✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Josh Jacobs GB vs MIN RB GB vs MIN 1 0.83 56%
Kyren Williams LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 1 0.60 45%
Malik Nabers NYG vs WAS WR NYG vs WAS 1 0.60 45%
Quinshon Judkins CLE vs HOU RB CLE vs HOU 1 0.59 45%
Javonte Williams DAL vs SF RB DAL vs SF 1 0.58 44%
Justin Jefferson MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 1 0.58 44%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 4 0.51 40%
Christian McCaffrey SF @ DAL RB SF vs DAL 1 0.49 39%
Trey McBride ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 1 0.45 36%
Rachaad White CHART WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 1 0.44 36%
Aaron Jones MIN @ GB RB MIN vs GB 2 0.44 36%
CeeDee Lamb DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 1 0.43 35%
Woody Marks HOU @ CLE RB HOU vs CLE 1 0.43 35%
Isaiah Likely NYG vs WAS TE NYG vs WAS 1 0.42 34%
George Kittle SF @ DAL TE SF vs DAL 1 0.41 34%
Denzel Boston CHART CLE vs HOU WR CLE vs HOU 1 0.40 33%
Tucker Kraft GB vs MIN TE GB vs MIN 1 0.37 31%
Blake Corum LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 2 0.36 30%
Nico Collins HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 1 0.36 30%
Puka Nacua LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 1 0.35 30%
Colby Parkinson LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 2 0.35 29%
Austin Ekeler WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 2 0.34 29%
Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 2 0.32 27%
David Montgomery HOU @ CLE RB HOU vs CLE 2 0.31 27%
T.J. Hockenson MIN @ GB TE MIN vs GB 1 0.31 27%
Tyler Allgeier ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 2 0.30 26%
Michael Wilson ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 1 0.30 26%
Jacoby Brissett CHART ARI vs LA QB ARI vs LA 3 0.30 26%
Christian Watson CHART GB vs MIN WR GB vs MIN 1 0.27 24%
Mike Evans SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 1 0.27 24%
MarShawn Lloyd GB vs MIN RB GB vs MIN 2 0.27 23%
George Pickens DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 2 0.26 23%
Ryan Flournoy DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 3 0.25 22%
Matthew Golden GB vs MIN WR GB vs MIN 2 0.24 22%
Jaleel McLaughlin CLE vs HOU RB CLE vs HOU 3 0.24 22%
Jeremiyah Love ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 1 0.24 21%
Stefon Diggs WAS @ NYG WR WAS vs NYG 1 0.23 20%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG vs WAS RB NYG vs WAS 4 0.22 20%
Kyler Murray MIN @ GB QB MIN vs GB 1 0.22 20%
Devin Singletary NYG vs WAS RB NYG vs WAS 2 0.22 20%
Cam Skattebo NYG vs WAS RB NYG vs WAS 1 0.21 19%
Jake Ferguson DAL vs SF TE DAL vs SF 1 0.20 18%
Harold Fannin Jr. CLE vs HOU TE CLE vs HOU 1 0.20 18%
Dalton Schultz HOU @ CLE TE HOU vs CLE 1 0.19 17%
Bam Knight ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 3 0.19 17%
Treylon Burks WAS @ NYG WR WAS vs NYG 3 0.19 17%
Dak Prescott DAL vs SF QB DAL vs SF 1 0.19 17%
Jaylin Noel HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 7 0.18 17%
Jordan Addison MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 2 0.18 17%
Brock Purdy CHART SF @ DAL QB SF vs DAL 1 0.18 17%
Jayden Daniels CHART WAS @ NYG QB WAS vs NYG 1 0.18 16%
Audric Estimé CLE vs HOU RB CLE vs HOU 0.18 16%
Davis Allen LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 3 0.17 16%
Kyle Juszczyk SF @ DAL FB SF vs DAL 1 0.16 15%
Jordan Mason MIN @ GB RB MIN vs GB 1 0.16 15%
Foster Moreau HOU @ CLE TE HOU vs CLE 2 0.16 15%
Malachi Fields NYG vs WAS WR NYG vs WAS 2 0.16 15%
Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 2 0.16 14%
Deshaun Watson CLE vs HOU QB CLE vs HOU 1 0.15 14%
Cade Stover HOU @ CLE TE HOU vs CLE 3 0.15 14%
Theo Johnson NYG vs WAS TE NYG vs WAS 2 0.15 14%
J.J. McCarthy CHART NYG vs WAS QB NYG vs WAS 1 0.15 14%
Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS @ NYG QB WAS vs NYG 3 0.15 14%
Carson Beck ARI vs LA QB ARI vs LA 2 0.14 13%
Dylan Sampson CLE vs HOU RB CLE vs HOU 2 0.14 13%
Taylen Green CLE vs HOU QB CLE vs HOU 4 0.14 13%
Kendrick Bourne ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 5 0.14 13%
Ty Simpson LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 3 0.13 12%
Sam Howell DAL vs SF QB DAL vs SF 2 0.12 11%
Kurtis Rourke SF @ DAL QB SF vs DAL 3 0.12 11%
Kaelon Black SF @ DAL RB SF vs DAL 2 0.12 11%
KC Concepcion CLE vs HOU WR CLE vs HOU 2 0.11 11%
Jauan Jennings MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 3 0.11 11%
Kayshon Boutte HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 5 0.11 10%
Jawhar Jordan HOU @ CLE RB HOU vs CLE 0.11 10%
Brandon Aiyuk SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 10 0.11 10%
Carson Wentz MIN @ GB QB MIN vs GB 2 0.11 10%
Stetson Bennett LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 2 0.10 10%
Dean Connors LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 3 0.10 10%
C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ CLE QB HOU vs CLE 1 0.10 10%
Brandin Cooks SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 4 0.10 9%
Jalen Brooks ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 6 0.10 9%
Jameis Winston NYG vs WAS QB NYG vs WAS 2 0.10 9%
Antonio Williams WAS @ NYG WR WAS vs NYG 2 0.09 9%
Tyler Higbee LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 1 0.09 9%
Marcus Mariota WAS @ NYG QB WAS vs NYG 2 0.09 9%
Tyler Goodson DAL vs SF RB DAL vs SF 2 0.09 9%
Savion Williams GB vs MIN WR GB vs MIN 3 0.09 8%
Davis Mills HOU @ CLE QB HOU vs CLE 2 0.09 8%
Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 3 0.08 8%
Teagan Quitoriano ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 3 0.08 8%
Jordan Love GB vs MIN QB GB vs MIN 1 0.08 8%
Evan Hull ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 4 0.08 8%
KaVontae Turpin DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 4 0.08 7%
Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL vs SF TE DAL vs SF 2 0.08 7%
Jake Haener NYG vs WAS QB NYG vs WAS 3 0.08 7%
Jerry Jeudy CLE vs HOU WR CLE vs HOU 3 0.08 7%
Max Brosmer MIN @ GB QB MIN vs GB 3 0.07 7%
Chig Okonkwo WAS @ NYG TE WAS vs NYG 1 0.07 7%
Dillon Gabriel CLE vs HOU QB CLE vs HOU 3 0.07 7%
Jeremy McNichols WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 3 0.07 7%
Darnell Mooney NYG vs WAS WR NYG vs WAS 3 0.07 7%
Shedeur Sanders CLE vs HOU QB CLE vs HOU 2 0.07 7%
Elijah Higgins ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 2 0.07 7%
Hunter Luepke DAL vs SF RB DAL vs SF 0.07 7%
Tyrod Taylor GB vs MIN QB GB vs MIN 2 0.07 7%
Demond Claiborne MIN @ GB RB MIN vs GB 3 0.06 6%
Myles Price MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 5 0.06 6%
Blake Whiteheart CLE vs HOU TE CLE vs HOU 2 0.06 6%
Dillon Bell MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 0.06 6%
Jordan James SF @ DAL RB SF vs DAL 3 0.06 6%
Konata Mumpfield LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 2 0.06 6%
Max Bredeson MIN @ GB RB MIN vs GB 0.06 6%
Kenny Yeboah ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 0.05 5%
Jordan Watkins SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 3 0.05 5%
Kaleb Johnson GB vs MIN RB GB vs MIN 4 0.05 5%
Jonnu Smith GB vs MIN TE GB vs MIN 4 0.05 5%
Jonathan Mingo DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 5 0.05 5%
Christian Kirk SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 5 0.05 5%
Coleman Owen GB vs MIN WR GB vs MIN 6 0.05 4%
Tutu Atwell LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 3 0.04 4%
Max Klare LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 4 0.04 4%
Pierre Strong GB vs MIN RB GB vs MIN 3 0.04 4%
Craig Reynolds WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 0.04 4%
Patrick Ricard NYG vs WAS RB NYG vs WAS 0.04 4%
Charlie Jones NYG vs WAS WR NYG vs WAS 4 0.04 3%
Camden Brown DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 6 0.03 3%
Dyami Brown WAS @ NYG WR WAS vs NYG 4 0.03 3%
Matthew Stafford LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 1 0.03 3%
Mark Redman GB vs MIN TE GB vs MIN 2 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Wed Nov 4, 10:02 AM ET · Next Sat Nov 7, 2:00 PM ET
GARBEDGE TIME
Reference
?  How It Works