130 / 364 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | — ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 1 | 0.74 | 52% | ||
| Kenneth Walker III KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 1 | 0.72 | 51% | ||
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 0.62 | 46% | ||
| Javonte Williams DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.58 | 44% | ||
| Zach Charbonnet CHART SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 1 | 0.50 | 40% | ||
| Brock Bowers LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 1 | 0.49 | 39% | ||
| Christian McCaffrey SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.49 | 39% | ||
| AJ Barner SEA @ LV | TE | SEA vs LV | 1 | 0.46 | 37% | ||
| CeeDee Lamb DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.43 | 35% | ||
| George Kittle SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.41 | 34% | ||
| Sam LaPorta DET vs NE | TE | DET vs NE | 1 | 0.41 | 34% | ||
| Amon-Ra St. Brown DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 1 | 0.41 | 34% | ||
| Ashton Jeanty CHART LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 0.41 | 33% | ||
| Eli Raridon NE @ DET | TE | NE vs DET | 2 | 0.39 | 32% | ||
| Brian Robinson ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 2 | 0.38 | 31% | ||
| Wan'Dale Robinson TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 0.36 | 30% | ||
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 1 | 0.35 | 30% | ||
| Elic Ayomanor TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 0.35 | 29% | ||
| Rashee Rice KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 1 | 0.35 | 29% | ||
| Efton Chism III NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 3 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 2 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 1 | 0.31 | 27% | ||
| Hunter Henry NE @ DET | TE | NE vs DET | 1 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Jameson Williams DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Tony Pollard TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 0.28 | 25% | ||
| Kyle Pitts ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 1 | 0.27 | 24% | ||
| Mike Evans SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.27 | 24% | ||
| A.J. Brown NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 1 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| George Pickens DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Ryan Flournoy DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 3 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Parker Washington JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 0.23 | 20% | |||
| Jalen Nailor LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 2 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Jake Ferguson DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Drake Maye NE @ DET | QB | NE vs DET | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Mike Washington Jr. LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 2 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Jahan Dotson ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 2 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Rhamondre Stevenson NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Corey Kiner NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 3 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Trevor Lawrence JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 0.19 | 18% | ||
| Tre Tucker LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Cam Ward TEN vs JAX | QB | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Gunnar Helm TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Josh Cameron JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Dak Prescott DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Brenton Strange JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Brock Purdy CHART SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Emanuel Wilson CHART SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 3 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Calvin Ridley TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 5 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 3 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Noah Gray KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 2 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Drake London ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 1 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Xavier Worthy KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Kyle Juszczyk SF @ DAL | FB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Austin Hooper ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 3 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Michael Carter TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 5 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Cooper Kupp SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 3 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Carnell Tate CHART TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Tory Horton SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 4 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Nicholas Singleton TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Jack Strand ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 4 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Fernando Mendoza LV vs SEA | QB | LV vs SEA | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Garrett Nussmeier KC @ ATL | QB | KC vs ATL | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Isaac TeSlaa DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Roman Hemby LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 0.14 | 13% | |||
| Travis Kelce KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Cody White LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 4 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Patrick Mahomes KC @ ATL | QB | KC vs ATL | 1 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Behren Morton NE @ DET | QB | NE vs DET | 3 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| TreVeyon Henderson NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 2 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Justin Fields KC @ ATL | QB | KC vs ATL | 2 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Andrew Armstrong KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 5 | 0.12 | 12% | ||
| Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 1 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Sam Howell DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Daniel Bellinger TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Kurtis Rourke SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Kaelon Black SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Michael Mayer LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 2 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Nick Muse ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 4 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| George Holani SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 4 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Malik Benson LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 7 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jaydn Ott KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 3 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Brandon Aiyuk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 10 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jadarian Price SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 2 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 2 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| DeMario Douglas NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 2 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| K.J. Osborn TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 0.10 | 10% | |||
| Rashid Shaheed SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 2 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Xavier Restrepo TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 0.10 | 10% | |||
| Brandin Cooks SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 4 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Robert Henry Jr. SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 0.10 | 9% | |||
| Tyjae Spears TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Jack Bech LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 3 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Nate Boerkircher JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Kirk Cousins LV vs SEA | QB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Emmett Johnson KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Ben VanSumeren KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 0.09 | 9% | |||
| Aidan O'Connell LV vs SEA | QB | LV vs SEA | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Tyler Goodson DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Jalen Royals KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 4 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| KaVontae Turpin DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 4 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Sam Darnold SEA @ LV | QB | SEA vs LV | 1 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Tommy DeVito NE @ DET | QB | NE vs DET | 2 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Kyle Williams NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 4 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Justin Jackson DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 0.07 | 7% | |||
| Jared Goff DET vs NE | QB | DET vs NE | 1 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Hunter Luepke DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 0.07 | 7% | |||
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Velus Jones Jr. SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 5 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Joshua Dobbs DET vs NE | QB | DET vs NE | 2 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Quinn Ewers JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Drew Lock SEA @ LV | QB | SEA vs LV | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Jordan James SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Jalen Hurd NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 0.06 | 6% | |||
| Brock Wright DET vs NE | TE | DET vs NE | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Sione Vaki DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Tua Tagovailoa ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Jordan Watkins SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 3 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Jonathan Mingo DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 5 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Nick Mullens JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 0.05 | 5% | |||
| Christian Kirk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 5 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Jacob Saylors DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 3 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Camden Brown DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 6 | 0.03 | 3% | ||
| DeAndre Carter DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 5 | 0.03 | 3% | ||
| Tay Martin DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 4 | 0.03 | 3% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Wed Nov 4, 10:02 AM ET · Next Sat Nov 7, 2:00 PM ET