157 / 446 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puka Nacua LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 1 | 7.1 | 3–12 | 9.9 | 27% |
| Brock Bowers LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 1 | 6.0 | 2–10 | 8.3 | 31% |
| DeVonta Smith PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 5.7 | 3–9 | 8.2 | 30% |
| Malik Nabers NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 5.6 | 2–11 | 8.9 | 43% |
| Garrett Wilson NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 5.6 | 2–10 | 9.0 | 15% |
| Rashee Rice KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 5.3 | 2–8 | 7.3 | 30% |
| George Kittle SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 1 | 5.3 | 2–9 | 6.9 | 34% |
| Isaiah Likely NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 5.1 | 2–8 | 7.1 | 35% |
| Tetairoa McMillan CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 5.0 | 2–8 | 8.2 | 26% |
| Christian McCaffrey SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 1 | 4.6 | 2–8 | 5.7 | 37% |
| Jalen Coker CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 4.5 | 2–8 | 6.6 | 14% |
| Stefon Diggs WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 1 | 4.5 | 2–7 | 6.4 | 21% |
| Dallas Goedert PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 4.5 | 1–8 | 6.1 | 27% |
| Travis Kelce KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 4.4 | 2–7 | 6.1 | 13% |
| Ashton Jeanty LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 1 | 4.2 | 2–7 | 5.5 | 48% |
| Tre Tucker LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 1 | 4.0 | 1–8 | 6.6 | 21% |
| Jaylen Waddle DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 3.8 | 1–7 | 5.7 | 23% |
| Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 3.7 | 1–7 | 5.4 | 24% |
| Michael Mayer LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 2 | 3.7 | 1–7 | 5.2 | 11% |
| Makai Lemon PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 3.7 | 1–7 | 5.6 | 10% |
| Chig Okonkwo WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 1 | 3.5 | 1–7 | 4.8 | 7% |
| Courtland Sutton DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 3.5 | 1–6 | 5.7 | 28% |
| Xavier Worthy KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 5.7 | 14% |
| Kyren Williams LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 3.4 | 1–7 | 4.5 | 44% |
| Mike Evans SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 1 | 3.3 | 1–6 | 5.4 | 22% |
| Terry McLaurin WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 6 | 3.2 | 0–7 | 5.0 | 17% |
| RJ Harvey DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 3.2 | 1–6 | 3.9 | 34% |
| Tyler Higbee LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 1 | 3.0 | 1–6 | 4.2 | 10% |
| Antonio Williams WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 2 | 3.0 | 1–6 | 4.6 | 9% |
| Malachi Fields NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 2.9 | 1–5 | 4.9 | 15% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 2 | 2.9 | 1–5 | 4.2 | 26% |
| Kenneth Walker III KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 2.8 | 1–5 | 3.5 | 51% |
| Dontayvion Wicks PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 2.7 | 1–5 | 4.6 | 18% |
| Mason Taylor NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 2.6 | 0–6 | 3.7 | 17% |
| Dameon Pierce PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 2.6 | 0–5 | 3.5 | 38% |
| Braelon Allen NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 3.3 | 54% |
| Colby Parkinson LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 2 | 2.4 | 0–6 | 3.4 | 29% |
| Adonai Mitchell NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 4.9 | 9% |
| Rachaad White CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 2.4 | 1–5 | 2.8 | 31% |
| Chuba Hubbard CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 3.0 | 52% |
| Breece Hall CHART NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 2.3 | 0–5 | 2.9 | 19% |
| Elijah Mitchell PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 2.3 | 0–4 | 3.0 | 8% |
| Darren Waller CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 2.2 | 0–5 | 3.3 | 15% |
| Noah Gray KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 2.2 | 0–4 | 3.1 | 14% |
| Tommy Tremble CHART CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 15% |
| Kenyon Sadiq NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 2.1 | 0–5 | 3.0 | 9% |
| Evan Engram DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 2.8 | 9% |
| Cam Skattebo NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.3 | 22% |
| Jonah Coleman CHART DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.2 | 18% |
| Treylon Burks WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 3 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 3.1 | 17% |
| Zach Ertz PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.6 | 9% | |
| Marquise Brown PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 5 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 8% |
| Devin Singletary NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.1 | 18% |
| Darnell Mooney NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 3.1 | 7% |
| John Metchie III CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 1.7 | 0–3 | 2.7 | 10% |
| Jalen Nailor LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 2 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 17% |
| Emmett Johnson KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.1 | 8% |
| Darius Cooper PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 1.6 | 0–3 | 2.6 | 21% |
| Davis Allen LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 3 | 1.6 | 0–3 | 2.2 | 20% |
| Brandon Aiyuk SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 10 | 1.6 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 11% |
| Kyle Juszczyk SF vs LV | FB | SF vs LV | 1 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 18% |
| Jalen Royals KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 11% |
| Troy Franklin DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.5 | 19% |
| Andrew Armstrong KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 6 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 16% |
| Marvin Mims Jr. DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 4 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 2.1 | 7% |
| J.K. Dobbins CHART DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 1.7 | 20% |
| Mitchell Evans CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 14% |
| Jordan Watkins SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 3 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.1 | |
| Brandin Cooks SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 4 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.1 | 11% |
| Theo Johnson NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.0 | 11% |
| Konata Mumpfield LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 2 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.3 | 6% |
| Tim Patrick NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 4 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.9 | |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.7 | 20% |
| Blake Corum LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 2 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 31% |
| Isaiah Davis NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 8% |
| Saquon Barkley CHART PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 13% |
| Dyami Brown WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 4 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 4% |
| Isaiah Williams NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 5 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.8 | |
| Cody White LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 3 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 11% |
| Jacob Cowing SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 6 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.8 | |
| Austin Ekeler WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 20% |
| Tutu Atwell LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 4 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.7 | 4% |
| Brycen Tremayne CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 11% |
| Cyrus Allen KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 4 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.6 | |
| Jaydn Ott KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.3 | 10% |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 4 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.3 | 42% |
| Ja'Tavion Sanders CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 5 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Sterling Shepard NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.5 | 11% | |
| Mike Washington Jr. LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 15% |
| Kaelon Black SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 11% |
| Jeremy Ruckert NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.2 | 10% |
| Eli Stowers PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Dylan Laube LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.8 | 0–3 | 1.0 | 7% |
| Ja'Seem Reed CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.3 | 11% | |
| Trevor Etienne CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Charlie Jones NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 4 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.2 | |
| Elijah Moore PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 6 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Thomas Fidone II NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 4 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 4% |
| Dean Connors LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 10% |
| Roman Hemby LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 11% | |
| Adam Trautman DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 11% |
| Johnny Mundt PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | |
| Tank Bigsby PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 11% |
| Deven Thompkins LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | ||
| John Bates WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 4% |
| David Moore CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.2 | |
| Lil'Jordan Humphrey DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | |
| Jelani Woods NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Christian Kirk SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Luke Farrell SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 2 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 5% |
| Nate Adkins DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 14% |
| Ian Thomas LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| AJ Dillon CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| Dallen Bentley DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Jordan James SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Malik Benson LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 5 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 11% |
| Luke McCaffrey WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 5 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Anthony Tyus III CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 11% |
| James Thompson SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | ||
| Kolbe Katsis DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | ||
| Britain Covey PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 7 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| Grant Calcaterra PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | |
| Jaylin Lane WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 7 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.9 | |
| Jake Briningstool KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | |
| Jordan Whittington LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 3 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | |
| Justin Watson KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | ||
| Ben VanSumeren KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 9% | |
| Van Jefferson WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | ||
| Kene Nwangwu NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Connor Heyward LV @ SF | FB | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Max Klare LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 3% |
| Nikko Remigio KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Jalin Hyatt NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.6 | ||
| Andrew Beck NYJ @ KC | FB | NYJ vs KC | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 7% | |
| Ben Sinnott WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 2 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Jack Stoll SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| CJ Daniels LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Craig Reynolds WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Chris Manhertz NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Jared Wiley KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Malik McClain NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 6 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Colson Yankoff WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Patrick Ricard NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 4% | |
| Malik Turner SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Dalen Cambre NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Chris Myarick LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Adam Prentice DEN @ CAR | FB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Feleipe Franks CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Brayden Willis SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 3 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Alex Bachman LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 6 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Dareke Young LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 4 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Sam Ehlinger DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| Jake Haener NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Jarrett Stidham DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 6% |
| Will Levis NYJ @ KC | QB | NYJ vs KC | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% | |
| Joe Milton III PHI vs NYG | QB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET