✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Ja'Marr Chase CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 1 0.82 56%
Quinshon Judkins CLE vs HOU RB CLE vs HOU 1 0.59 45%
Javonte Williams DAL vs SF RB DAL vs SF 1 0.58 44%
Zach Charbonnet CHART SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 1 0.50 40%
Brock Bowers LV vs SEA TE LV vs SEA 1 0.49 39%
Christian McCaffrey SF @ DAL RB SF vs DAL 1 0.49 39%
AJ Barner SEA @ LV TE SEA vs LV 1 0.46 37%
Caleb Douglas MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 2 0.45 36%
CeeDee Lamb DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 1 0.43 35%
Woody Marks HOU @ CLE RB HOU vs CLE 1 0.43 35%
George Kittle SF @ DAL TE SF vs DAL 1 0.41 34%
Ashton Jeanty CHART LV vs SEA RB LV vs SEA 1 0.41 33%
Denzel Boston CHART CLE vs HOU WR CLE vs HOU 1 0.40 33%
Tyler Warren IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 1 0.40 33%
Jonathan Taylor IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 1 0.39 32%
Nico Collins HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 1 0.36 30%
Germie Bernard PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 2 0.35 30%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 1 0.35 30%
Pat Freiermuth PIT @ CIN TE PIT vs CIN 2 0.34 29%
Jaylen Warren PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 1 0.33 28%
Darnell Washington CHART PIT @ CIN TE PIT vs CIN 1 0.32 27%
Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 2 0.32 27%
David Montgomery HOU @ CLE RB HOU vs CLE 2 0.31 27%
Ollie Gordon II MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 1 0.31 26%
Greg Dulcich MIA @ IND TE MIA vs IND 1 0.30 26%
Tee Higgins CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 2 0.30 26%
DK Metcalf PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 1 0.29 25%
Mike Evans SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 1 0.27 24%
George Pickens DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 2 0.26 23%
Ryan Flournoy DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 3 0.25 22%
Jaleel McLaughlin CLE vs HOU RB CLE vs HOU 3 0.24 22%
Chase Brown CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 1 0.23 21%
Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 4 0.23 21%
Jalen Nailor LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 2 0.22 20%
Anthony Richardson IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 2 0.22 20%
Malik Willis MIA @ IND QB MIA vs IND 1 0.21 19%
Mike Gesicki CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 1 0.21 19%
Jake Ferguson DAL vs SF TE DAL vs SF 1 0.20 18%
Josh Downs CHART IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 1 0.20 18%
Mike Washington Jr. LV vs SEA RB LV vs SEA 2 0.20 18%
Harold Fannin Jr. CLE vs HOU TE CLE vs HOU 1 0.20 18%
Malik Washington CHART MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 1 0.20 18%
Dalton Schultz HOU @ CLE TE HOU vs CLE 1 0.19 17%
Tre Tucker LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 1 0.19 17%
Dak Prescott DAL vs SF QB DAL vs SF 1 0.19 17%
Laquon Treadwell IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 3 0.18 17%
Jaylin Noel HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 7 0.18 17%
Brock Purdy CHART SF @ DAL QB SF vs DAL 1 0.18 17%
Keenan Allen IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 2 0.18 16%
Emanuel Wilson CHART SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 3 0.18 16%
Kyle McCord MIA @ IND QB MIA vs IND 2 0.18 16%
Audric Estimé CLE vs HOU RB CLE vs HOU 0.18 16%
Kyle Juszczyk SF @ DAL FB SF vs DAL 1 0.16 15%
Mitchell Tinsley CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 5 0.16 15%
Foster Moreau HOU @ CLE TE HOU vs CLE 2 0.16 15%
Joe Burrow CHART CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 1 0.16 15%
Cooper Kupp SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 3 0.16 15%
Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 2 0.16 14%
Rico Dowdle PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 2 0.15 14%
Tory Horton SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 4 0.15 14%
Daniel Jones IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 1 0.15 14%
Drew Allar PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 4 0.15 14%
Will Howard PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 3 0.15 14%
Deshaun Watson CLE vs HOU QB CLE vs HOU 1 0.15 14%
Cade Stover HOU @ CLE TE HOU vs CLE 3 0.15 14%
Mo Alie-Cox IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 3 0.15 14%
DJ Giddens IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 3 0.15 14%
Fernando Mendoza LV vs SEA QB LV vs SEA 2 0.14 13%
Dylan Sampson CLE vs HOU RB CLE vs HOU 2 0.14 13%
Taylen Green CLE vs HOU QB CLE vs HOU 4 0.14 13%
Roman Hemby LV vs SEA RB LV vs SEA 0.14 13%
Kaytron Allen MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 3 0.13 13%
Cody White LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 4 0.13 12%
Sam Howell DAL vs SF QB DAL vs SF 2 0.12 11%
Andrew Ogletree IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 4 0.12 11%
Kurtis Rourke SF @ DAL QB SF vs DAL 3 0.12 11%
Kaelon Black SF @ DAL RB SF vs DAL 2 0.12 11%
KC Concepcion CLE vs HOU WR CLE vs HOU 2 0.11 11%
Michael Mayer LV vs SEA TE LV vs SEA 2 0.11 11%
George Holani SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 4 0.11 11%
Kayshon Boutte HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 5 0.11 10%
Malik Benson LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 7 0.11 10%
Seth McGowan IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 2 0.11 10%
Jawhar Jordan HOU @ CLE RB HOU vs CLE 0.11 10%
Brandon Aiyuk SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 10 0.11 10%
Jadarian Price SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 2 0.11 10%
Jalen Tolbert MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 5 0.10 10%
Riley Leonard IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 3 0.10 10%
C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ CLE QB HOU vs CLE 1 0.10 10%
Rashid Shaheed SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 2 0.10 10%
Samaje Perine CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 2 0.10 9%
Brandin Cooks SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 4 0.10 9%
Robert Henry Jr. SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 0.10 9%
Jack Bech LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 3 0.10 9%
Kirk Cousins LV vs SEA QB LV vs SEA 1 0.10 9%
Dohnte Meyers CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 3 0.09 9%
Chris Bell MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 3 0.09 9%
Aidan O'Connell LV vs SEA QB LV vs SEA 3 0.09 9%
Drew Sample CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 2 0.09 9%
Tyler Goodson DAL vs SF RB DAL vs SF 2 0.09 9%
Jack Endries CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 4 0.09 9%
Davis Mills HOU @ CLE QB HOU vs CLE 2 0.09 8%
Carlos Washington MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 0.09 8%
Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 3 0.08 8%
DJ Herman MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 0.08 8%
Will Mallory IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 2 0.08 8%
KaVontae Turpin DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 4 0.08 7%
Sam Darnold SEA @ LV QB SEA vs LV 1 0.08 7%
Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL vs SF TE DAL vs SF 2 0.08 7%
Lew Nichols III PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 4 0.08 7%
Jerry Jeudy CLE vs HOU WR CLE vs HOU 3 0.08 7%
Dillon Gabriel CLE vs HOU QB CLE vs HOU 3 0.07 7%
Eli Heidenreich PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 5 0.07 7%
Josh Johnson CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 0.07 7%
Shedeur Sanders CLE vs HOU QB CLE vs HOU 2 0.07 7%
Hunter Luepke DAL vs SF RB DAL vs SF 0.07 7%
Aaron Rodgers PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 1 0.07 7%
Velus Jones Jr. SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 5 0.07 7%
Tahj Brooks CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 3 0.07 6%
Justin Joly MIA @ IND TE MIA vs IND 4 0.06 6%
Kaden Wetjen PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 5 0.06 6%
Blake Whiteheart CLE vs HOU TE CLE vs HOU 2 0.06 6%
Mason Rudolph PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 2 0.06 6%
Drew Lock SEA @ LV QB SEA vs LV 2 0.06 6%
Jordan James SF @ DAL RB SF vs DAL 3 0.06 6%
Jordan Watkins SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 3 0.05 5%
Jonathan Mingo DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 5 0.05 5%
Christian Kirk SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 5 0.05 5%
Joe Flacco CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 2 0.05 5%
Camden Brown DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 6 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Tue Nov 3, 6:05 AM ET · Next Wed Nov 4, 10:00 AM ET
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