✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Kenneth Walker III KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 1 0.72 51%
Kyren Williams LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 1 0.60 45%
Malik Nabers NYG vs WAS WR NYG vs WAS 1 0.60 45%
Quinshon Judkins CLE vs HOU RB CLE vs HOU 1 0.59 45%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 4 0.51 40%
Trey McBride ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 1 0.45 36%
Rachaad White CHART WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 1 0.44 36%
Woody Marks HOU @ CLE RB HOU vs CLE 1 0.43 35%
Isaiah Likely NYG vs WAS TE NYG vs WAS 1 0.42 34%
Denzel Boston CHART CLE vs HOU WR CLE vs HOU 1 0.40 33%
Derrick Henry BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 1 0.40 33%
Justin Herbert LAC @ BAL QB LAC vs BAL 1 0.38 32%
Brian Robinson ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 2 0.38 31%
Oronde Gadsden II LAC @ BAL TE LAC vs BAL 2 0.37 31%
Blake Corum LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 2 0.36 30%
Nico Collins HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 1 0.36 30%
Puka Nacua LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 1 0.35 30%
Colby Parkinson LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 2 0.35 29%
Rashee Rice KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 1 0.35 29%
Austin Ekeler WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 2 0.34 29%
Bijan Robinson ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 1 0.31 27%
David Montgomery HOU @ CLE RB HOU vs CLE 2 0.31 27%
Kimani Vidal LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 3 0.30 26%
Tyler Allgeier ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 2 0.30 26%
Michael Wilson ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 1 0.30 26%
Jacoby Brissett CHART ARI vs LA QB ARI vs LA 3 0.30 26%
Kyle Pitts ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 1 0.27 24%
Mark Andrews BAL vs LAC TE BAL vs LAC 1 0.27 24%
Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs LAC WR BAL vs LAC 3 0.26 23%
Jaleel McLaughlin CLE vs HOU RB CLE vs HOU 3 0.24 22%
Rashod Bateman BAL vs LAC WR BAL vs LAC 2 0.24 21%
Zay Flowers BAL vs LAC WR BAL vs LAC 1 0.24 21%
Jeremiyah Love ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 1 0.24 21%
Stefon Diggs WAS @ NYG WR WAS vs NYG 1 0.23 20%
Khalil Herbert ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 0.23 20%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG vs WAS RB NYG vs WAS 4 0.22 20%
Ladd McConkey CHART LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 1 0.22 20%
Devin Singletary NYG vs WAS RB NYG vs WAS 2 0.22 20%
Cam Skattebo NYG vs WAS RB NYG vs WAS 1 0.21 19%
Harold Fannin Jr. CLE vs HOU TE CLE vs HOU 1 0.20 18%
Jahan Dotson ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 2 0.20 18%
Dalton Schultz HOU @ CLE TE HOU vs CLE 1 0.19 17%
Omarion Hampton LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 1 0.19 17%
Bam Knight ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 3 0.19 17%
Treylon Burks WAS @ NYG WR WAS vs NYG 3 0.19 17%
Jaylin Noel HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 7 0.18 17%
Joe Fagnano BAL vs LAC QB BAL vs LAC 2 0.18 17%
Jayden Daniels CHART WAS @ NYG QB WAS vs NYG 1 0.18 16%
Audric Estimé CLE vs HOU RB CLE vs HOU 0.18 16%
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 3 0.17 16%
Noah Gray KC @ ATL TE KC vs ATL 2 0.17 16%
Davis Allen LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 3 0.17 16%
Drake London ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 1 0.17 16%
Xavier Worthy KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 2 0.16 15%
Austin Hooper ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 3 0.16 15%
Foster Moreau HOU @ CLE TE HOU vs CLE 2 0.16 15%
Malachi Fields NYG vs WAS WR NYG vs WAS 2 0.16 15%
KeAndre Lambert-Smith LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 4 0.16 15%
Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 2 0.16 14%
Quentin Johnston LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 2 0.16 14%
Deshaun Watson CLE vs HOU QB CLE vs HOU 1 0.15 14%
DJ Uiagalelei LAC @ BAL QB LAC vs BAL 2 0.15 14%
Cade Stover HOU @ CLE TE HOU vs CLE 3 0.15 14%
Theo Johnson NYG vs WAS TE NYG vs WAS 2 0.15 14%
J.J. McCarthy CHART NYG vs WAS QB NYG vs WAS 1 0.15 14%
Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS @ NYG QB WAS vs NYG 3 0.15 14%
Jack Strand ATL vs KC QB ATL vs KC 4 0.14 13%
Garrett Nussmeier KC @ ATL QB KC vs ATL 3 0.14 13%
Carson Beck ARI vs LA QB ARI vs LA 2 0.14 13%
Tyler Huntley BAL vs LAC QB BAL vs LAC 1 0.14 13%
Josh Cuevas BAL vs LAC TE BAL vs LAC 2 0.14 13%
Dylan Sampson CLE vs HOU RB CLE vs HOU 2 0.14 13%
Taylen Green CLE vs HOU QB CLE vs HOU 4 0.14 13%
Adam Randall BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 4 0.14 13%
Travis Kelce KC @ ATL TE KC vs ATL 1 0.14 13%
Theo Wease Jr. LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 7 0.14 13%
Kendrick Bourne ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 5 0.14 13%
Patrick Mahomes KC @ ATL QB KC vs ATL 1 0.13 12%
Ty Simpson LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 3 0.13 12%
Lamar Jackson BAL vs LAC QB BAL vs LAC 3 0.13 12%
Justin Fields KC @ ATL QB KC vs ATL 2 0.13 12%
Andrew Armstrong KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 5 0.12 12%
Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs KC QB ATL vs KC 1 0.12 11%
Rasheen Ali BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 3 0.12 11%
Justice Hill BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 2 0.12 11%
KC Concepcion CLE vs HOU WR CLE vs HOU 2 0.11 11%
Nick Muse ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 4 0.11 11%
Kayshon Boutte HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 5 0.11 10%
Jaydn Ott KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 3 0.11 10%
Jawhar Jordan HOU @ CLE RB HOU vs CLE 0.11 10%
Charlie Woerner ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 2 0.10 10%
Stetson Bennett LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 2 0.10 10%
Dean Connors LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 3 0.10 10%
C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ CLE QB HOU vs CLE 1 0.10 10%
Charlie Kolar CHART LAC @ BAL TE LAC vs BAL 1 0.10 10%
Tre Harris LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 3 0.10 9%
Jalen Brooks ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 6 0.10 9%
Jameis Winston NYG vs WAS QB NYG vs WAS 2 0.10 9%
Antonio Williams WAS @ NYG WR WAS vs NYG 2 0.09 9%
Emmett Johnson KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 2 0.09 9%
Tyler Higbee LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 1 0.09 9%
Ben VanSumeren KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 0.09 9%
Marcus Mariota WAS @ NYG QB WAS vs NYG 2 0.09 9%
Scott Matlock LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 0.09 9%
Davis Mills HOU @ CLE QB HOU vs CLE 2 0.09 8%
Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 3 0.08 8%
Keaton Mitchell LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 2 0.08 8%
Teagan Quitoriano ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 3 0.08 8%
Jalen Royals KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 4 0.08 8%
Evan Hull ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 4 0.08 8%
Jake Haener NYG vs WAS QB NYG vs WAS 3 0.08 7%
Jerry Jeudy CLE vs HOU WR CLE vs HOU 3 0.08 7%
Chig Okonkwo WAS @ NYG TE WAS vs NYG 1 0.07 7%
Dillon Gabriel CLE vs HOU QB CLE vs HOU 3 0.07 7%
Jeremy McNichols WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 3 0.07 7%
Darnell Mooney NYG vs WAS WR NYG vs WAS 3 0.07 7%
Shedeur Sanders CLE vs HOU QB CLE vs HOU 2 0.07 7%
Elijah Higgins ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 2 0.07 7%
Matthew Hibner BAL vs LAC TE BAL vs LAC 3 0.07 7%
Blake Whiteheart CLE vs HOU TE CLE vs HOU 2 0.06 6%
Konata Mumpfield LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 2 0.06 6%
Tua Tagovailoa ATL vs KC QB ATL vs KC 2 0.06 6%
Kenny Yeboah ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 0.05 5%
Tutu Atwell LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 3 0.04 4%
Max Klare LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 4 0.04 4%
Craig Reynolds WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 0.04 4%
Patrick Ricard NYG vs WAS RB NYG vs WAS 0.04 4%
Charlie Jones NYG vs WAS WR NYG vs WAS 4 0.04 3%
Dyami Brown WAS @ NYG WR WAS vs NYG 4 0.03 3%
Matthew Stafford LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 1 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Wed Nov 4, 10:02 AM ET · Next Sat Nov 7, 2:00 PM ET
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