109 / 290 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Car ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Henry BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 93.3 | 37–162 | 18.0 | 33% |
| Jaylen Warren PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 81.4 | 38–131 | 16.1 | 28% |
| Christian McCaffrey SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 76.1 | 37–122 | 14.7 | 39% |
| Emanuel Wilson CHART SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 3 | 69.7 | 32–114 | 14.8 | 16% |
| Javonte Williams DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 62.5 | 23–110 | 17.5 | 44% |
| Mike Washington Jr. LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 2 | 51.3 | 13–100 | 13.1 | 18% |
| Quinshon Judkins CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 47.2 | 21–78 | 14.2 | 45% |
| Chase Brown CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 47.1 | 20–80 | 13.1 | 21% |
| Woody Marks HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 46.5 | 13–87 | 12.1 | 35% |
| Jadarian Price SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 2 | 45.3 | 14–81 | 9.7 | 10% |
| Kaelon Black SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 45.1 | 15–82 | 9.4 | 11% |
| Rico Dowdle PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 41.2 | 15–72 | 9.1 | 14% |
| Omarion Hampton LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 36.4 | 8–73 | 9.6 | 17% |
| Zach Charbonnet CHART SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 1 | 36.1 | 11–67 | 7.7 | 40% |
| David Montgomery HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 33.9 | 7–65 | 7.5 | 27% |
| Jawhar Jordan HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 31.4 | 8–62 | 6.7 | 10% | |
| Kimani Vidal LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 30.6 | 6–64 | 7.9 | 26% |
| Audric Estimé CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 24.9 | 8–44 | 6.6 | 16% | |
| Justin Herbert LAC @ BAL | QB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 24.9 | 4–52 | 4.2 | 32% |
| Ashton Jeanty CHART LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 23.6 | 0–58 | 7.2 | 33% |
| Lamar Jackson BAL vs LAC | QB | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 23.3 | 0–55 | 3.4 | 12% |
| Brock Purdy CHART SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 20.7 | 2–44 | 3.3 | 17% |
| Justice Hill BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 20.1 | 2–45 | 4.1 | 11% |
| Samaje Perine CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 18.7 | 3–38 | 5.0 | 9% |
| Keaton Mitchell LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 18.3 | 0–48 | 3.7 | 8% |
| George Holani SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 4 | 18.2 | 1–41 | 4.3 | 11% |
| Tyler Huntley BAL vs LAC | QB | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 17.8 | 0–44 | 2.9 | 13% |
| Joe Fagnano BAL vs LAC | QB | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 17.8 | 1–39 | 3.1 | 17% |
| Jordan James SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 17.4 | 1–37 | 3.5 | 6% |
| Tyler Goodson DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 17.2 | 0–42 | 4.6 | 9% |
| Dylan Sampson CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 16.3 | 2–34 | 4.7 | 13% |
| Jaleel McLaughlin CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 16.2 | 0–40 | 3.6 | 22% |
| Kurtis Rourke SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 15.4 | 0–36 | 2.4 | 11% |
| Deshaun Watson CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 15.0 | 0–40 | 3.0 | 14% |
| Velus Jones Jr. SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 5 | 14.4 | 0–37 | 2.8 | 7% |
| Will Howard PIT @ CIN | QB | PIT vs CIN | 3 | 14.0 | 0–33 | 2.4 | 14% |
| Adam Randall BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 13.8 | 0–30 | 3.1 | 13% |
| Drew Allar PIT @ CIN | QB | PIT vs CIN | 4 | 13.6 | 0–32 | 2.4 | 14% |
| Robert Henry Jr. SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 13.3 | 0–31 | 2.7 | 9% | |
| Taylen Green CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 4 | 12.7 | 0–30 | 2.4 | 13% |
| DJ Uiagalelei LAC @ BAL | QB | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 12.5 | 0–28 | 2.4 | 14% |
| C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ CLE | QB | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 11.9 | 0–30 | 2.1 | 10% |
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 11.7 | 0–26 | 2.7 | 11% |
| Joe Burrow CHART CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 11.3 | 0–27 | 2.4 | 15% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 2 | 11.2 | 0–30 | 2.0 | 27% |
| Dak Prescott DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 10.9 | 0–27 | 2.3 | 17% |
| Roman Hemby LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 10.2 | 0–24 | 2.6 | 13% | |
| Fernando Mendoza LV vs SEA | QB | LV vs SEA | 2 | 10.2 | 0–24 | 2.0 | 13% |
| Sam Darnold SEA @ LV | QB | SEA vs LV | 1 | 10.1 | 0–27 | 1.7 | 7% |
| Davis Mills HOU @ CLE | QB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 8.1 | 0–22 | 1.3 | 8% |
| Travis Homer PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 3 | 7.4 | 0–20 | 1.7 | |
| Drew Lock SEA @ LV | QB | SEA vs LV | 2 | 7.1 | 0–21 | 1.0 | 6% |
| Sam Howell DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 7.1 | 0–19 | 1.4 | 11% |
| Shedeur Sanders CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 7.0 | 0–18 | 1.2 | 7% |
| Tahj Brooks CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 3 | 6.8 | 0–16 | 2.0 | 6% |
| Dillon Gabriel CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 6.7 | 0–18 | 1.3 | 7% |
| Jalen Milroe SEA @ LV | QB | SEA vs LV | 3 | 6.4 | 0–19 | 1.1 | |
| Lew Nichols III PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 4 | 6.3 | 0–16 | 1.5 | 7% |
| Josh Johnson CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 6.3 | 0–17 | 1.3 | 7% | |
| KC Concepcion CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 6.1 | 0–18 | 1.3 | 11% |
| Mac Jones SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 6.0 | 0–17 | 1.1 | |
| Dylan Laube LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 3 | 5.8 | 0–15 | 1.7 | |
| Eli Heidenreich PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 5 | 5.6 | 0–15 | 1.3 | 7% |
| Kirk Cousins LV vs SEA | QB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 5.5 | 0–17 | 1.5 | 9% |
| Mason Rudolph PIT @ CIN | QB | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 5.2 | 0–15 | 1.0 | 6% |
| Aaron Rodgers PIT @ CIN | QB | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 5.1 | 0–15 | 0.9 | 7% |
| Aidan O'Connell LV vs SEA | QB | LV vs SEA | 3 | 4.6 | 0–14 | 1.1 | 9% |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 1 | 4.3 | 0–16 | 0.7 | 30% |
| Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 3 | 4.0 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 8% |
| Rashid Shaheed SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 2 | 3.7 | 0–12 | 0.5 | 10% |
| Dare Ogunbowale HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 4 | 3.7 | 0–12 | 1.0 | |
| Scott Matlock LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 3.7 | 0–10 | 0.9 | 9% | |
| Joe Flacco CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 3.5 | 0–11 | 0.8 | 5% |
| Brady Russell SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 3.3 | 0–10 | 0.7 | ||
| Hunter Luepke DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 3.2 | 0–10 | 0.9 | 7% | |
| AJ Barner SEA @ LV | TE | SEA vs LV | 1 | 2.8 | 0–8 | 1.0 | 37% |
| Cade Stover HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 3 | 2.7 | 0–8 | 0.9 | 14% |
| Jacob Cowing SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 6 | 2.5 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Nico Collins HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 2.3 | 0–8 | 0.4 | 30% |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 4 | 2.0 | 0–6 | 0.4 | 7% |
| Derius Davis LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 6 | 1.7 | 0–6 | 0.3 | |
| Jaylin Noel HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 7 | 1.6 | 0–5 | 0.3 | 17% |
| Zay Flowers BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 1.6 | 0–5 | 0.3 | 21% |
| Pat Freiermuth PIT @ CIN | TE | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 0.4 | 29% |
| Connor Heyward LV vs SEA | FB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 1.4 | 0–5 | 0.6 | |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 3 | 1.4 | 0–5 | 0.3 | 22% |
| Tre Tucker LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 1 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 0.2 | 17% |
| Malachi Corley CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 5 | 0.8 | 0–1 | 0.1 | |
| Quentin Johnston LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 0.8 | 0–0 | 0.2 | 14% |
| CeeDee Lamb DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.6 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 35% |
| Deven Thompkins LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 0.6 | 0–0 | 0.1 | ||
| DK Metcalf PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 25% |
| Germie Bernard PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 30% |
| Malik Benson LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 7 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 10% |
| Dohnte Meyers CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 3 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 9% |
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 31% |
| Mark Andrews BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 24% |
| Isaiah Bond CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 6 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 56% |
| Michael Burton CLE vs HOU | FB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 18% |
| Tre Harris LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| Brock Bowers LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 39% |
| Kyle Juszczyk SF @ DAL | FB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 15% |
| Jalen Nailor LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 2 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 20% |
| Jerry Jeudy CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| George Kittle SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 34% |
| Drew Sample CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 18% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Tue Nov 3, 6:05 AM ET · Next Wed Nov 4, 10:00 AM ET