| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CeeDee Lamb DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 1 | 77.6 | 18–149 | 8.9 | 36% |
| George Pickens DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 2 | 70.9 | 21–128 | 7.6 | 26% |
| Garrett Wilson NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 62.7 | 17–117 | 9.0 | 15% |
| Rashee Rice KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 58.8 | 20–106 | 7.3 | 30% |
| Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 54.2 | 6–116 | 5.4 | 24% |
| Tyler Warren IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 1 | 49.6 | 16–89 | 7.0 | 29% |
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 1 | 46.2 | 11–89 | 6.3 | 18% |
| Keenan Allen IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 2 | 44.5 | 12–82 | 6.4 | 19% |
| Travis Kelce KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 42.1 | 11–79 | 6.1 | 13% |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 3 | 38.9 | 6–80 | 5.0 | 18% |
| Xavier Worthy KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 36.6 | 7–73 | 5.7 | 14% |
| Adonai Mitchell NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 32.6 | 0–73 | 4.9 | 9% |
| Laquon Treadwell IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 3 | 31.1 | 0–68 | 4.0 | 20% |
| Mason Taylor NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 23.5 | 0–55 | 3.7 | 17% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 1 | 22.2 | 0–51 | 3.4 | 21% |
| Kenyon Sadiq NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 21.5 | 0–54 | 3.0 | 9% |
| Noah Gray KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 21.0 | 0–48 | 3.1 | 14% |
| Kenneth Walker III KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 19.7 | 0–46 | 3.5 | 51% |
| Breece Hall CHART NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 18.8 | 0–47 | 2.9 | 19% |
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 18.5 | 0–44 | 3.1 | 33% |
| Braelon Allen NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 17.9 | 0–43 | 3.3 | 54% |
| Andrew Armstrong KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 6 | 16.5 | 0–41 | 2.4 | 16% |
| Jalen Royals KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 16.2 | 0–42 | 2.4 | 11% |
| Will Mallory IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 2 | 16.1 | 0–39 | 2.4 | 11% |
| Tim Patrick NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 4 | 15.5 | 0–42 | 1.9 | |
| Ashton Dulin IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 4 | 14.7 | 0–46 | 1.8 | |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 2 | 13.5 | 0–38 | 1.9 | 6% |
| Isaiah Williams NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 5 | 12.4 | 0–38 | 1.8 | |
| Emmett Johnson KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 12.2 | 0–33 | 2.1 | 8% |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 4 | 12.1 | 0–36 | 1.4 | 8% |
| Cyrus Allen KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 4 | 12.0 | 0–36 | 1.6 | |
| Javonte Williams DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 10.6 | 0–31 | 2.4 | 38% |
| Deion Burks IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 5 | 10.3 | 0–32 | 1.3 | |
| Isaiah Davis NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 9.7 | 0–28 | 1.6 | 8% |
| Sterling Shepard NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 9.7 | 0–28 | 1.5 | 11% | |
| Mo Alie-Cox IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 3 | 9.3 | 0–29 | 1.4 | 15% |
| Jeremy Ruckert NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 7.5 | 0–24 | 1.2 | 10% |
| Kenneth Harris IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 7.1 | 0–23 | 0.9 | ||
| Jelani Woods NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 4 | 7.0 | 0–22 | 1.0 | |
| Jaydn Ott KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 6.9 | 0–20 | 1.3 | 10% |
| Camden Brown DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 6 | 6.5 | 0–22 | 0.8 | 5% |
| Seth McGowan IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 6.1 | 0–19 | 1.1 | 10% |
| Justin Watson KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 5.9 | 0–20 | 0.8 | ||
| Jonathan Mingo DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 5 | 5.6 | 0–20 | 1.0 | |
| Andrew Ogletree IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 4 | 5.6 | 0–21 | 0.8 | 11% |
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 4.6 | 0–17 | 0.6 | ||
| Jake Briningstool KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 4.6 | 0–16 | 0.7 | |
| Hunter Luepke DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 4.4 | 0–16 | 0.7 | 8% | |
| Nikko Remigio KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 5 | 3.9 | 0–15 | 0.5 | |
| Tyler Goodson DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 3.8 | 0–14 | 0.8 | 10% |
| Luke Schoonmaker DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 3 | 3.6 | 0–13 | 0.6 | |
| Malik McClain NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 6 | 3.5 | 0–13 | 0.4 | |
| Pharaoh Brown IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 5 | 3.4 | 0–13 | 0.4 | |
| Emari Demercado DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 3 | 3.2 | 0–11 | 0.6 | 7% |
| Ben VanSumeren KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 3.0 | 0–10 | 0.6 | 9% | |
| Anthony Gould IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 6 | 2.9 | 0–11 | 0.4 | |
| Kene Nwangwu NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 4 | 2.8 | 0–10 | 0.5 | |
| Jared Wiley KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 4 | 2.5 | 0–9 | 0.4 | |
| DJ Giddens IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 2.4 | 0–9 | 0.4 | 8% |
| Andrew Beck NYJ @ KC | FB | NYJ vs KC | 2.3 | 0–9 | 0.5 | 7% | |
| Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 1.7 | 0–7 | 0.3 | 20% |
| Sam Howell DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 13% |
| Will Levis NYJ @ KC | QB | NYJ vs KC | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% | |
| Riley Leonard IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →