102 / 290 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Car ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Henry BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 93.3 | 37–162 | 18.0 | 33% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 1 | 83.8 | 37–138 | 18.1 | 52% |
| Emanuel Wilson CHART SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 3 | 69.7 | 32–114 | 14.8 | 16% |
| Kyren Williams LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 1 | 69.5 | 34–110 | 14.5 | 45% |
| Tony Pollard TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 64.5 | 28–107 | 17.9 | 25% |
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 57.4 | 26–94 | 13.3 | 46% |
| Blake Corum LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 2 | 53.5 | 15–98 | 11.1 | 30% |
| Mike Washington Jr. LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 2 | 51.3 | 13–100 | 13.1 | 18% |
| Jadarian Price SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 2 | 45.3 | 14–81 | 9.7 | 10% |
| Rhamondre Stevenson NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 1 | 39.4 | 16–68 | 10.6 | 18% |
| Omarion Hampton LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 36.4 | 8–73 | 9.6 | 17% |
| Tyler Allgeier ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 2 | 36.3 | 14–63 | 9.2 | 26% |
| Zach Charbonnet CHART SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 1 | 36.1 | 11–67 | 7.7 | 40% |
| Jeremiyah Love ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 1 | 35.4 | 12–63 | 9.4 | 21% |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 34.2 | 8–66 | 7.2 | 16% |
| Kimani Vidal LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 30.6 | 6–64 | 7.9 | 26% |
| Drake Maye NE @ DET | QB | NE vs DET | 1 | 25.4 | 6–50 | 4.4 | 18% |
| Bam Knight ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 3 | 25.0 | 6–48 | 6.3 | 17% |
| Justin Herbert LAC @ BAL | QB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 24.9 | 4–52 | 4.2 | 32% |
| Ashton Jeanty CHART LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 23.6 | 0–58 | 7.2 | 33% |
| Lamar Jackson BAL vs LAC | QB | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 23.3 | 0–55 | 3.4 | 12% |
| TreVeyon Henderson NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 2 | 22.8 | 0–56 | 5.3 | 12% |
| Corey Kiner NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 3 | 20.7 | 5–40 | 5.1 | 18% |
| Justice Hill BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 20.1 | 2–45 | 4.1 | 11% |
| Keaton Mitchell LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 18.3 | 0–48 | 3.7 | 8% |
| George Holani SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 4 | 18.2 | 1–41 | 4.3 | 11% |
| Tyler Huntley BAL vs LAC | QB | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 17.8 | 0–44 | 2.9 | 13% |
| Joe Fagnano BAL vs LAC | QB | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 17.8 | 1–39 | 3.1 | 17% |
| Sione Vaki DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 2 | 16.0 | 0–36 | 4.2 | 6% |
| Trevor Lawrence JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 15.1 | 0–34 | 2.7 | 18% |
| Ty Simpson LA @ ARI | QB | LA vs ARI | 3 | 14.8 | 0–34 | 2.5 | 12% |
| Velus Jones Jr. SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 5 | 14.4 | 0–37 | 2.8 | 7% |
| Adam Randall BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 13.8 | 0–30 | 3.1 | 13% |
| Jacoby Brissett CHART ARI vs LA | QB | ARI vs LA | 3 | 13.7 | 0–33 | 2.9 | 26% |
| Carson Beck ARI vs LA | QB | ARI vs LA | 2 | 13.4 | 0–31 | 2.4 | 13% |
| Robert Henry Jr. SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 13.3 | 0–31 | 2.7 | 9% | |
| DJ Uiagalelei LAC @ BAL | QB | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 12.5 | 0–28 | 2.4 | 14% |
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 11.9 | 0–27 | 2.6 | 10% |
| Cam Ward TEN vs JAX | QB | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 11.9 | 0–27 | 2.7 | 17% |
| Tyjae Spears TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 11.8 | 0–28 | 3.3 | 9% |
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 11.7 | 0–26 | 2.7 | 11% |
| Dean Connors LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 3 | 11.3 | 0–26 | 2.5 | 10% |
| Stetson Bennett LA @ ARI | QB | LA vs ARI | 2 | 11.2 | 0–28 | 1.9 | 10% |
| Nicholas Singleton TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 11.1 | 0–24 | 3.2 | 13% |
| Behren Morton NE @ DET | QB | NE vs DET | 3 | 10.9 | 0–26 | 2.1 | 12% |
| Roman Hemby LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 10.2 | 0–24 | 2.6 | 13% | |
| Fernando Mendoza LV vs SEA | QB | LV vs SEA | 2 | 10.2 | 0–24 | 2.0 | 13% |
| Sam Darnold SEA @ LV | QB | SEA vs LV | 1 | 10.1 | 0–27 | 1.7 | 7% |
| Justin Jackson DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 9.9 | 0–23 | 2.6 | 7% | |
| Michael Carter TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 5 | 8.4 | 0–20 | 2.4 | 15% |
| Evan Hull ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 4 | 8.2 | 0–19 | 2.2 | 8% |
| Lan Larison NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 4 | 7.6 | 0–18 | 2.0 | |
| Tommy DeVito NE @ DET | QB | NE vs DET | 2 | 7.2 | 0–19 | 1.4 | 7% |
| Drew Lock SEA @ LV | QB | SEA vs LV | 2 | 7.1 | 0–21 | 1.0 | 6% |
| Jalen Milroe SEA @ LV | QB | SEA vs LV | 3 | 6.4 | 0–19 | 1.1 | |
| Kalel Mullings TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 5.9 | 0–15 | 1.7 | ||
| Dylan Laube LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 3 | 5.8 | 0–15 | 1.7 | |
| Puka Nacua LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 1 | 5.5 | 0–16 | 0.9 | 30% |
| Quinn Ewers JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 5.5 | 0–16 | 1.0 | 6% |
| Kirk Cousins LV vs SEA | QB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 5.5 | 0–17 | 1.5 | 9% |
| Joshua Dobbs DET vs NE | QB | DET vs NE | 2 | 5.2 | 0–16 | 1.1 | 6% |
| Mitchell Trubisky TEN vs JAX | QB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 4.7 | 0–14 | 1.1 | |
| Aidan O'Connell LV vs SEA | QB | LV vs SEA | 3 | 4.6 | 0–14 | 1.1 | 9% |
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 4.6 | 0–14 | 1.1 | 7% |
| Gardner Minshew CHART ARI vs LA | QB | ARI vs LA | 1 | 4.4 | 0–14 | 0.9 | |
| Michael Wilson ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 1 | 4.4 | 0–17 | 0.8 | 26% |
| Jacob Saylors DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 3 | 4.3 | 0–12 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 1 | 4.3 | 0–16 | 0.7 | 30% |
| Nick Mullens JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 4.1 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 5% | |
| Jared Goff DET vs NE | QB | DET vs NE | 1 | 4.0 | 0–13 | 1.0 | 7% |
| Matthew Stafford LA @ ARI | QB | LA vs ARI | 1 | 4.0 | 0–13 | 0.8 | 3% |
| Julius Chestnut TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 3.9 | 0–11 | 1.1 | |
| Rashid Shaheed SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 2 | 3.7 | 0–12 | 0.5 | 10% |
| Scott Matlock LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 3.7 | 0–10 | 0.9 | 9% | |
| Brady Russell SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 3.3 | 0–10 | 0.7 | ||
| Amon-Ra St. Brown DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 1 | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.6 | 34% |
| AJ Barner SEA @ LV | TE | SEA vs LV | 1 | 2.8 | 0–8 | 1.0 | 37% |
| Parker Washington JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 2.0 | 0–8 | 0.4 | 21% |
| Derius Davis LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 6 | 1.7 | 0–6 | 0.3 | |
| Zay Flowers BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 1.6 | 0–5 | 0.3 | 21% |
| Connor Heyward LV vs SEA | FB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 1.4 | 0–5 | 0.6 | |
| Sam LaPorta DET vs NE | TE | DET vs NE | 1 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 0.3 | 34% |
| Tre Tucker LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 1 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 0.2 | 17% |
| Quentin Johnston LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 0.8 | 0–0 | 0.2 | 14% |
| Deven Thompkins LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 0.6 | 0–0 | 0.1 | ||
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 0.5 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 22% |
| Wan'Dale Robinson TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 30% |
| Malik Benson LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 7 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 10% |
| Efton Chism III NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 3 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 27% |
| Chimere Dike TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Davis Allen LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 3 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 16% |
| Jameson Williams DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 2 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 26% |
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 31% |
| Mark Andrews BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 24% |
| DeMario Douglas NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 2 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 20% |
| Jordan Whittington LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 4 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Tre Harris LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| Brock Bowers LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 39% |
| Kyle Williams NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 4 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| Tyler Conklin DET vs NE | TE | DET vs NE | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Jalen Nailor LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 2 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 20% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Sat Nov 7, 2:01 PM ET · Next Sun Nov 8, 9:00 AM ET