| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | — ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 0.62 | 46% | ||
| Kyren Williams LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 1 | 0.60 | 45% | ||
| Malik Nabers NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 0.60 | 45% | ||
| Javonte Williams DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.58 | 44% | ||
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 4 | 0.51 | 40% | ||
| Christian McCaffrey SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.49 | 39% | ||
| Trey McBride ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 1 | 0.45 | 36% | ||
| Rachaad White CHART WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 0.44 | 36% | ||
| CeeDee Lamb DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.43 | 35% | ||
| Isaiah Likely NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 0.42 | 34% | ||
| George Kittle SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.41 | 34% | ||
| Derrick Henry BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 0.40 | 33% | ||
| Justin Herbert LAC @ BAL | QB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 0.38 | 32% | ||
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 0.37 | 31% | ||
| Wan'Dale Robinson TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 0.36 | 30% | ||
| Blake Corum LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 2 | 0.36 | 30% | ||
| Puka Nacua LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 1 | 0.35 | 30% | ||
| Elic Ayomanor TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 0.35 | 29% | ||
| Colby Parkinson LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 2 | 0.35 | 29% | ||
| Austin Ekeler WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 2 | 0.34 | 29% | ||
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 2 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Kimani Vidal LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Tyler Allgeier ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Michael Wilson ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 1 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Jacoby Brissett CHART ARI vs LA | QB | ARI vs LA | 3 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Tony Pollard TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 0.28 | 25% | ||
| Mark Andrews BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 0.27 | 24% | ||
| Mike Evans SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.27 | 24% | ||
| Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| George Pickens DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Ryan Flournoy DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 3 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Rashod Bateman BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Zay Flowers BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Jeremiyah Love ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 1 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Parker Washington JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Stefon Diggs WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 0.23 | 20% | ||
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 4 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Ladd McConkey CHART LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Devin Singletary NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Cam Skattebo NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Jake Ferguson DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Trevor Lawrence JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 0.19 | 18% | ||
| Cam Ward TEN vs JAX | QB | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Omarion Hampton LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Gunnar Helm TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Josh Cameron JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Bam Knight ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 3 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Treylon Burks WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 3 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Dak Prescott DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Joe Fagnano BAL vs LAC | QB | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Brenton Strange JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Brock Purdy CHART SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Jayden Daniels CHART WAS @ NYG | QB | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Calvin Ridley TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 5 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Davis Allen LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 3 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Kyle Juszczyk SF @ DAL | FB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Michael Carter TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 5 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Malachi Fields NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Carnell Tate CHART TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| KeAndre Lambert-Smith LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 4 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Quentin Johnston LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 0.16 | 14% | ||
| DJ Uiagalelei LAC @ BAL | QB | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Theo Johnson NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| J.J. McCarthy CHART NYG vs WAS | QB | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS @ NYG | QB | WAS vs NYG | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Nicholas Singleton TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Carson Beck ARI vs LA | QB | ARI vs LA | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Tyler Huntley BAL vs LAC | QB | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Josh Cuevas BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Adam Randall BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Theo Wease Jr. LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 7 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Kendrick Bourne ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 5 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Ty Simpson LA @ ARI | QB | LA vs ARI | 3 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Lamar Jackson BAL vs LAC | QB | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Sam Howell DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Daniel Bellinger TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Kurtis Rourke SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Justice Hill BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Kaelon Black SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Brandon Aiyuk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 10 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Stetson Bennett LA @ ARI | QB | LA vs ARI | 2 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| K.J. Osborn TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 0.10 | 10% | |||
| Dean Connors LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 3 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Charlie Kolar CHART LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Xavier Restrepo TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 0.10 | 10% | |||
| Brandin Cooks SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 4 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Tre Harris LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Tyjae Spears TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Nate Boerkircher JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Jalen Brooks ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 6 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Jameis Winston NYG vs WAS | QB | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Antonio Williams WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Tyler Higbee LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 1 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Marcus Mariota WAS @ NYG | QB | WAS vs NYG | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Scott Matlock LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 0.09 | 9% | |||
| Tyler Goodson DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Keaton Mitchell LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Teagan Quitoriano ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Evan Hull ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 4 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| KaVontae Turpin DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 4 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Jake Haener NYG vs WAS | QB | NYG vs WAS | 3 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Chig Okonkwo WAS @ NYG | TE | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Jeremy McNichols WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Darnell Mooney NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Elijah Higgins ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 2 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Matthew Hibner BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Hunter Luepke DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 0.07 | 7% | |||
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Quinn Ewers JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Jordan James SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Konata Mumpfield LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Kenny Yeboah ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 0.05 | 5% | |||
| Jordan Watkins SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 3 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Jonathan Mingo DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 5 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Nick Mullens JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 0.05 | 5% | |||
| Christian Kirk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 5 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Tutu Atwell LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 3 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Max Klare LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 4 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Craig Reynolds WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 0.04 | 4% | |||
| Patrick Ricard NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 0.04 | 4% | |||
| Charlie Jones NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 4 | 0.04 | 3% | ||
| Camden Brown DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 6 | 0.03 | 3% | ||
| Dyami Brown WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 4 | 0.03 | 3% | ||
| Matthew Stafford LA @ ARI | QB | LA vs ARI | 1 | 0.03 | 3% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →