
| Mo Alie-Cox IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 3 | 9.3 | 0–29 | 1.4 | 15% |
| Ollie Gordon II MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 1 | 9.0 | 0–25 | 1.5 | 24% |
| Christian Kirk SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 5 | 8.6 | 0–28 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Austin Ekeler WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 8.5 | 0–25 | 1.5 | 20% |
| Justin Joly MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 4 | 8.1 | 0–25 | 1.0 | 6% |
| James Thompson SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 7.5 | 0–24 | 0.9 | ||
| Malik Benson LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 5 | 7.3 | 0–24 | 1.1 | 11% |
| Kenneth Harris IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 7.1 | 0–23 | 0.9 | ||
| Luke McCaffrey WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 5 | 6.9 | 0–23 | 0.9 | |
| Deven Thompkins LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 6.9 | 0–22 | 1.0 | ||
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 4 | 6.5 | 0–21 | 1.3 | 42% |
| Kaelon Black SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 2 | 6.5 | 0–20 | 1.2 | 11% |
| Camden Brown DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 6 | 6.5 | 0–22 | 0.8 | 5% |
| Luke Farrell SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 2 | 6.4 | 0–18 | 0.9 | 5% |
| Mike Washington Jr. LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 2 | 6.4 | 0–19 | 1.2 | 15% |
| Ian Thomas LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 3 | 6.3 | 0–20 | 0.9 | |
| DJ Herman MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 6.3 | 0–21 | 1.0 | 6% | |
| Seth McGowan IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 6.1 | 0–19 | 1.1 | 10% |
| Jordan Whittington LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 3 | 6.1 | 0–22 | 0.7 | |
| Jaylin Lane WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 7 | 6.0 | 0–20 | 0.9 | |
| John Bates WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 3 | 6.0 | 0–18 | 1.0 | 4% |
| Dean Connors LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 3 | 5.8 | 0–17 | 1.0 | 10% |
| Jonathan Mingo DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 5 | 5.6 | 0–20 | 1.0 | |
| DeAndre Carter DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 5 | 5.6 | 0–18 | 0.8 | 3% |
| Dylan Laube LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 3 | 5.6 | 0–19 | 1.0 | 7% |
| Andrew Ogletree IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 4 | 5.6 | 0–21 | 0.8 | 11% |
| Roman Hemby LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 5.3 | 0–17 | 0.9 | 11% | |
| Sione Vaki DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 2 | 5.0 | 0–17 | 0.8 | 4% |
| Tyler Conklin DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 3 | 5.0 | 0–18 | 0.7 | |
| Jordan James SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 3 | 4.8 | 0–15 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Van Jefferson WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 4.7 | 0–15 | 0.7 | ||
| Seydou Traore MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 3 | 4.7 | 0–16 | 0.6 | |
| Justin Jackson DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 4.7 | 0–15 | 0.8 | 8% | |
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 4.6 | 0–17 | 0.6 | ||
| Hunter Luepke DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 4.4 | 0–16 | 0.7 | 8% | |
| Kaytron Allen MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 3 | 4.2 | 0–15 | 0.6 | 12% |
| Jackson Meeks DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 4 | 4.1 | 0–15 | 0.6 | |
| CJ Daniels LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 5 | 3.9 | 0–15 | 0.5 | |
| Tyler Goodson DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 3.8 | 0–14 | 0.8 | 10% |
| Carlos Washington MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 3.7 | 0–13 | 0.5 | 7% | |
| Max Klare LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 4 | 3.7 | 0–14 | 0.5 | 3% |
| Luke Schoonmaker DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 3 | 3.6 | 0–13 | 0.6 | |
| Jaylen Wright MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 2 | 3.6 | 0–14 | 0.6 | |
| Pharaoh Brown IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 5 | 3.4 | 0–13 | 0.4 | |
| Malik Turner SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 3.4 | 0–12 | 0.4 | ||
| Tay Martin DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 4 | 3.2 | 0–12 | 0.4 | 3% |
| Emari Demercado DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 3 | 3.2 | 0–11 | 0.6 | 7% |
| Jack Stoll SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 3.0 | 0–11 | 0.4 | ||
| Connor Heyward LV @ SF | FB | LV vs SF | 1 | 2.9 | 0–12 | 0.5 | |
| Anthony Gould IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 6 | 2.9 | 0–11 | 0.4 | |
| Ben Sinnott WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 2 | 2.8 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Chris Myarick LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 2.6 | 0–10 | 0.4 | ||
| DJ Giddens IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 2.4 | 0–9 | 0.4 | 8% |
| Colson Yankoff WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 4 | 2.4 | 0–8 | 0.4 | |
| Alex Bachman LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 6 | 2.3 | 0–10 | 0.3 | |
| Dareke Young LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 4 | 2.2 | 0–7 | 0.3 | |
| Craig Reynolds WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 2.0 | 0–8 | 0.4 | ||
| Jacob Saylors DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 3 | 1.9 | 0–7 | 0.3 | 5% |
| Brayden Willis SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 3 | 1.9 | 0–7 | 0.3 | |
| Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 1.7 | 0–7 | 0.3 | 20% |
| Sam Howell DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 13% |
| Riley Leonard IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →