✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Ja'Marr Chase CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 1 0.82 56%
Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 1 0.62 46%
Javonte Williams DAL vs SF RB DAL vs SF 1 0.58 44%
Christian McCaffrey SF @ DAL RB SF vs DAL 1 0.49 39%
Caleb Douglas MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 2 0.45 36%
CeeDee Lamb DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 1 0.43 35%
George Kittle SF @ DAL TE SF vs DAL 1 0.41 34%
Tyler Warren IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 1 0.40 33%
Derrick Henry BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 1 0.40 33%
Jonathan Taylor IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 1 0.39 32%
Justin Herbert LAC @ BAL QB LAC vs BAL 1 0.38 32%
Oronde Gadsden II LAC @ BAL TE LAC vs BAL 2 0.37 31%
Wan'Dale Robinson TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 2 0.36 30%
Germie Bernard PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 2 0.35 30%
Elic Ayomanor TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 3 0.35 29%
Pat Freiermuth PIT @ CIN TE PIT vs CIN 2 0.34 29%
Jaylen Warren PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 1 0.33 28%
Darnell Washington CHART PIT @ CIN TE PIT vs CIN 1 0.32 27%
Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 2 0.32 27%
Ollie Gordon II MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 1 0.31 26%
Kimani Vidal LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 3 0.30 26%
Greg Dulcich MIA @ IND TE MIA vs IND 1 0.30 26%
Tee Higgins CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 2 0.30 26%
DK Metcalf PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 1 0.29 25%
Tony Pollard TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 1 0.28 25%
Mark Andrews BAL vs LAC TE BAL vs LAC 1 0.27 24%
Mike Evans SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 1 0.27 24%
Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs LAC WR BAL vs LAC 3 0.26 23%
George Pickens DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 2 0.26 23%
Jakobi Meyers JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 2 0.25 22%
Ryan Flournoy DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 3 0.25 22%
Rashod Bateman BAL vs LAC WR BAL vs LAC 2 0.24 21%
Zay Flowers BAL vs LAC WR BAL vs LAC 1 0.24 21%
Chase Brown CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 1 0.23 21%
Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 4 0.23 21%
Parker Washington JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 1 0.23 21%
Anthony Richardson IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 2 0.22 20%
Ladd McConkey CHART LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 1 0.22 20%
Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 3 0.22 20%
Malik Willis MIA @ IND QB MIA vs IND 1 0.21 19%
Mike Gesicki CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 1 0.21 19%
Jake Ferguson DAL vs SF TE DAL vs SF 1 0.20 18%
Josh Downs CHART IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 1 0.20 18%
Malik Washington CHART MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 1 0.20 18%
Trevor Lawrence JAX @ TEN QB JAX vs TEN 1 0.19 18%
Cam Ward TEN vs JAX QB TEN vs JAX 1 0.19 17%
Omarion Hampton LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 1 0.19 17%
Gunnar Helm TEN vs JAX TE TEN vs JAX 1 0.19 17%
Josh Cameron JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 4 0.19 17%
Dak Prescott DAL vs SF QB DAL vs SF 1 0.19 17%
Laquon Treadwell IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 3 0.18 17%
Joe Fagnano BAL vs LAC QB BAL vs LAC 2 0.18 17%
Brenton Strange JAX @ TEN TE JAX vs TEN 1 0.18 17%
Brock Purdy CHART SF @ DAL QB SF vs DAL 1 0.18 17%
Keenan Allen IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 2 0.18 16%
Kyle McCord MIA @ IND QB MIA vs IND 2 0.18 16%
Calvin Ridley TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 5 0.18 16%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 2 0.17 16%
Kyle Juszczyk SF @ DAL FB SF vs DAL 1 0.16 15%
Mitchell Tinsley CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 5 0.16 15%
Michael Carter TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 5 0.16 15%
Joe Burrow CHART CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 1 0.16 15%
Carnell Tate CHART TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 1 0.16 15%
KeAndre Lambert-Smith LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 4 0.16 15%
Quentin Johnston LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 2 0.16 14%
Rico Dowdle PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 2 0.15 14%
Daniel Jones IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 1 0.15 14%
Drew Allar PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 4 0.15 14%
Will Howard PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 3 0.15 14%
DJ Uiagalelei LAC @ BAL QB LAC vs BAL 2 0.15 14%
Mo Alie-Cox IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 3 0.15 14%
DJ Giddens IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 3 0.15 14%
Nicholas Singleton TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 4 0.14 13%
Tyler Huntley BAL vs LAC QB BAL vs LAC 1 0.14 13%
Josh Cuevas BAL vs LAC TE BAL vs LAC 2 0.14 13%
Adam Randall BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 4 0.14 13%
Theo Wease Jr. LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 7 0.14 13%
Kaytron Allen MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 3 0.13 13%
Lamar Jackson BAL vs LAC QB BAL vs LAC 3 0.13 12%
Sam Howell DAL vs SF QB DAL vs SF 2 0.12 11%
Daniel Bellinger TEN vs JAX TE TEN vs JAX 2 0.12 11%
Rasheen Ali BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 3 0.12 11%
Andrew Ogletree IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 4 0.12 11%
Kurtis Rourke SF @ DAL QB SF vs DAL 3 0.12 11%
Justice Hill BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 2 0.12 11%
Kaelon Black SF @ DAL RB SF vs DAL 2 0.12 11%
Seth McGowan IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 2 0.11 10%
Brandon Aiyuk SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 10 0.11 10%
Jalen Tolbert MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 5 0.10 10%
K.J. Osborn TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 0.10 10%
Riley Leonard IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 3 0.10 10%
Charlie Kolar CHART LAC @ BAL TE LAC vs BAL 1 0.10 10%
Ameer Abdullah JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 4 0.10 10%
Xavier Restrepo TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 0.10 10%
Samaje Perine CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 2 0.10 9%
Brandin Cooks SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 4 0.10 9%
Tre Harris LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 3 0.10 9%
Tyjae Spears TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 2 0.10 9%
Nate Boerkircher JAX @ TEN TE JAX vs TEN 2 0.10 9%
Dohnte Meyers CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 3 0.09 9%
Chris Bell MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 3 0.09 9%
Drew Sample CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 2 0.09 9%
Scott Matlock LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 0.09 9%
Tyler Goodson DAL vs SF RB DAL vs SF 2 0.09 9%
Jack Endries CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 4 0.09 9%
Carlos Washington MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 0.09 8%
Keaton Mitchell LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 2 0.08 8%
DJ Herman MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 0.08 8%
Will Mallory IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 2 0.08 8%
KaVontae Turpin DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 4 0.08 7%
Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL vs SF TE DAL vs SF 2 0.08 7%
Lew Nichols III PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 4 0.08 7%
Eli Heidenreich PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 5 0.07 7%
Josh Johnson CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 0.07 7%
Matthew Hibner BAL vs LAC TE BAL vs LAC 3 0.07 7%
Hunter Luepke DAL vs SF RB DAL vs SF 0.07 7%
LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 3 0.07 7%
Aaron Rodgers PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 1 0.07 7%
Tahj Brooks CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 3 0.07 6%
Justin Joly MIA @ IND TE MIA vs IND 4 0.06 6%
Kaden Wetjen PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 5 0.06 6%
Quinn Ewers JAX @ TEN QB JAX vs TEN 2 0.06 6%
Mason Rudolph PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 2 0.06 6%
Jordan James SF @ DAL RB SF vs DAL 3 0.06 6%
Jordan Watkins SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 3 0.05 5%
Jonathan Mingo DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 5 0.05 5%
Nick Mullens JAX @ TEN QB JAX vs TEN 0.05 5%
Christian Kirk SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 5 0.05 5%
Joe Flacco CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 2 0.05 5%
Camden Brown DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 6 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Tue Nov 3, 6:05 AM ET · Next Wed Nov 4, 10:00 AM ET
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