| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Att ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Burrow CHART CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 283.7 | 35.3 | 15% | |
| Mac Jones SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 268.9 | 35.6 | ||
| Patrick Mahomes KC @ ATL | QB | KC vs ATL | 1 | 255.0 | 34.1 | 12% | |
| Kirk Cousins LV vs SEA | QB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 251.5 | 33.5 | 9% | |
| Dak Prescott DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 246.6 | 36.1 | 17% | |
| Brock Purdy CHART SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 246.1 | 31.0 | 17% | |
| Deshaun Watson CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 245.5 | 32.7 | 14% | |
| Joe Flacco CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 245.1 | 40.3 | 5% | |
| C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ CLE | QB | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 243.2 | 31.6 | 10% | |
| Sam Darnold SEA @ LV | QB | SEA vs LV | 1 | 241.1 | 32.9 | 7% | |
| Aaron Rodgers PIT @ CIN | QB | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 218.9 | 33.9 | 7% | |
| Davis Mills HOU @ CLE | QB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 214.0 | 36.5 | 8% | |
| Drew Lock SEA @ LV | QB | SEA vs LV | 2 | 211.0 | 23.4 | 6% | |
| Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 1 | 207.2 | 29.6 | 11% | |
| Tua Tagovailoa ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 2 | 190.0 | 27.8 | 6% | |
| Andy Dalton ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 3 | 175.0 | 28.9 | ||
| Shedeur Sanders CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 175.0 | 26.7 | 7% | |
| Dillon Gabriel CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 153.0 | 29.9 | 7% | |
| Mason Rudolph PIT @ CIN | QB | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 149.0 | 23.2 | 6% | |
| Justin Fields KC @ ATL | QB | KC vs ATL | 2 | 139.9 | 22.8 | 12% | |
| Josh Johnson CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 124.0 | 16.9 | 7% | ||
| Aidan O'Connell LV vs SEA | QB | LV vs SEA | 3 | 102.0 | 21.7 | 9% | |
| Jack Strand ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 4 | 59.0 | 15.6 | 13% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →