| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puka Nacua LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 1 | 98.1 | 28–182 | 9.9 | 27% |
| CeeDee Lamb DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 1 | 77.6 | 18–149 | 8.9 | 36% |
| George Pickens DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 2 | 70.9 | 21–128 | 7.6 | 26% |
| Malik Nabers NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 70.2 | 13–139 | 8.9 | 43% |
| Nico Collins HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 67.4 | 15–130 | 6.9 | 27% |
| DeVonta Smith PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 64.5 | 21–116 | 8.2 | 30% |
| Luther Burden III CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 2 | 57.7 | 13–113 | 5.9 | 20% |
| Isaiah Likely NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 57.6 | 18–105 | 7.1 | 35% |
| Emeka Egbuka TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 1 | 53.4 | 5–115 | 7.5 | 27% |
| Rome Odunze CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 1 | 52.0 | 11–100 | 6.6 | 21% |
| Tyler Warren IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 1 | 49.6 | 16–89 | 7.0 | 29% |
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 1 | 46.2 | 11–89 | 6.3 | 18% |
| Stefon Diggs WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 1 | 46.1 | 13–85 | 6.4 | 21% |
| Keenan Allen IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 2 | 44.5 | 12–82 | 6.4 | 19% |
| Chris Godwin Jr. TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 2 | 43.7 | 6–89 | 5.4 | 11% |
| Colston Loveland CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 1 | 41.9 | 1–93 | 5.4 | 35% |
| Dallas Goedert PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 41.8 | 9–81 | 6.1 | 27% |
| Malachi Fields NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 41.2 | 5–87 | 4.9 | 15% |
| KeAndre Lambert-Smith CHART LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 4 | 40.7 | 6–81 | 5.6 | 14% |
| Terry McLaurin WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 6 | 39.3 | 0–89 | 5.0 | 17% |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 3 | 38.9 | 6–80 | 5.0 | 18% |
| Dalton Schultz HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 38.4 | 10–73 | 5.6 | 18% |
| Quentin Johnston LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 36.6 | 0–87 | 4.5 | 15% |
| Cade Otton TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 1 | 35.4 | 2–78 | 5.1 | 13% |
| Makai Lemon PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 35.2 | 4–73 | 5.6 | 10% |
| Tre Harris LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 35.2 | 2–75 | 4.1 | 10% |
| Antonio Williams WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 2 | 33.3 | 5–69 | 4.6 | 9% |
| Tyler Higbee LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 1 | 33.2 | 3–70 | 4.2 | 10% |
| Dontayvion Wicks PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 31.7 | 4–67 | 4.6 | 18% |
| Chig Okonkwo WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 1 | 31.1 | 4–65 | 4.8 | 7% |
| Laquon Treadwell IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 3 | 31.1 | 0–68 | 4.0 | 20% |
| Jaylin Noel HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 4 | 30.0 | 0–68 | 3.3 | 18% |
| Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 29.2 | 0–63 | 4.5 | 8% |
| Ladd McConkey CHART LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 28.7 | 0–72 | 3.1 | 17% |
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 27.6 | 0–61 | 3.3 | 27% |
| Kalif Raymond CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 3 | 26.5 | 0–68 | 2.9 | 9% |
| Colby Parkinson LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 2 | 25.0 | 0–61 | 3.4 | 29% |
| Charlie Kolar CHART LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 25.0 | 0–62 | 2.9 | 11% |
| Kyren Williams LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 24.9 | 0–55 | 4.5 | 44% |
| Darnell Mooney NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 24.6 | 0–61 | 3.1 | 7% |
| Theo Wease Jr. LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 6 | 24.6 | 0–60 | 2.6 | 13% |
| Kayshon Boutte HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 6 | 24.5 | 0–56 | 2.9 | 11% |
| Tez Johnson TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 4 | 23.5 | 0–59 | 2.8 | 16% |
| Ted Hurst III TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 3 | 22.9 | 0–54 | 2.9 | 13% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 1 | 22.2 | 0–51 | 3.4 | 21% |
| Treylon Burks WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 3 | 21.2 | 0–57 | 3.1 | 17% |
| Bucky Irving TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 19.9 | 0–48 | 3.0 | 44% |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 19.8 | 0–49 | 2.6 | 13% |
| Darius Cooper PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 18.7 | 0–45 | 2.6 | 21% |
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 18.5 | 0–44 | 3.1 | 33% |
| Marquise Brown PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 5 | 18.3 | 0–44 | 2.9 | 8% |
| D'Andre Swift CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 17.8 | 0–44 | 3.1 | 22% |
| Konata Mumpfield LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 2 | 16.8 | 0–44 | 2.3 | 6% |
| Cole Kmet CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 3 | 16.7 | 0–41 | 2.2 | 6% |
| Rachaad White CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 16.3 | 0–36 | 2.8 | 31% |
| Will Mallory IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 2 | 16.1 | 0–39 | 2.4 | 11% |
| Tank Dell HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 5 | 16.0 | 0–42 | 1.9 | |
| Davis Allen LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 3 | 15.6 | 0–39 | 2.2 | 20% |
| Tutu Atwell LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 4 | 15.5 | 0–44 | 1.7 | 4% |
| Dameon Pierce PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 15.5 | 0–37 | 3.5 | 38% |
| Woody Marks HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 15.4 | 0–38 | 2.8 | 35% |
| Zach Ertz PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 15.0 | 0–34 | 2.6 | 9% | |
| Ashton Dulin IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 4 | 14.7 | 0–46 | 1.8 | |
| Theo Johnson NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 14.4 | 0–38 | 2.0 | 11% |
| Cam Skattebo NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 14.3 | 0–36 | 2.3 | 22% |
| Elijah Mitchell PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 14.0 | 0–34 | 3.0 | 8% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 2 | 13.5 | 0–38 | 1.9 | 6% |
| Foster Moreau HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 13.2 | 0–35 | 1.8 | 17% |
| Omarion Hampton LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 13.0 | 0–34 | 2.2 | 20% |
| Dyami Brown WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 4 | 12.5 | 0–38 | 1.9 | 4% |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 4 | 12.1 | 0–36 | 1.4 | 8% |
| Devin Singletary NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 11.9 | 0–33 | 2.1 | 18% |
| Keaton Mitchell LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 11.5 | 0–31 | 1.9 | 9% |
| Javonte Williams DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 10.6 | 0–31 | 2.4 | 38% |
| Kenny Gainwell TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 10.4 | 0–30 | 1.9 | 29% |
| Deion Burks IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 5 | 10.3 | 0–32 | 1.3 | |
| Kimani Vidal LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 10.1 | 0–29 | 1.7 | 25% |
| Charlie Jones NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 4 | 10.0 | 0–31 | 1.2 | |
| Brenen Thompson LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 5 | 10.0 | 0–30 | 1.2 | |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 9.8 | 0–29 | 1.7 | 20% |
| David Montgomery CHART HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 9.6 | 0–27 | 1.5 | 29% |
| Blake Corum LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 2 | 9.6 | 0–28 | 1.6 | 31% |
| Mo Alie-Cox IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 3 | 9.3 | 0–29 | 1.4 | 15% |
| Roschon Johnson CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 8.7 | 0–25 | 1.6 | 25% |
| Austin Ekeler WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 8.5 | 0–25 | 1.5 | 20% |
| Eli Stowers PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 8.0 | 0–23 | 1.3 | |
| Thomas Fidone II NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 4 | 8.0 | 0–25 | 1.0 | 4% |
| Saquon Barkley CHART PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 7.7 | 0–22 | 1.6 | 13% |
| Elijah Moore PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 6 | 7.4 | 0–25 | 1.3 | |
| Kyle Monangai CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 7.2 | 0–23 | 1.3 | 26% |
| Kenneth Harris IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 7.1 | 0–23 | 0.9 | ||
| Jawhar Jordan HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 7.0 | 0–20 | 1.3 | 9% | |
| Luke McCaffrey WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 5 | 6.9 | 0–23 | 0.9 | |
| Zavion Thomas CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 4 | 6.8 | 0–23 | 0.9 | |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 4 | 6.5 | 0–21 | 1.3 | 42% |
| Camden Brown DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 6 | 6.5 | 0–22 | 0.8 | 5% |
| Johnny Mundt PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 6.5 | 0–20 | 1.1 | |
| Cade Stover HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 6.4 | 0–20 | 1.0 | 13% |
| Bauer Sharp TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 4 | 6.3 | 0–21 | 0.8 | |
| Seth McGowan IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 6.1 | 0–19 | 1.1 | 10% |
| Jordan Whittington LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 3 | 6.1 | 0–22 | 0.7 | |
| Jaylin Lane WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 7 | 6.0 | 0–20 | 0.9 | |
| John Bates WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 3 | 6.0 | 0–18 | 1.0 | 4% |
| David Sills TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 5 | 5.8 | 0–20 | 0.8 | 4% |
| Dean Connors LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 3 | 5.8 | 0–17 | 1.0 | 10% |
| Britain Covey PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 7 | 5.7 | 0–19 | 0.8 | |
| Jonathan Mingo DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 5 | 5.6 | 0–20 | 1.0 | |
| Andrew Ogletree IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 4 | 5.6 | 0–21 | 0.8 | 11% |
| Lewis Bond HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 5.4 | 0–18 | 0.7 | ||
| Grant Calcaterra PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 5.1 | 0–17 | 0.7 | |
| Sam Roush CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 2 | 5.1 | 0–18 | 0.7 | |
| Marlin Klein HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 5 | 4.9 | 0–16 | 0.7 | |
| Van Jefferson WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 4.7 | 0–15 | 0.7 | ||
| Tank Bigsby PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 4.6 | 0–15 | 1.0 | 11% |
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 4.6 | 0–17 | 0.6 | ||
| Derius Davis LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 7 | 4.6 | 0–18 | 0.6 | |
| Brevin Jordan HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 4 | 4.5 | 0–15 | 0.6 | |
| Hunter Luepke DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 4.4 | 0–16 | 0.7 | 8% | |
| Jalin Hyatt NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 4.3 | 0–15 | 0.6 | ||
| Hayden Rucci LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 4.2 | 0–15 | 0.5 | 8% |
| CJ Daniels LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 5 | 3.9 | 0–15 | 0.5 | |
| Tyler Goodson DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 3.8 | 0–14 | 0.8 | 10% |
| Max Klare LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 4 | 3.7 | 0–14 | 0.5 | 3% |
| Sean Tucker TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 3 | 3.6 | 0–12 | 0.6 | 19% |
| Luke Schoonmaker DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 3 | 3.6 | 0–13 | 0.6 | |
| Patrick Herbert LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 3.6 | 0–13 | 0.5 | ||
| Kameron Johnson TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 6 | 3.5 | 0–13 | 0.4 | |
| Pharaoh Brown IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 5 | 3.4 | 0–13 | 0.4 | |
| Dalen Cambre NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 3.4 | 0–13 | 0.4 | ||
| Jahdae Walker CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 5 | 3.2 | 0–12 | 0.4 | 6% |
| Emari Demercado DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 3 | 3.2 | 0–11 | 0.6 | 7% |
| Kaden Davis CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 3.0 | 0–11 | 0.4 | ||
| Anthony Gould IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 6 | 2.9 | 0–11 | 0.4 | |
| Ben Sinnott WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 2 | 2.8 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Chris Manhertz NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.4 | |
| Josh Williams TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 2.7 | 0–10 | 0.5 | 8% | |
| Payne Durham TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 2 | 2.7 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Dare Ogunbowale HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 2.7 | 0–11 | 0.5 | |
| DJ Giddens IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 2.4 | 0–9 | 0.4 | 8% |
| Colson Yankoff WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 4 | 2.4 | 0–8 | 0.4 | |
| Alex Bachman LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 6 | 2.3 | 0–10 | 0.3 | |
| Patrick Ricard NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 2.1 | 0–7 | 0.4 | 4% | |
| Craig Reynolds WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 2.0 | 0–8 | 0.4 | ||
| Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 1.8 | 0–6 | 0.3 | 8% |
| Scott Matlock LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 1.8 | 0–7 | 0.3 | ||
| Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 1.7 | 0–7 | 0.3 | 20% |
| Ko Kieft TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 3 | 1.4 | 0–4 | 0.2 | |
| Justin Herbert LAC vs HOU | QB | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 0.5 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 34% |
| Sam Howell DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 13% |
| Easton Stick TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% | |
| Jake Haener NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Riley Leonard IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Joe Milton III PHI vs NYG | QB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Davis Mills HOU @ LAC | QB | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →