| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puka Nacua LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 1 | 98.1 | 28–182 | 9.9 | 27% |
| Zay Flowers BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 87.8 | 24–163 | 8.8 | 25% |
| CeeDee Lamb DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 1 | 77.6 | 18–149 | 8.9 | 36% |
| Christian Watson CHART GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 1 | 74.7 | 19–141 | 7.5 | 28% |
| George Pickens DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 2 | 70.9 | 21–128 | 7.6 | 26% |
| George Kittle SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 1 | 69.6 | 18–131 | 6.9 | 34% |
| Matthew Golden GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 2 | 65.9 | 13–130 | 8.2 | 23% |
| Brock Bowers LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 1 | 63.6 | 20–112 | 8.3 | 31% |
| A.J. Brown NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 1 | 60.5 | 16–114 | 6.9 | 24% |
| Parker Washington JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 55.3 | 10–110 | 6.8 | 23% |
| Tucker Kraft GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 1 | 54.7 | 13–107 | 6.2 | 29% |
| Tre Tucker LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 1 | 51.1 | 7–107 | 6.6 | 21% |
| Tyler Warren IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 1 | 49.6 | 16–89 | 7.0 | 29% |
| Mike Evans SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 1 | 47.1 | 7–97 | 5.4 | 22% |
| Brenton Strange JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 46.8 | 9–92 | 5.9 | 19% |
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 1 | 46.2 | 11–89 | 6.3 | 18% |
| Stefon Diggs WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 1 | 46.1 | 13–85 | 6.4 | 21% |
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 45.6 | 8–91 | 5.8 | 18% |
| Keenan Allen IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 2 | 44.5 | 12–82 | 6.4 | 19% |
| Terry McLaurin WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 6 | 39.3 | 0–89 | 5.0 | 17% |
| Christian McCaffrey SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 1 | 39.1 | 9–75 | 5.7 | 37% |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 3 | 38.9 | 6–80 | 5.0 | 18% |
| Hunter Henry NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 1 | 38.0 | 7–77 | 5.2 | 33% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 2 | 35.2 | 1–78 | 4.2 | 26% |
| Michael Mayer LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 2 | 35.1 | 8–67 | 5.2 | 11% |
| Mark Andrews BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 34.6 | 0–76 | 4.1 | 21% |
| Antonio Williams WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 2 | 33.3 | 5–69 | 4.6 | 9% |
| Tyler Higbee LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 1 | 33.2 | 3–70 | 4.2 | 10% |
| Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 32.9 | 0–73 | 4.0 | 26% |
| DeMario Douglas NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 2 | 32.0 | 0–71 | 4.3 | 10% |
| Chig Okonkwo WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 1 | 31.1 | 4–65 | 4.8 | 7% |
| Laquon Treadwell IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 3 | 31.1 | 0–68 | 4.0 | 20% |
| Rashod Bateman BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 30.0 | 0–72 | 3.3 | 23% |
| Ashton Jeanty LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 1 | 30.0 | 5–62 | 5.5 | 48% |
| Josh Jacobs GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 1 | 29.6 | 6–59 | 4.5 | 54% |
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 27.4 | 0–66 | 3.2 | 13% |
| Savion Williams GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 3 | 26.3 | 0–59 | 3.1 | 9% |
| Eli Raridon NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 2 | 26.3 | 0–59 | 3.3 | 31% |
| Brandon Aiyuk SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 10 | 25.3 | 0–59 | 2.4 | 11% |
| Colby Parkinson LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 2 | 25.0 | 0–61 | 3.4 | 29% |
| Kyren Williams LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 24.9 | 0–55 | 4.5 | 44% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 1 | 22.2 | 0–51 | 3.4 | 21% |
| Jalen Nailor LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 2 | 21.9 | 0–56 | 2.9 | 17% |
| Treylon Burks WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 3 | 21.2 | 0–57 | 3.1 | 17% |
| Josh Cuevas BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 20.3 | 0–55 | 2.3 | 17% |
| Justice Hill BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 19.6 | 0–47 | 2.9 | 9% |
| Rhamondre Stevenson NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 1 | 19.4 | 0–47 | 3.2 | 18% |
| Jordan Watkins SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 3 | 19.1 | 0–50 | 2.1 | |
| Efton Chism III NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 3 | 19.0 | 0–51 | 2.3 | 9% |
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 18.5 | 0–44 | 3.1 | 33% |
| Josh Cameron JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 18.2 | 0–49 | 2.2 | 20% |
| Konata Mumpfield LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 2 | 16.8 | 0–44 | 2.3 | 6% |
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 16.7 | 0–42 | 2.7 | 50% |
| Rachaad White CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 16.3 | 0–36 | 2.8 | 31% |
| Will Mallory IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 2 | 16.1 | 0–39 | 2.4 | 11% |
| Elijah Sarratt BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 6 | 16.0 | 0–43 | 1.9 | |
| Brandin Cooks SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 4 | 15.7 | 0–41 | 2.1 | 11% |
| Cody White LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 3 | 15.7 | 0–42 | 1.9 | 11% |
| Davis Allen LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 3 | 15.6 | 0–39 | 2.2 | 20% |
| Tutu Atwell LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 4 | 15.5 | 0–44 | 1.7 | 4% |
| Jacob Cowing SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 6 | 15.2 | 0–43 | 1.8 | |
| Ashton Dulin IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 4 | 14.7 | 0–46 | 1.8 | |
| Pierre Strong GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 3 | 14.3 | 0–36 | 2.6 | 7% |
| Devontez Walker BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 4 | 14.0 | 0–43 | 1.5 | 8% |
| Kyle Williams NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 4 | 13.7 | 0–42 | 1.6 | 6% |
| Derrick Henry BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 13.5 | 0–35 | 1.9 | 29% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 2 | 13.5 | 0–38 | 1.9 | 6% |
| Kyle Juszczyk SF vs LV | FB | SF vs LV | 1 | 13.0 | 0–35 | 1.9 | 18% |
| Dyami Brown WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 4 | 12.5 | 0–38 | 1.9 | 4% |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 4 | 12.1 | 0–36 | 1.4 | 8% |
| Nate Boerkircher JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 11.6 | 0–32 | 1.6 | 8% |
| MarShawn Lloyd GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 2 | 10.7 | 0–29 | 2.0 | 23% |
| Javonte Williams DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 10.6 | 0–31 | 2.4 | 38% |
| Deion Burks IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 5 | 10.3 | 0–32 | 1.3 | |
| Jonnu Smith GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 2 | 9.7 | 0–27 | 1.3 | 5% |
| Blake Corum LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 2 | 9.6 | 0–28 | 1.6 | 31% |
| Matthew Hibner BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 9.5 | 0–30 | 1.1 | 7% |
| Bo Melton GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 4 | 9.4 | 0–29 | 1.2 | |
| Mo Alie-Cox IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 3 | 9.3 | 0–29 | 1.4 | 15% |
| Christian Kirk SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 5 | 8.6 | 0–28 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Austin Ekeler WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 8.5 | 0–25 | 1.5 | 20% |
| TreVeyon Henderson NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 2 | 7.6 | 0–20 | 1.4 | 14% |
| James Thompson SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 7.5 | 0–24 | 0.9 | ||
| Malik Benson LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 5 | 7.3 | 0–24 | 1.1 | 11% |
| Jalen Hurd NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 7.1 | 0–22 | 0.9 | 6% | |
| Mark Redman GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 3 | 7.1 | 0–22 | 1.0 | |
| Kenneth Harris IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 7.1 | 0–23 | 0.9 | ||
| Luke McCaffrey WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 5 | 6.9 | 0–23 | 0.9 | |
| Deven Thompkins LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 6.9 | 0–22 | 1.0 | ||
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 4 | 6.5 | 0–21 | 1.3 | 42% |
| Kaelon Black SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 2 | 6.5 | 0–20 | 1.2 | 11% |
| Camden Brown DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 6 | 6.5 | 0–22 | 0.8 | 5% |
| Luke Farrell SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 2 | 6.4 | 0–18 | 0.9 | 5% |
| Mike Washington Jr. LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 2 | 6.4 | 0–19 | 1.2 | 15% |
| Ian Thomas LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 3 | 6.3 | 0–20 | 0.9 | |
| Coleman Owen GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 6 | 6.1 | 0–20 | 0.8 | 4% |
| Seth McGowan IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 6.1 | 0–19 | 1.1 | 10% |
| Jordan Whittington LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 3 | 6.1 | 0–22 | 0.7 | |
| Jaylin Lane WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 7 | 6.0 | 0–20 | 0.9 | |
| John Bates WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 3 | 6.0 | 0–18 | 1.0 | 4% |
| Dean Connors LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 3 | 5.8 | 0–17 | 1.0 | 10% |
| Jonathan Mingo DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 5 | 5.6 | 0–20 | 1.0 | |
| Dylan Laube LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 3 | 5.6 | 0–19 | 1.0 | 7% |
| Andrew Ogletree IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 4 | 5.6 | 0–21 | 0.8 | 11% |
| Roman Hemby LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 5.3 | 0–17 | 0.9 | 11% | |
| J. Michael Sturdivant GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 5 | 5.2 | 0–18 | 0.7 | |
| LaJohntay Wester BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 5 | 5.1 | 0–18 | 0.6 | |
| Corey Kiner NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 3 | 4.8 | 0–16 | 0.9 | 22% |
| Jordan James SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 3 | 4.8 | 0–15 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Tanner Arkin NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 4 | 4.7 | 0–16 | 0.7 | |
| Van Jefferson WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 4.7 | 0–15 | 0.7 | ||
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 4.6 | 0–17 | 0.6 | ||
| Josh Whyle GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 4 | 4.6 | 0–15 | 0.6 | 4% |
| Hunter Luepke DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 4.4 | 0–16 | 0.7 | 8% | |
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 4.4 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 12% |
| C.J. Williams JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 6 | 4.3 | 0–16 | 0.6 | |
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 4.0 | 0–13 | 0.7 | 9% |
| CJ Daniels LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 5 | 3.9 | 0–15 | 0.5 | |
| Nick Vannett BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 4 | 3.9 | 0–13 | 0.5 | |
| Tanner Koziol JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 3.8 | 0–13 | 0.5 | |
| Tyler Goodson DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 3.8 | 0–14 | 0.8 | 10% |
| Max Klare LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 4 | 3.7 | 0–14 | 0.5 | 3% |
| Luke Schoonmaker DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 3 | 3.6 | 0–13 | 0.6 | |
| Pharaoh Brown IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 5 | 3.4 | 0–13 | 0.4 | |
| Malik Turner SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 3.4 | 0–12 | 0.4 | ||
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 3.3 | 0–12 | 0.6 | 6% |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 3.3 | 0–12 | 0.6 | 13% |
| Emari Demercado DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 3 | 3.2 | 0–11 | 0.6 | 7% |
| Jack Stoll SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 3.0 | 0–11 | 0.4 | ||
| Connor Heyward LV @ SF | FB | LV vs SF | 1 | 2.9 | 0–12 | 0.5 | |
| Anthony Gould IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 6 | 2.9 | 0–11 | 0.4 | |
| Ben Sinnott WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 2 | 2.8 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Chris Myarick LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 2.6 | 0–10 | 0.4 | ||
| DJ Giddens IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 2.4 | 0–9 | 0.4 | 8% |
| Colson Yankoff WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 4 | 2.4 | 0–8 | 0.4 | |
| Alex Bachman LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 6 | 2.3 | 0–10 | 0.3 | |
| Kaleb Johnson GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 4 | 2.3 | 0–8 | 0.4 | 4% |
| Dareke Young LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 4 | 2.2 | 0–7 | 0.3 | |
| Quintin Morris JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 2.0 | 0–7 | 0.3 | |
| Cameron Latu NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 3 | 2.0 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Craig Reynolds WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 2.0 | 0–8 | 0.4 | ||
| Brayden Willis SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 3 | 1.9 | 0–7 | 0.3 | |
| Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 1.7 | 0–7 | 0.3 | 20% |
| Sam Howell DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 13% |
| Riley Leonard IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →