✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 1 0.69 50%
Bucky Irving TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 1 0.59 44%
Kyren Williams LA @ WAS RB LA vs WAS 1 0.57 44%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS vs LA RB WAS vs LA 4 0.54 42%
Javonte Williams DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 1 0.48 38%
CeeDee Lamb DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 1 0.44 36%
Woody Marks HOU @ LAC RB HOU vs LAC 2 0.43 35%
Colston Loveland CHI vs TB TE CHI vs TB 1 0.43 35%
Justin Herbert LAC vs HOU QB LAC vs HOU 1 0.42 34%
Jonathan Taylor IND vs DAL RB IND vs DAL 1 0.41 33%
Rachaad White CHART WAS vs LA RB WAS vs LA 1 0.38 31%
Blake Corum LA @ WAS RB LA vs WAS 2 0.37 31%
Tyler Warren IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 1 0.35 29%
Derrick Henry BAL vs JAX RB BAL vs JAX 1 0.35 29%
Colby Parkinson LA @ WAS TE LA vs WAS 2 0.34 29%
David Montgomery CHART HOU @ LAC RB HOU vs LAC 1 0.34 29%
Kenny Gainwell TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 2 0.34 29%
Emeka Egbuka TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 1 0.32 27%
Oronde Gadsden II LAC vs HOU TE LAC vs HOU 2 0.32 27%
Puka Nacua LA @ WAS WR LA vs WAS 1 0.32 27%
Nico Collins HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 1 0.31 27%
Kyle Monangai CHI vs TB RB CHI vs TB 2 0.30 26%
Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 3 0.30 26%
George Pickens DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 2 0.30 26%
Zay Flowers BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 1 0.29 25%
Kimani Vidal LAC vs HOU RB LAC vs HOU 3 0.29 25%
Roschon Johnson CHI vs TB RB CHI vs TB 3 0.29 25%
Rashod Bateman BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 2 0.26 23%
Parker Washington JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 1 0.26 23%
D'Andre Swift CHI vs TB RB CHI vs TB 1 0.25 22%
Rome Odunze CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 1 0.24 21%
Jake Ferguson DAL @ IND TE DAL vs IND 1 0.24 21%
Stefon Diggs WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 1 0.23 21%
Mark Andrews BAL vs JAX TE BAL vs JAX 1 0.23 21%
Laquon Treadwell IND vs DAL WR IND vs DAL 3 0.23 20%
Austin Ekeler WAS vs LA RB WAS vs LA 2 0.23 20%
Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL QB IND vs DAL 2 0.23 20%
Josh Cameron JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 3 0.22 20%
Luther Burden III CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 2 0.22 20%
Davis Allen LA @ WAS TE LA vs WAS 3 0.22 20%
Omarion Hampton LAC vs HOU RB LAC vs HOU 1 0.22 20%
Brenton Strange JAX @ BAL TE JAX vs BAL 1 0.22 19%
Jayden Daniels CHART WAS vs LA QB WAS vs LA 1 0.21 19%
Sean Tucker TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 3 0.21 19%
Keenan Allen IND vs DAL WR IND vs DAL 2 0.21 19%
Jakobi Meyers JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 2 0.20 18%
Ryan Flournoy DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 3 0.20 18%
Dalton Schultz HOU @ LAC TE HOU vs LAC 1 0.20 18%
Josh Downs CHART IND vs DAL WR IND vs DAL 1 0.20 18%
Jaylin Noel HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 4 0.19 18%
Ladd McConkey CHART LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 1 0.19 17%
Trevor Lawrence JAX @ BAL QB JAX vs BAL 1 0.19 17%
Terry McLaurin WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 6 0.19 17%
Josh Cuevas BAL vs JAX TE BAL vs JAX 3 0.18 17%
Treylon Burks WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 3 0.18 17%
Foster Moreau HOU @ LAC TE HOU vs LAC 2 0.18 17%
Tez Johnson TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 4 0.18 16%
Dak Prescott DAL @ IND QB DAL vs IND 1 0.17 16%
Mo Alie-Cox IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 3 0.17 15%
Tyler Huntley BAL vs JAX QB BAL vs JAX 2 0.16 15%
Quentin Johnston LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 2 0.16 15%
DJ Uiagalelei LAC vs HOU QB LAC vs HOU 2 0.16 15%
KeAndre Lambert-Smith CHART LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 4 0.15 14%
Lamar Jackson CHART BAL vs JAX QB BAL vs JAX 1 0.15 14%
Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS vs LA QB WAS vs LA 3 0.14 13%
Theo Wease Jr. LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 6 0.14 13%
Ted Hurst III TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 3 0.14 13%
Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 4 0.14 13%
Caleb Williams CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 1 0.14 13%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 2 0.14 13%
Daniel Jones IND vs DAL QB IND vs DAL 1 0.14 13%
Joe Fagnano BAL vs JAX QB BAL vs JAX 3 0.14 13%
Miller Moss CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 0.14 13%
Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 2 0.14 13%
Sam Howell DAL @ IND QB DAL vs IND 2 0.14 13%
Cade Otton TB @ CHI TE TB vs CHI 1 0.13 13%
Cade Stover HOU @ LAC TE HOU vs LAC 3 0.13 13%
Ty Simpson LA @ WAS QB LA vs WAS 3 0.13 12%
Rasheen Ali BAL vs JAX RB BAL vs JAX 3 0.13 12%
Kayshon Boutte HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 6 0.12 11%
Chris Godwin Jr. TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 2 0.12 11%
Will Mallory IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 2 0.12 11%
Case Keenum CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 3 0.11 11%
Andrew Ogletree IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 4 0.11 11%
Charlie Kolar CHART LAC vs HOU TE LAC vs HOU 1 0.11 11%
Tyler Goodson DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 2 0.11 10%
C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ LAC QB HOU vs LAC 1 0.11 10%
Tyler Higbee LA @ WAS TE LA vs WAS 1 0.11 10%
Seth McGowan IND vs DAL RB IND vs DAL 2 0.10 10%
Dean Connors LA @ WAS RB LA vs WAS 3 0.10 10%
Tre Harris LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 3 0.10 10%
Riley Leonard IND vs DAL QB IND vs DAL 3 0.10 10%
Stetson Bennett LA @ WAS QB LA vs WAS 2 0.10 9%
Jawhar Jordan HOU @ LAC RB HOU vs LAC 0.10 9%
Easton Stick TB @ CHI QB TB vs CHI 0.10 9%
LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 3 0.10 9%
Antonio Williams WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 2 0.10 9%
Kalif Raymond CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 3 0.09 9%
Marcus Mariota WAS vs LA QB WAS vs LA 2 0.09 9%
Keaton Mitchell LAC vs HOU RB LAC vs HOU 2 0.09 9%
Justice Hill BAL vs JAX RB BAL vs JAX 2 0.09 9%
Baker Mayfield CHART TB @ CHI QB TB vs CHI 1 0.09 8%
Nate Boerkircher JAX @ BAL TE JAX vs BAL 2 0.09 8%
Josh Williams TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 0.09 8%
Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI QB TB vs CHI 2 0.09 8%
Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 3 0.09 8%
Davis Mills HOU @ LAC QB HOU vs LAC 2 0.09 8%
Hunter Luepke DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 0.09 8%
Tyson Bagent CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 2 0.09 8%
Hayden Rucci LAC vs HOU TE LAC vs HOU 3 0.08 8%
DJ Giddens IND vs DAL RB IND vs DAL 3 0.08 8%
Devontez Walker BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 4 0.08 8%
KaVontae Turpin DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 4 0.08 8%
Chig Okonkwo WAS vs LA TE WAS vs LA 1 0.08 7%
Emari Demercado DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 3 0.08 7%
Matthew Hibner BAL vs JAX TE BAL vs JAX 2 0.07 7%
Cole Kmet CHI vs TB TE CHI vs TB 3 0.07 6%
Quinn Ewers JAX @ BAL QB JAX vs BAL 2 0.07 6%
Ameer Abdullah JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 4 0.06 6%
Jahdae Walker CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 5 0.06 6%
Konata Mumpfield LA @ WAS WR LA vs WAS 2 0.06 6%
Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL @ IND TE DAL vs IND 2 0.06 6%
Camden Brown DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 6 0.05 5%
Nick Mullens JAX @ BAL QB JAX vs BAL 0.05 5%
David Sills TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 5 0.04 4%
Dyami Brown WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 4 0.04 4%
Tutu Atwell LA @ WAS WR LA vs WAS 4 0.04 4%
John Bates WAS vs LA TE WAS vs LA 3 0.04 4%
Matthew Stafford LA @ WAS QB LA vs WAS 1 0.03 3%
Max Klare LA @ WAS TE LA vs WAS 4 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Sat Oct 31, 2:01 PM ET · Next Sun Nov 1, 9:00 AM ET
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