| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | — ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 0.82 | 56% | ||
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 0.62 | 46% | ||
| Quinshon Judkins CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 0.59 | 45% | ||
| Caleb Douglas MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 2 | 0.45 | 36% | ||
| Woody Marks HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 0.43 | 35% | ||
| Denzel Boston CHART CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 0.40 | 33% | ||
| Tyler Warren IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 1 | 0.40 | 33% | ||
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 1 | 0.39 | 32% | ||
| Wan'Dale Robinson TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 0.36 | 30% | ||
| Nico Collins HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 0.36 | 30% | ||
| Germie Bernard PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 0.35 | 30% | ||
| Elic Ayomanor TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 0.35 | 29% | ||
| Pat Freiermuth PIT @ CIN | TE | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 0.34 | 29% | ||
| Jaylen Warren PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 0.33 | 28% | ||
| Darnell Washington CHART PIT @ CIN | TE | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| David Montgomery HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 0.31 | 27% | ||
| Ollie Gordon II MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 1 | 0.31 | 26% | ||
| Greg Dulcich MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 1 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Tee Higgins CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| DK Metcalf PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 0.29 | 25% | ||
| Tony Pollard TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 0.28 | 25% | ||
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Jaleel McLaughlin CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 0.24 | 22% | ||
| Chase Brown CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 4 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Parker Washington JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Anthony Richardson IND vs MIA | QB | IND vs MIA | 2 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Malik Willis MIA @ IND | QB | MIA vs IND | 1 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Mike Gesicki CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Malik Washington CHART MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Trevor Lawrence JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 0.19 | 18% | ||
| Dalton Schultz HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Cam Ward TEN vs JAX | QB | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Gunnar Helm TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Josh Cameron JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Laquon Treadwell IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Jaylin Noel HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 7 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Brenton Strange JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Keenan Allen IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 2 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Kyle McCord MIA @ IND | QB | MIA vs IND | 2 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Audric Estimé CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 0.18 | 16% | |||
| Calvin Ridley TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 5 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Mitchell Tinsley CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 5 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Michael Carter TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 5 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Foster Moreau HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Joe Burrow CHART CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Carnell Tate CHART TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 0.16 | 14% | ||
| Rico Dowdle PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Daniel Jones IND vs MIA | QB | IND vs MIA | 1 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Drew Allar PIT @ CIN | QB | PIT vs CIN | 4 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Will Howard PIT @ CIN | QB | PIT vs CIN | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Deshaun Watson CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Cade Stover HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Mo Alie-Cox IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| DJ Giddens IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Nicholas Singleton TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Dylan Sampson CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Taylen Green CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 4 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Kaytron Allen MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 3 | 0.13 | 13% | ||
| Daniel Bellinger TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Andrew Ogletree IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 4 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| KC Concepcion CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Kayshon Boutte HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 5 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Seth McGowan IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 2 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jawhar Jordan HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 0.11 | 10% | |||
| Jalen Tolbert MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 5 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| K.J. Osborn TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 0.10 | 10% | |||
| Riley Leonard IND vs MIA | QB | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ CLE | QB | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Xavier Restrepo TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 0.10 | 10% | |||
| Samaje Perine CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Tyjae Spears TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Nate Boerkircher JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Dohnte Meyers CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Chris Bell MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Drew Sample CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Jack Endries CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 4 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Davis Mills HOU @ CLE | QB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Carlos Washington MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 0.09 | 8% | |||
| Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| DJ Herman MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 0.08 | 8% | |||
| Will Mallory IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Lew Nichols III PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 4 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Jerry Jeudy CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Dillon Gabriel CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Eli Heidenreich PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 5 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Josh Johnson CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 0.07 | 7% | |||
| Shedeur Sanders CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Aaron Rodgers PIT @ CIN | QB | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Tahj Brooks CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 3 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Justin Joly MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 4 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Kaden Wetjen PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 5 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Quinn Ewers JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Blake Whiteheart CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Mason Rudolph PIT @ CIN | QB | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Nick Mullens JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 0.05 | 5% | |||
| Joe Flacco CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 0.05 | 5% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →