| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Att ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 275.8 | 37.5 | 3% | |
| Mac Jones SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 2 | 268.9 | 35.6 | ||
| Dak Prescott DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 264.6 | 37.4 | 16% | |
| Kirk Cousins LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 1 | 249.5 | 34.2 | 6% | |
| Brock Purdy CHART SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 1 | 246.1 | 31.0 | 17% | |
| Caleb Williams CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 243.8 | 31.9 | 13% | |
| Patrick Mahomes KC vs NYJ | QB | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 240.8 | 32.5 | 11% | |
| Geno Smith NYJ @ KC | QB | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 225.8 | 30.2 | ||
| Daniel Jones IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 221.1 | 33.6 | 13% | |
| Riley Leonard IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 207.5 | 31.0 | 10% | |
| Jayden Daniels CHART WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 188.1 | 27.2 | 19% | |
| Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 3 | 186.0 | 32.1 | 13% | |
| Baker Mayfield CHART TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 185.7 | 29.4 | 8% | |
| Case Keenum CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 177.5 | 25.6 | 11% | |
| Tyson Bagent CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 177.5 | 27.6 | 8% | |
| Marcus Mariota WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 169.8 | 23.8 | 9% | |
| Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 167.0 | 31.9 | 8% | |
| Justin Fields KC vs NYJ | QB | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 139.9 | 22.8 | 10% | |
| Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 3 | 102.0 | 21.7 | 9% | |
| Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 9.0 | 0.9 | 20% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →