130 / 364 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | — ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker III KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 1 | 0.72 | 51% | ||
| Quinshon Judkins CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 0.59 | 45% | ||
| Javonte Williams DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.58 | 44% | ||
| Zach Charbonnet CHART SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 1 | 0.50 | 40% | ||
| Brock Bowers LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 1 | 0.49 | 39% | ||
| Christian McCaffrey SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.49 | 39% | ||
| AJ Barner SEA @ LV | TE | SEA vs LV | 1 | 0.46 | 37% | ||
| CeeDee Lamb DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.43 | 35% | ||
| Woody Marks HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 0.43 | 35% | ||
| George Kittle SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.41 | 34% | ||
| Ashton Jeanty CHART LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 0.41 | 33% | ||
| Denzel Boston CHART CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 0.40 | 33% | ||
| Derrick Henry BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 0.40 | 33% | ||
| Justin Herbert LAC @ BAL | QB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 0.38 | 32% | ||
| Brian Robinson ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 2 | 0.38 | 31% | ||
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 0.37 | 31% | ||
| Nico Collins HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 0.36 | 30% | ||
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 1 | 0.35 | 30% | ||
| Rashee Rice KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 1 | 0.35 | 29% | ||
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 2 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 1 | 0.31 | 27% | ||
| David Montgomery HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 0.31 | 27% | ||
| Kimani Vidal LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Kyle Pitts ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 1 | 0.27 | 24% | ||
| Mark Andrews BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 0.27 | 24% | ||
| Mike Evans SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.27 | 24% | ||
| Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| George Pickens DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| Ryan Flournoy DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 3 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Jaleel McLaughlin CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 0.24 | 22% | ||
| Rashod Bateman BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Zay Flowers BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 0.23 | 20% | |||
| Jalen Nailor LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 2 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Ladd McConkey CHART LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Jake Ferguson DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Mike Washington Jr. LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 2 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Jahan Dotson ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 2 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Dalton Schultz HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Tre Tucker LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Omarion Hampton LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Dak Prescott DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Jaylin Noel HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 7 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Joe Fagnano BAL vs LAC | QB | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Brock Purdy CHART SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Emanuel Wilson CHART SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 3 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Audric Estimé CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 0.18 | 16% | |||
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 3 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Noah Gray KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 2 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Drake London ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 1 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Xavier Worthy KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Kyle Juszczyk SF @ DAL | FB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Austin Hooper ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 3 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Foster Moreau HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Cooper Kupp SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 3 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| KeAndre Lambert-Smith LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 4 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 0.16 | 14% | ||
| Quentin Johnston LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 0.16 | 14% | ||
| Tory Horton SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 4 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Deshaun Watson CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| DJ Uiagalelei LAC @ BAL | QB | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Cade Stover HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Jack Strand ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 4 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Fernando Mendoza LV vs SEA | QB | LV vs SEA | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Garrett Nussmeier KC @ ATL | QB | KC vs ATL | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Tyler Huntley BAL vs LAC | QB | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Josh Cuevas BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Dylan Sampson CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Taylen Green CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 4 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Roman Hemby LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 0.14 | 13% | |||
| Adam Randall BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Travis Kelce KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Theo Wease Jr. LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 7 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Cody White LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 4 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Patrick Mahomes KC @ ATL | QB | KC vs ATL | 1 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Lamar Jackson BAL vs LAC | QB | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Justin Fields KC @ ATL | QB | KC vs ATL | 2 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Andrew Armstrong KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 5 | 0.12 | 12% | ||
| Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 1 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Sam Howell DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Kurtis Rourke SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Justice Hill BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Kaelon Black SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| KC Concepcion CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Michael Mayer LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 2 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Nick Muse ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 4 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| George Holani SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 4 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Kayshon Boutte HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 5 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Malik Benson LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 7 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jaydn Ott KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 3 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jawhar Jordan HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 0.11 | 10% | |||
| Brandon Aiyuk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 10 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jadarian Price SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 2 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 2 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ CLE | QB | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Rashid Shaheed SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 2 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Charlie Kolar CHART LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Brandin Cooks SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 4 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Robert Henry Jr. SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 0.10 | 9% | |||
| Tre Harris LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Jack Bech LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 3 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Kirk Cousins LV vs SEA | QB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Emmett Johnson KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Ben VanSumeren KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 0.09 | 9% | |||
| Aidan O'Connell LV vs SEA | QB | LV vs SEA | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Scott Matlock LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 0.09 | 9% | |||
| Tyler Goodson DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Davis Mills HOU @ CLE | QB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Keaton Mitchell LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Jalen Royals KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 4 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| KaVontae Turpin DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 4 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Sam Darnold SEA @ LV | QB | SEA vs LV | 1 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Jerry Jeudy CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Dillon Gabriel CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Shedeur Sanders CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Matthew Hibner BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Hunter Luepke DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 0.07 | 7% | |||
| Velus Jones Jr. SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 5 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Blake Whiteheart CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Drew Lock SEA @ LV | QB | SEA vs LV | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Jordan James SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Tua Tagovailoa ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Jordan Watkins SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 3 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Jonathan Mingo DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 5 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Christian Kirk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 5 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Camden Brown DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 6 | 0.03 | 3% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Tue Nov 3, 6:05 AM ET · Next Wed Nov 4, 10:00 AM ET